Fortunate-Enigma — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

33.7%

Resolved

Trades

358

lifetime

Volume

$354

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-03 10:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

37% — —

Politics

33% 0% $-0

Crypto

23% 100% +$0

Tech

4% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic		-1	$-1	83¢	$-1	$-0	06-02 07:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-05 09:34
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	9	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-26 06:28
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-14 06:12
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	01-14 03:37
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-28 09:13
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-23 06:51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-02 07:12
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-24 10:09
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-01 08:55
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	06-29 09:38
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-26 06:28
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 07:31
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-26 10:10
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-12 07:58
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$3	1	3	-2	open	—	06-11 09:22
Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-20 08:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-18 09:34
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 22?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-22 10:04
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-14 07:36
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 07:07
bitcoin above 64k on march 28	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 08:42
highest temperature in toronto on april 3 2026 8c	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 07:11
bitcoin above 68k on march 14	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 06:30
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 130 159	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-12 03:54
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-25 08:35
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 07:51
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-28 08:17
bitcoin above 70k on march 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 06:42
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-09 04:13
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-26 07:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 08:24:29	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1f5170…
07-04 08:14:59	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4e20cd…
07-03 10:24:23	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3ddedd…
07-03 10:08:50	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd87ce0…
07-02 09:11:40	Will Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x873a35…
07-02 09:01:28	Will Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4bf42f…
07-02 08:55:52	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xcad3cd…
07-02 08:41:29	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5f5c29…
07-02 08:36:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x90b706…
07-02 08:27:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1907c9…
07-01 08:18:56	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x61b9c4…
07-01 08:16:26	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9ce247…
07-01 08:01:55	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x01c155…
07-01 07:51:02	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x821e6e…
06-30 08:31:17	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xe00a70…
06-30 08:23:14	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x15df71…
06-30 08:19:13	iran successfully targets shipping on july 1 20260625225210242	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xd16deb…
06-30 08:06:01	iran successfully targets shipping on july 1 20260625225210242	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xef1637…
06-29 09:38:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x920a26…
06-29 09:36:05	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x236e31…
06-29 09:25:31	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd60d67…
06-29 09:10:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x33cf5a…
06-27 09:18:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x947503…
06-27 09:16:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x8bbc9d…
06-27 08:57:28	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x05333f…
06-27 08:52:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe0bafd…
06-26 10:10:16	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb18232…
06-26 10:00:43	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd52490…
06-25 08:51:41	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6bd8bf…
06-25 08:41:44	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2bf77c…
06-25 08:35:35	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x070b08…
06-25 08:26:44	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd5f141…
06-24 10:11:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xca4e31…
06-24 10:09:58	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1e2b54…
06-24 10:03:32	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7e123f…
06-24 09:59:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x5014fe…
06-23 09:26:04	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x898bb7…
06-23 09:00:04	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe0b323…
06-23 08:41:58	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x6ad3e0…
06-23 08:14:38	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x9bfa75…
06-22 09:34:14	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x8f4f94…
06-22 09:00:04	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x69a19a…
06-21 09:14:29	will bitcoin reach 68k june 15 21 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x92dc25…
06-21 09:05:22	will bitcoin reach 68k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb1c239…
06-18 09:21:58	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x21bd51…
06-18 09:05:55	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5a9165…
06-17 09:11:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd20a52…
06-17 08:40:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd4543c…
06-16 09:09:45	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x19e32e…
06-16 09:09:00	will usd reach 2pt0m iranian rials by june 30	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc5542f…
06-16 08:57:24	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x773c24…
06-16 08:49:19	will usd reach 2pt0m iranian rials by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbc0922…
06-15 08:17:24	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9bae81…
06-15 07:57:57	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3823b8…
06-15 07:52:12	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb1a13b…
06-13 09:28:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa6bd67…
06-12 09:41:36	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 12 2026	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x40f72b…
06-12 09:29:04	jonathan tah 20260609173253872	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc27ab6…
06-12 09:07:19	jonathan tah 20260609173253872	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x69f774…
06-12 09:02:42	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 12 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x93ae2c…
06-11 09:47:33	will bret johnsen be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212483	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdb0075…
06-11 09:34:01	will bret johnsen be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212483	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcf5c93…
06-11 09:22:54	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x46ef92…
06-11 09:22:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x2ddb05…
06-11 09:21:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x16c725…
06-11 09:21:00	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe54d38…
06-09 06:30:36	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x09a5ba…
06-09 06:16:12	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd032a7…
06-09 06:09:28	will jd vance attend the g7 summit	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x02374b…
06-09 04:33:48	will bitcoin dip to 62k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd576dc…
06-09 04:26:45	will jd vance attend the g7 summit	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3532a5…
06-08 06:10:27	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x894907…
06-08 06:09:43	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 8 2026	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xed07fc…
06-08 04:30:21	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x962ace…
06-08 04:27:09	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x26fd2b…
06-06 08:55:15	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x53d934…
06-06 08:41:16	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x04f4cf…
06-05 08:10:15	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x833b76…
06-05 08:08:42	will xauusd reach 5200 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4fdc28…
06-05 07:47:04	will xauusd reach 5200 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0ea71f…
06-05 07:43:51	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0b23f3…
06-04 08:47:18	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9d9b30…
06-04 08:43:03	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x1a6354…
06-04 08:18:07	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1dcbe5…
06-04 08:12:21	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd839ec…
06-03 08:33:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9226c0…
06-03 08:13:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa62fc6…
06-02 07:49:35	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x2eabcc…
06-02 07:48:49	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf4e2ee…
06-01 08:55:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x9f0218…
06-01 08:54:43	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa56bb5…
06-01 08:41:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x31ba4a…
06-01 08:38:15	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc650c1…
05-30 08:37:03	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb159a7…
05-30 08:34:57	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xd12dae…
05-30 08:20:48	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xee068e…
05-30 08:14:44	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfc37b3…
05-29 07:17:00	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc98490…
05-29 07:15:18	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x8f0563…
05-29 07:03:38	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa77dbb…