Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

163

lifetime

Volume

$908

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 08-13 06:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

53% 100% +$5

Politics

45% 100% +$10

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	6	$57	212	+212	open	—	02-02 00:21
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$38	122	+122	open	—	02-03 00:03
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	4	$38	102	+102	open	—	02-02 00:15
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	2	$19	47	+47	open	—	02-01 15:01
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	1	$10	19	+19	open	—	02-02 00:22
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	1	$8	10	+10	open	—	05-26 10:02
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $420 in May?	1	$8	13	+13	open	—	05-19 03:27
dbi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 19 2026 neg0pt51	1	$8	12	+12	open	—	03-23 00:24
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	1	$8	36	+36	open	—	07-10 05:46
will trump say million or billion or trillion 30 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357436	1	$8	13	+13	open	—	07-31 12:55
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	08-13 06:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	04-21 00:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	04-24 18:56
white house of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 120 139	1	$8	12	+12	open	—	04-23 18:51
will uae strike iran by march 31	1	$8	13	+13	open	—	03-03 09:43
will msft dip to 360 by april 13 2026	1	$8	15	+15	open	—	04-13 04:27
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	1	$8	16	+16	Yes	+$8	04-13 20:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	1	$8	12	+12	open	—	04-23 10:50
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on April 27?	1	$8	16	+16	open	—	04-27 03:53
will madison airs market cap be between 12pt5b and 13pt0b at market close on ipo day	1	$8	10	+10	open	—	04-13 12:30
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	03-11 16:28
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	03-06 10:44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	03-19 23:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	04-21 17:01
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 14 2026	1	$8	10	+10	open	—	04-09 07:56
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	1	$8	15	+15	open	—	05-23 12:56
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	1	$8	23	+23	open	—	02-14 18:55
will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	1	$8	12	+12	open	—	02-28 15:32
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	1	$8	25	+25	open	—	03-01 07:33
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	1	$8	25	+25	open	—	03-01 15:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 06:27:03	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0xa819cf…
07-31 20:56:45	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x12f887…
07-31 12:55:30	will trump say million or billion or trillion 30 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357436	Yes	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0xa5fbfe…
07-28 13:41:56	will trump say tough cookie during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556637	No	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x02da0d…
07-28 05:21:01	will trump say biden or obama 10 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357438	No	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x3a248f…
07-27 19:46:03	will trump say save america act during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556651	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xbd5159…
07-27 06:25:15	will trump say grocery or dairy during michigan remarks 20260724162420361	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x88e6e7…
07-26 06:22:16	cbre quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 1pt32	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xa63b81…
07-25 18:21:55	yum quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt56	No	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0xc1a90f…
07-25 06:21:49	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x95dfa5…
07-24 18:20:54	will warsh say inflation 40 times during july press conference 20260720204109029	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xec8261…
07-22 18:19:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	11	32¢	$4	0x1149a8…
07-22 06:19:07	spy up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x35c8e4…
07-20 18:18:46	will ewy dip to 155 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x6430ab…
07-18 06:18:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x12e797…
07-16 18:17:56	hog quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 23 2026 0pt62	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x3220df…
07-16 06:17:53	will trump say communist during speech to the nation 20260713200621426	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xe2c37b…
07-15 06:17:38	will trump say make america great again during speech to the nation 20260713200621430	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x049efb…
07-13 17:53:53	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x88ce27…
07-13 05:52:29	will ng dip to 2 80 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x4f138d…
07-12 17:52:25	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x952f29…
07-11 17:51:52	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xfe8b95…
07-10 05:46:41	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0xb98cc0…
07-07 05:06:44	will googl dip to 350 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x8f349c…
07-06 17:06:37	wti closes above 68 on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0xeb91ce…
07-06 05:03:04	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xbb4177…
06-22 02:15:35	will pltr reach 132 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xd463eb…
06-17 15:29:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7ca3a9…
06-12 07:20:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x72cddd…
05-28 14:50:26	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x6e4d87…
05-27 06:36:23	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xb4b2b1…
05-26 10:02:11	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xa2bbbe…
05-26 02:02:03	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 in May?	No	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xddcf75…
05-24 05:27:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	62¢	$8	0x9eaff6…
05-23 21:22:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xeb8587…
05-23 12:56:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xc8f6be…
05-22 20:38:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x100a5c…
05-22 12:37:10	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x92325a…
05-22 04:34:21	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.325B?	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0xbd7d11…
05-21 12:03:07	Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above $1.60B?	Yes	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x350178…
05-21 03:52:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0xe3e0a2…
05-20 19:49:27	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $370 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x792d7c…
05-20 11:47:23	Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $21.5B?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xfd8db2…
05-19 11:29:48	Will Deere Q2 revenue be above $11.5B?	No	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x053b46…
05-19 03:27:29	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $420 in May?	No	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xf790a9…
05-18 19:25:49	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x0d9f85…
05-17 03:09:01	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xc21848…
05-16 19:07:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x5ffb2b…
05-16 11:06:36	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x232979…
05-14 10:56:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x96e97f…
05-13 10:40:35	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x2ce8ef…
04-27 20:05:16	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x9d4122…
04-27 11:55:28	another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026	No	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x0863ef…
04-27 03:53:38	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on April 27?	No	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x71f971…
04-26 03:42:04	Will Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xc3409c…
04-25 19:41:12	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x9af587…
04-25 11:34:14	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xd53b82…
04-24 18:56:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x78fd25…
04-23 18:51:48	white house of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 120 139	Yes	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xf01143…
04-23 10:50:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0xfbb06e…
04-23 02:49:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x764aba…
04-22 18:09:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x57c109…
04-22 09:45:30	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x0d1fc3…
04-22 01:03:16	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 Week of April 20 2026?	No	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x613a2c…
04-21 17:01:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x3b1384…
04-21 00:40:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xdced6c…
04-20 08:12:38	spy closes above 700 on april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x4c66b9…
04-17 15:11:58	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x2901dc…
04-15 00:39:08	rklb up or down on april 15 2026	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xc65c01…
04-14 15:41:19	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x47d180…
04-14 07:21:51	will madison airs market cap be between 13pt0b and 13pt5b at market close on ipo day	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x022a6f…
04-13 20:38:55	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xb6900c…
04-13 12:30:15	will madison airs market cap be between 12pt5b and 13pt0b at market close on ipo day	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x8d69e7…
04-13 04:27:59	will msft dip to 360 by april 13 2026	No	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xce0c59…
04-12 20:03:51	donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 100 119	Yes	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x0916aa…
04-12 10:46:21	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x1f0f7d…
04-12 02:20:55	spy up or down on april 13 2026	Up	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x0a15ad…
04-11 18:17:59	will abnb dip to 118 by april 13 2026	Yes	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xbe9c3d…
04-11 10:07:41	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xc4962b…
04-11 01:30:39	Will Carlos Álvarez finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xb04bb2…
04-10 17:09:31	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xab830f…
04-10 08:12:49	will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xa150cc…
04-09 16:01:11	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x3cd08a…
04-09 07:56:23	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 14 2026	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xadd0b3…
04-08 18:39:11	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 240 259	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x2b63b3…
04-08 10:39:03	will tisza win 120 129 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xa4c172…
04-08 01:37:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x8f30f3…
04-07 17:09:37	nflx up or down on april 8 2026	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3925bb…
04-07 07:56:21	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x2d62d2…
04-06 06:42:27	will trumps approval rating be between 39pt0 and 39pt4 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	8	42¢	$4	0x45b3da…
04-05 16:43:09	donald trump of truth social posts april 3 april 10 80 99	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x58ad5e…
04-05 08:33:33	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 65 89	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x640943…
03-30 04:48:56	will tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x4e4789…
03-27 11:00:51	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xeba85c…
03-25 15:41:57	cag quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt4	No	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0x052ed9…
03-25 04:27:57	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xed2690…
03-24 20:22:15	will iran strike safaniya field by march 31	Yes	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0x7102d6…
03-23 21:50:13	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 90 114	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xb67437…
03-23 10:42:15	rh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 2pt22	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xae0bf1…
03-23 00:24:23	dbi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 19 2026 neg0pt51	Yes	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x6b25f5…