Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

83.8%

Resolved

181

Trades

559

lifetime

Volume

$14.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$186

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 10-29 17:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Other

46% 87% +$45

Politics

19% 67% -$7

Crypto

17% 73% -$63

Tech

12% 100% +$25

Sports

5% 75% -$10

Pop-Culture

1% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	+50	$49	99¢	$49	$0	10-29 17:16
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+46	$44	96¢	$44	$0	10-07 11:22
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+40	$39	98¢	$39	$0	10-28 11:52
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+36	$34	94¢	$34	$0	10-20 00:57
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	+20	$20	99¢	$20	+$0	10-26 01:16
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+100	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	08-27 15:39
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	+0	$0	98¢	$0	$0	10-13 21:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	+$0	10-18 03:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	6	$258	132	132	+0	No	+$0	05-20 15:47
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	10	$235	135	135	+0	Yes	+$2	03-25 06:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	4	$231	118	118	+0	No	+$1	04-15 06:31
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	6	$223	120	120	+0	open	—	10-20 04:50
will wti reach 130 in october 2026	7	$219	110	110	+0	open	—	10-26 20:37
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$206	158	158	+0	No	-$42	06-02 03:41
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	14	$190	99	99	+0	Yes	+$1	08-16 00:04
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$169	89	89	+0	No	+$2	05-25 06:58
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	8	$169	86	86	+0	Yes	+$0	08-30 07:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	5	$167	86	86	+0	No	+$1	09-25 06:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	6	$163	170	100	+70	No	+$6	06-02 08:43
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 0 39	2	$159	80	80	+0	No	+$0	04-12 10:29
nba sas gsw 2026 04 01	6	$154	78	78	+0	Spurs	+$1	04-02 04:10
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	9	$152	80	79	+0	Yes	+$3	08-22 05:46
will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	5	$146	76	76	+0	No	$0	07-24 13:23
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$138	70	70	+0	No	+$2	04-01 06:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 14:15 UTC	4	$131	96	92	+4	Up	+$2	04-21 14:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 14:30 UTC	2	$129	66	66	+0	Up	+$2	04-21 14:45
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 200 219	2	$128	65	65	+0	No	+$2	04-09 15:35
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	6	$127	72	72	+0	Yes	+$2	09-09 15:22
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$124	84	44	+40	open	—	10-28 11:52
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	2	$123	62	62	+0	No	+$1	04-29 09:58
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	4	$121	61	61	+0	No	+$0	05-23 05:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$119	60	60	+0	No	+$0	04-27 18:18
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$119	60	60	+0	No	+$1	04-26 12:17
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$118	60	60	+0	No	+$0	04-08 12:30
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$117	60	60	+0	Yes	+$1	02-16 19:59
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	5	$116	59	59	+0	Yes	$0	03-23 16:48
crude oil all time high by march 31	2	$114	60	60	+0	No	+$2	03-20 12:43
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	5	$113	60	60	+0	open	—	10-12 08:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:16:26	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x9f6403…
10-28 15:28:34	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	37	96¢	$36	0x6cb482…
10-28 11:52:31	Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x580dea…
10-28 11:41:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xbfac8b…
10-27 05:04:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x7bb034…
10-26 20:37:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xd2d1b0…
10-26 17:13:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xd44df8…
10-26 02:31:08	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0x5b0789…
10-26 01:16:24	Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xafd67c…
10-25 22:29:11	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	18	91¢	$16	0xf052dd…
10-24 14:14:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x307034…
10-23 19:42:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xdfa47e…
10-22 04:31:11	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x2a3473…
10-21 08:22:54	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x0f306b…
10-20 04:50:06	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x052e69…
10-20 00:57:32	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0x5b1efe…
10-18 08:34:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xa8b8ef…
10-18 03:30:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xf82019…
10-17 15:01:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc833ad…
10-17 10:57:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x594300…
10-17 10:43:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xb1c224…
10-17 08:40:53	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x33421b…
10-15 16:18:59	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x73cb4e…
10-15 01:42:49	will wti reach 140 in october 2026	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x24a34f…
10-14 11:59:57	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	36	96¢	$34	0x736526…
10-14 11:50:20	will wti reach 130 in october 2026	No	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0xb42adc…
10-13 21:25:15	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x77a69b…
10-13 19:57:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0x03c031…
10-12 14:52:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$35	0xa18cd8…
10-12 08:40:15	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0x0fb78e…
10-11 14:05:19	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa848bf…
10-11 13:38:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x10d50a…
10-11 05:57:56	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x4fc7a5…
10-10 21:12:54	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x882e43…
10-10 21:12:52	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc9d010…
10-10 09:53:00	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x03b81e…
10-10 09:47:01	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x4c8fc6…
10-10 09:41:46	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5689ea…
10-10 07:06:19	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0xdc9d2d…
10-09 09:01:25	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0x5311dc…
10-09 08:18:27	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8057ab…
10-08 11:33:38	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$34	0x0aaa2d…
10-07 11:22:19	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xbb58d4…
10-07 11:04:41	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x53ab60…
10-07 09:49:54	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x8dee1a…
10-06 15:34:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x49b6ab…
10-06 11:36:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x81d707…
10-05 10:39:55	Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x9b5bd0…
10-04 23:50:08	Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x99fa1e…
10-04 17:18:02	Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xeafe26…
10-04 12:07:50	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4c9b2c…
10-04 08:14:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xbbab32…
10-02 19:19:41	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xb9296d…
09-30 16:29:48	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	29	98¢	$29	0xf04fb3…
09-29 19:12:32	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xbf54c0…
09-29 10:55:15	Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xa65bbf…
09-29 09:05:24	Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x887418…
09-28 10:47:05	Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xb85b4f…
09-28 08:16:35	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0xdc746b…
09-28 08:03:59	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x7a2ccb…
09-25 15:05:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 26?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x56a6c4…
09-25 15:05:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x291460…
09-25 15:05:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x263392…
09-25 06:28:45	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xf02871…
09-25 06:24:30	Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0xa423ea…
09-24 05:58:41	bitcoin above 82k on september 24 2026	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x9ab904…
09-23 06:12:13	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xdbc3c4…
09-23 04:56:32	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$29	0xda12f3…
09-21 18:04:18	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x2a6a33…
09-21 14:38:41	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x4de355…
09-20 13:52:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 20?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x30a1fd…
09-19 19:09:56	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xa5c512…
09-19 13:31:59	Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x37eb3b…
09-19 04:08:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xb508c1…
09-18 06:14:13	Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0xb4d514…
09-17 06:07:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x87634f…
09-17 04:05:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6ea1e5…
09-15 03:35:54	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x4e7dfb…
09-14 09:45:07	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	86¢	$34	0xd9c39f…
09-14 02:07:36	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0x59eafb…
09-13 16:34:16	Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xa82893…
09-13 04:49:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 13?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x37cf99…
09-10 08:45:52	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xf1be13…
09-09 18:50:48	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$32	0x274438…
09-09 15:22:15	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	89¢	$21	0x0321b5…
09-09 14:49:57	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x2e18c6…
09-09 14:24:25	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xf7b9b6…
09-09 12:55:48	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x42f6b9…
09-09 08:57:36	Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x727407…
09-09 08:30:13	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xbad581…
09-08 19:16:25	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa1f51c…
09-08 05:26:07	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$25	0x5c85d5…
09-07 14:22:55	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xfe375d…
09-07 14:22:55	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	75¢	$24	0xf3a9bf…
09-07 10:51:10	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0xf1fd64…
09-06 11:33:15	Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0x672a15…
09-05 08:50:58	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0x3811f0…
09-04 22:00:01	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0x9f0dc4…
09-04 12:26:13	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x3eb218…
09-03 16:09:27	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	86¢	$28	0x28c9c4…