Eminent-Parade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$55

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

84.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,437

lifetime

Volume

$26.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$114

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 07-24 01:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 45% $-55

Politics

8% — —

Other

6% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes		+263	$100	44¢	$114	+$14	07-20 01:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1776109500	10	$1.1K	591	589	+2	open	—	04-13 19:55
btc updown 15m 1776618000	8	$880	461	459	+3	open	—	04-19 17:12
btc updown 15m 1776692700	8	$758	748	437	+312	open	—	04-20 13:59
btc updown 15m 1776637800	23	$629	333	331	+2	open	—	04-19 22:40
btc updown 15m 1776283200	3	$600	617	0	+617	open	—	04-15 20:11
btc updown 15m 1776173400	7	$544	336	232	+104	open	—	04-14 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	4	$489	254	254	+0	Down	+$9	05-06 13:13
btc updown 15m 1776285000	8	$465	331	329	+2	open	—	04-15 20:43
btc updown 15m 1776108600	6	$453	252	249	+3	open	—	04-13 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	4	$453	238	238	+0	open	—	05-03 20:42
btc updown 15m 1775939400	5	$450	479	0	+479	open	—	04-11 20:42
btc updown 15m 1776032100	5	$432	307	299	+8	open	—	04-12 22:25
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	10	$431	448	330	+118	open	—	04-07 23:49
btc updown 15m 1776377700	7	$429	223	222	+1	open	—	04-16 22:29
btc updown 15m 1776604500	4	$415	214	213	+1	open	—	04-19 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	8	$413	215	215	+0	open	—	05-01 20:58
btc updown 15m 1776286800	3	$411	224	222	+2	open	—	04-15 21:12
btc updown 15m 1776716100	4	$377	370	218	+152	open	—	04-20 20:29
btc updown 15m 1775598300	13	$331	249	221	+27	open	—	04-07 21:59
btc updown 15m 1776816000	2	$327	172	172	+1	open	—	04-22 00:14
btc updown 15m 1775437200	4	$321	339	15	+323	open	—	04-06 01:12
btc updown 15m 1775958300	8	$313	391	4	+387	open	—	04-12 01:53
btc updown 15m 1776206700	10	$310	163	162	+1	open	—	04-14 22:57
btc updown 15m 1775569500	4	$308	317	0	+317	open	—	04-07 13:59
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	16	$281	631	636	-5	open	—	01-16 02:43
btc updown 15m 1776693600	5	$252	201	176	+24	open	—	04-20 14:11
btc updown 15m 1775943900	8	$242	187	184	+3	open	—	04-11 21:59
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$238	150	150	+0	open	—	01-13 16:19
btc updown 15m 1776294000	16	$234	154	120	+34	open	—	04-15 23:08
btc updown 15m 1775772900	6	$233	251	0	+251	open	—	04-09 22:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 01:12:57	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	SELL	19	87¢	$17	0xd46b20…
07-23 23:42:06	iran full airspace closure by july 27	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x46a484…
07-23 23:38:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xfec5a1…
07-23 23:22:45	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x710c8e…
07-23 23:22:24	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x66075e…
07-23 23:21:25	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x9390f7…
07-21 21:13:34	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	Yes	BUY	77	4¢	$3	0x704b84…
07-21 21:13:25	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xabe1f4…
07-20 01:07:01	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	179	39¢	$70	0x41711d…
07-20 00:20:39	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x6d5296…
07-18 22:12:51	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0x1e065d…
07-17 23:17:18	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0xedc0ee…
07-16 10:57:50	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x1645d3…
07-16 10:54:41	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf74b75…
07-15 19:06:13	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x1ddb8c…
07-15 08:14:23	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x0b5279…
07-12 22:53:26	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x46dbe9…
07-12 03:03:01	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0xc1a22a…
07-12 02:36:40	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	117	85¢	$100	0x9c2253…
07-12 01:17:32	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x0a59c4…
07-11 23:02:04	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x71eb63…
07-11 21:41:14	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x297326…
07-07 01:48:20	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	Belgium	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x6d63c8…
07-07 01:30:11	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x7d0e4d…
07-07 01:28:02	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	95	95¢	$90	0x013972…
07-06 02:32:01	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x34547a…
07-06 02:16:34	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x4fc128…
07-06 02:16:05	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x95bd23…
07-05 22:19:43	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 btts	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x617438…
07-05 22:16:10	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x48a95f…
07-05 22:15:41	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x304216…
07-05 21:49:20	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	BUY	104	85¢	$89	0x6b430f…
07-05 16:37:17	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	158	79¢	$125	0xd8fb1a…
07-04 00:03:02	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xe08d3c…
07-03 00:57:34	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	127	94¢	$120	0x157222…
07-02 22:35:35	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x757379…
07-01 00:11:14	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	41	41¢	$17	0x29f55f…
07-01 00:10:56	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x3c17df…
06-30 10:43:32	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xd9896a…
06-30 10:39:52	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x473bd1…
06-30 10:36:01	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x6e2be3…
05-14 20:22:46	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x83ad82…
05-14 20:22:17	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	No	BUY	99	50¢	$50	0xaba706…
05-07 22:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	72¢	$22	0x3ba668…
05-07 22:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	44	75¢	$33	0x279d5c…
05-07 14:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xdfacf3…
05-07 14:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa97933…
05-07 14:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xd6b4e4…
05-07 14:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0ea0c6…
05-07 13:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x3bb62d…
05-06 13:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xbb4a6b…
05-06 13:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb82379…
05-06 13:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	254	98¢	$249	0x3fab7b…
05-06 13:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xb04cdf…
05-06 13:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xdc8915…
05-06 13:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x18a72e…
05-06 12:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x28d7ca…
05-06 12:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x21b9f6…
05-06 12:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x97e2f0…
05-06 12:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xd54315…
05-05 22:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x6def6d…
05-05 22:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x1d972d…
05-05 22:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4b46f7…
05-05 18:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x5852c4…
05-05 18:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x9933d4…
05-05 18:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x3bb900…
05-05 18:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xaeecff…
05-05 15:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xbc6079…
05-05 15:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x55d0b5…
05-05 15:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x05f261…
05-05 15:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	43¢	$4	0x95b9ea…
05-05 15:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xe22d7c…
05-05 15:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6dae56…
05-05 15:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa08c66…
05-05 15:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb80d9f…
05-05 13:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x4ce208…
05-05 13:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xac9a44…
05-05 13:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xdb9f7c…
05-05 13:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xa8e215…
05-05 13:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x0c3022…
05-05 13:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x0d8f47…
05-05 13:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x090adb…
05-04 23:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0x55845c…
05-04 23:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x23808a…
05-04 21:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0x3d03e3…
05-04 21:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x4f451e…
05-04 20:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xe8a447…
05-04 15:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x73195a…
05-04 15:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa6b19a…
05-04 15:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x1c8355…
05-03 22:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x82b50b…
05-03 21:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0x1fe7d5…
05-03 21:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x0af3d3…
05-03 21:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x241718…
05-03 20:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	238	97¢	$231	0xfed5cc…
05-03 20:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x45f422…
05-03 20:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x0dd168…
05-03 20:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	84¢	$22	0x6e97b5…
05-03 20:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x652aae…
05-03 19:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xec393e…