Realized P&L
+$107
Unrealized P&L
+$51
Hit rate
77.6%
Resolved
583
Trades
1,705
lifetime
Volume
$31.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$574
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 11-03 19:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Crypto
71% 58% -$115
Other
16% 43% +$505
Politics
12% 35% -$343
Sports
2% 33% +$60
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -601 -$160 32¢ $-195 -$35 10-28 13:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +137 $82 90¢ $123 +$41 09-22 11:47
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 No +128 $50 66¢ $84 +$34 08-15 21:56
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +86 $35 62¢ $54 +$19 10-01 06:55
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +32 $20 96¢ $31 +$11 08-06 23:10
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +50 $25 48¢ $24 -$1 10-27 22:33
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +105 $20 18¢ $19 -$1 11-03 19:39
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -384 -$19 5¢ $-18 +$1 08-10 13:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +62 $14 20¢ $12 -$2 08-08 11:58
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +13 $6 55¢ $7 +$1 10-09 01:10
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +547 $5 1¢ $4 $0 08-05 02:23
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +19 $10 10¢ $2 -$8 09-21 17:22
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +56 $3 3¢ $1 -$2 09-16 14:48
Will Trump say "Burger" in October? Yes +28 $7 0¢ $0 -$7 11-02 10:13