Curly-Thaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$869

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

94.7%

Resolved

178

Trades

421

lifetime

Volume

$167.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$398

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-27

last 08-23 11:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 91% +$770

Other

3% 50% +$35

Politics

1% 67% +$66

Sports

0% 67% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes		+1	$1	97¢	$1	+$0	06-04 13:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 62k on march 29	64	$18.4K	9,143	9,318	-175	Yes	+$6	03-29 08:34
bitcoin above 62k on march 30	12	$10.3K	6,828	3,512	+3,316	Yes	+$56	03-30 06:07
bitcoin above 64k on april 8	5	$7.8K	3,951	3,950	+1	Yes	+$27	04-08 11:46
bitcoin above 60k on april 5	4	$7.5K	3,782	3,781	+1	Yes	+$10	04-04 01:17
bitcoin above 64k on april 2	2	$7.5K	3,792	3,789	+3	Yes	+$1	04-02 14:10
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	5	$4.0K	2,048	2,048	+0	No	-$2	03-01 10:22
bitcoin above 66k on april 11	5	$3.8K	3,930	2	+3,928	Yes	+$86	04-11 11:32
bitcoin above 64k on april 6	3	$3.8K	3,810	0	+3,810	Yes	+$10	04-06 07:04
bitcoin above 62k on april 3	7	$3.8K	3,765	0	+3,765	Yes	+$15	04-03 01:51
bitcoin above 66k on april 1	6	$3.5K	3,757	0	+3,757	Yes	+$225	04-01 00:08
bitcoin above 62k on march 31	4	$3.5K	3,532	0	+3,532	Yes	+$18	03-30 23:13
bitcoin above 64k on march 29	2	$3.4K	3,459	0	+3,459	Yes	+$21	03-29 08:54
bitcoin above 64k on april 5	1	$3.0K	3,030	0	+3,030	Yes	+$6	04-05 03:40
bitcoin above 62k on april 6	9	$3.0K	1,516	1,515	+1	Yes	+$13	04-06 00:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?	1	$3.0K	3,059	0	+3,059	Yes	+$59	05-13 10:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4?	3	$3.0K	3,023	0	+3,023	Yes	+$45	05-02 04:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	3	$2.7K	2,726	0	+2,726	Yes	+$15	05-20 01:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	4	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	+$22	05-18 11:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24?	6	$2.2K	2,210	0	+2,210	Yes	+$11	05-23 03:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	1	$2.1K	2,127	0	+2,127	Yes	+$12	04-25 10:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	3	$2.1K	2,200	0	+2,200	Yes	+$98	05-05 23:34
bitcoin above 70k on april 24	2	$2.0K	2,112	0	+2,112	Yes	+$84	04-21 02:13
bitcoin above 62k on march 1	2	$2.0K	1,015	1,015	+0	Yes	-$5	03-01 09:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 12?	1	$2.0K	2,009	0	+2,009	Yes	+$11	05-09 09:19
bitcoin above 66k on april 21	3	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$3	04-20 08:08
bitcoin above 72k on april 22	1	$2.0K	1,992	0	+1,992	Yes	+$12	04-22 01:14
bitcoin above 60k on april 6	3	$1.8K	907	907	+0	Yes	+$3	04-05 03:39
bitcoin above 58k on april 6	2	$1.8K	895	895	+0	Yes	+$4	04-05 00:38
bitcoin above 70k on april 21	3	$1.7K	1,686	0	+1,686	Yes	+$11	04-18 06:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	3	$1.6K	1,600	0	+1,600	Yes	+$3	05-17 03:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-23 11:26:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x73d0e0…
07-11 03:28:14	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xccb7ce…
07-09 14:12:44	Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x0f738e…
07-07 11:48:13	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb3ddaf…
07-06 13:39:49	Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x1767ee…
07-06 13:39:31	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x217972…
07-05 10:46:32	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xbadbb7…
07-04 14:23:59	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0e54d1…
07-03 13:45:23	Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x9ee648…
07-02 04:58:31	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x585f1e…
07-01 13:05:14	Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7c3de5…
06-30 13:14:26	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x0e5361…
06-29 16:24:34	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbbbc23…
06-28 01:06:34	Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6f3f47…
06-26 12:54:46	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x24ab9c…
06-25 12:19:32	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd3c702…
06-24 12:54:49	Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Canada?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xf91632…
06-23 12:56:25	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0ef4a1…
06-22 13:37:01	Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0e713c…
06-21 13:15:44	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xbe427b…
06-20 13:25:26	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3f167b…
06-20 03:35:20	fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x544c67…
06-17 13:15:40	Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf7845a…
06-16 12:13:07	Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x7b0f84…
06-15 03:00:48	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x6d44ce…
06-14 14:32:01	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 3pt5	Germany	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd99b9f…
06-13 12:14:46	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x833c26…
06-12 14:35:46	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	United States	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xbd8b3c…
06-09 14:29:39	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xeb78fc…
06-07 00:02:01	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9e99b6…
06-06 14:13:24	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8c649b…
06-04 13:55:40	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9ae5b8…
06-03 12:12:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	Yes	SELL	475	11¢	$53	0x5ce38f…
06-02 12:33:22	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7750f2…
06-01 13:00:20	LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Karmine Corp	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x881fb8…
05-31 14:30:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	128	99¢	$128	0x3068f7…
05-31 13:04:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$298	0xc8932b…
05-31 13:04:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	175	99¢	$174	0x1042a0…
05-31 13:03:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x92fb43…
05-31 13:03:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	172	100¢	$171	0x32f654…
05-30 03:02:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4c1f7c…
05-28 01:16:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	35	23¢	$8	0xd9b129…
05-28 01:14:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xac442e…
05-27 03:48:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x33a796…
05-27 01:59:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x55a303…
05-27 01:58:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xb7aa08…
05-27 01:56:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xd6bc50…
05-26 02:02:26	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x358f55…
05-26 01:43:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	700	99¢	$695	0x5e260d…
05-26 01:42:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2f8119…
05-26 01:39:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$989	0xbf73d4…
05-26 01:27:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0x4fb4df…
05-26 01:15:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0xa878df…
05-26 01:14:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x82d809…
05-25 02:28:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x9234b5…
05-25 02:22:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x5dc2be…
05-25 02:22:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x0d7209…
05-25 02:19:56	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3d2f03…
05-25 02:18:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x2298a4…
05-25 02:17:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xa66f43…
05-25 02:16:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xdb970b…
05-25 02:16:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$298	0xaea642…
05-25 02:15:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xa52a56…
05-25 02:14:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x1c3275…
05-25 02:12:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x22a3e5…
05-25 02:12:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	400	97¢	$388	0xd46655…
05-25 02:12:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x13a16e…
05-25 02:11:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5cdc48…
05-25 02:11:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa2bb48…
05-25 02:06:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x31edeb…
05-25 02:01:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8fc22e…
05-25 02:00:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$298	0x1c8bc1…
05-25 01:59:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	37	99¢	$36	0xbe0e37…
05-24 14:55:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x54bf5e…
05-24 08:29:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x5cf695…
05-24 05:53:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3f9b3b…
05-24 04:19:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xd18e1f…
05-24 03:58:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x6d8a12…
05-24 03:47:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5d5509…
05-24 01:45:44	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xf40ba6…
05-24 01:40:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x0c007b…
05-24 01:33:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x0ca510…
05-24 01:31:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x88a802…
05-24 01:29:51	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	150	36¢	$54	0x5222f5…
05-24 01:27:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	185	98¢	$181	0x53722b…
05-23 03:27:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x9d9ce2…
05-23 03:26:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x607823…
05-23 03:25:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	900	100¢	$896	0x0b1047…
05-23 03:24:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	400	99¢	$398	0x89bd3f…
05-22 06:40:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	400	99¢	$397	0x150207…
05-22 06:37:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	600	99¢	$595	0x21b919…
05-22 06:36:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf048f4…
05-22 06:36:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6bedb5…
05-22 06:36:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x4112fd…
05-22 06:36:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x29a561…
05-22 06:36:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0ec5ed…
05-22 06:36:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x3077bb…
05-22 06:35:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	470	99¢	$464	0x4b2946…
05-22 06:35:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8c2207…
05-22 06:33:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	190	98¢	$187	0x935f93…