Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$83

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

645

Trades

1,211

lifetime

Volume

$20.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$127

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 10-13 03:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

82% 57% -$6

Crypto

15% 43% -$77

Politics

2% 70% -$17

Tech

1% 100% +$16

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes		+110	$64	60¢	$65	+$1	10-13 03:29
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes		+90	$67	68¢	$62	-$6	09-22 11:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol wb nip 2026 04 09	37	$791	1,500	100	+1,400	Ninjas in Pyjamas	-$13	04-09 11:29
lol wb blg 2026 04 12 game1	29	$781	1,460	175	+1,285	Bilibili Gaming	$0	04-12 12:40
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	21	$609	1,241	0	+1,241	Bilibili Gaming	+$13	04-29 12:35
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	7	$594	1,200	0	+1,200	Anyone's Legend	+$6	04-28 09:18
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner	4	$584	1,180	0	+1,180	T1	+$6	04-26 08:54
lol t1a nsea 2026 04 07	13	$584	1,100	0	+1,100	T1 Academy	+$16	04-07 10:30
lol t1 kt 2026 04 01 game2	13	$574	1,100	0	+1,100	KT Rolster	+$26	04-01 11:47
lol omg lng 2026 04 24 game2	8	$544	1,100	0	+1,100	LNG Esports	+$6	04-24 10:11
lol wb we 2026 04 22 game2	6	$534	1,080	0	+1,080	Weibo Gaming	+$6	04-22 10:14
lol wb omg 2026 04 20 game2	2	$500	1,000	0	+1,000	Weibo Gaming	+$0	04-20 09:56
lol blg al 2026 04 19 game2	8	$492	1,003	0	+1,003	Bilibili Gaming	+$11	04-19 12:17
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	3	$490	1,000	0	+1,000	JD Gaming	+$10	04-25 10:12
lol lgd edg 2026 04 23 game2	9	$490	1,000	0	+1,000	LGD Gaming	+$10	04-23 10:07
lol hle1 fox1 2026 04 10 game2	13	$479	900	0	+900	BNK FEARX	-$79	04-10 11:14
lol t1 hle1 2026 04 04 game2	10	$452	750	0	+750	T1	+$48	04-04 09:37
lol gx shft 2026 04 13 game1	4	$430	530	250	+280	GIANTX	-$360	04-13 17:56
lol tes jdg 2026 04 11 game2	4	$420	750	250	+500	Top Esports	-$110	04-11 12:48
lol ktc dkc 2026 04 06 game1	8	$411	600	0	+600	KT Rolster Challengers	+$39	04-06 11:21
lol sk th 2026 03 29 game2	17	$390	800	0	+800	Team Heretics	+$10	03-29 16:17
lol we al 2026 04 16 game2	9	$385	780	0	+780	Anyone's Legend	+$5	04-16 10:17
lol al tes 2026 03 30 game1	9	$383	700	0	+700	Anyone's Legend	+$17	03-30 11:04
lol blg jdg 2026 04 14	9	$383	700	0	+700	JD Gaming	-$33	04-13 11:34
lol blg jdg 2026 04 14 game2	10	$381	700	0	+700	JD Gaming	+$19	04-13 10:32
lol ktc dkc 2026 04 06 game2	5	$280	400	100	+300	Dplus KIA Challengers	-$34	04-06 12:30
lol ns fox1 2026 04 15 game2	10	$269	500	0	+500	Nongshim Red Force	+$31	04-15 09:22
lol tes jdg 2026 04 11 game1	7	$258	400	196	+204	Top Esports	-$14	04-11 12:01
lol t1 gen 2026 04 08 game2	8	$250	487	0	+487	Gen.G	+$37	04-08 11:25
lol ig1 tes 2026 04 13 game2	3	$245	500	0	+500	Invictus Gaming	+$5	04-14 11:51
lol nip jdg 2026 04 17 game2	2	$228	460	0	+460	Ninjas in Pyjamas	+$2	04-17 13:00
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	5	$218	420	0	+420	Natus Vincere	+$2	04-25 17:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 03:29:53	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	90	59¢	$53	0x4b77f0…
10-13 03:29:33	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	88¢	$26	0xca2aef…
10-13 03:29:29	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x314a49…
09-22 11:31:54	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	60	78¢	$47	0xdacd55…
09-22 11:31:27	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	Yes	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x2c8fa0…
09-15 14:51:57	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	Yes	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x8fbe05…
09-14 10:44:06	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x7a2a39…
09-13 19:26:00	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0xd499be…
09-13 12:56:33	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x6c5e6c…
09-13 12:56:03	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xd0d6fe…
09-13 12:55:49	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x347c28…
09-13 12:55:43	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x6d0daa…
09-05 14:22:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xb86f31…
08-28 15:11:06	Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x27459a…
08-28 15:10:06	Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x9eb7a0…
08-28 15:10:06	Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x725082…
08-28 12:37:46	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xbfb4fd…
08-10 23:37:36	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0x794cc8…
08-10 13:36:43	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xf7f6b5…
08-09 18:40:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x551c77…
08-09 13:07:42	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x50ff91…
08-09 08:16:31	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb64355…
06-28 05:31:25	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x81f810…
06-28 01:15:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x1f3f3f…
06-28 01:13:56	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 01:10 UTC	Down	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0x063f5a…
06-28 01:12:34	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe3ff6b…
06-28 01:12:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x6a73f9…
06-28 01:11:19	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x706f36…
06-28 01:11:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x4715d7…
06-28 01:08:05	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x41fe11…
06-28 01:07:34	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x16506c…
06-28 01:06:29	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 01:05 UTC	Down	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xbcfe82…
06-28 01:05:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x34f6ab…
06-28 01:05:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x36cbdf…
06-28 01:05:17	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x24c312…
06-28 01:04:26	XRP Up or Down - June 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	502	1¢	$5	0x460c08…
06-28 01:04:04	Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x85b100…
06-28 01:03:32	Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x666c96…
06-28 01:02:35	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf91fd5…
06-28 00:59:05	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x7edbde…
06-28 00:57:56	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x323d13…
06-28 00:56:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xde3281…
06-28 00:56:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xfd23d8…
06-28 00:55:52	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	502	1¢	$5	0x062eaf…
06-28 00:55:40	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xb44315…
06-28 00:52:31	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	61	8¢	$5	0xc94356…
06-28 00:50:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xd48322…
06-28 00:50:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	502	1¢	$5	0x9760d6…
06-28 00:49:26	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	66	8¢	$5	0xf2963a…
06-28 00:48:23	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:45 UTC	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x4f9edd…
06-28 00:45:20	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf1c14c…
06-28 00:45:19	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd1a077…
06-28 00:44:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:40 UTC	Down	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xcba2f1…
06-28 00:42:11	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xcf4f63…
06-28 00:40:49	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x33fb79…
06-28 00:40:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe5c2fe…
06-28 00:40:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x1e005c…
06-28 00:38:14	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xdada09…
06-28 00:37:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xb32027…
06-28 00:36:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x39644e…
06-28 00:36:01	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x9db859…
06-28 00:33:47	XRP Up or Down - June 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	110	4¢	$5	0xbc5f4b…
06-28 00:33:01	Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xa1dfba…
06-28 00:30:31	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xf57aa7…
06-28 00:29:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	522	1¢	$5	0x47f4b8…
06-28 00:27:43	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x2d2129…
06-28 00:26:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc4bfc6…
06-28 00:25:29	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x48beba…
06-28 00:24:50	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x1cd315…
06-28 00:21:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xa4c6b7…
06-28 00:20:50	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x0b7aa1…
06-28 00:16:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xcc039e…
06-28 00:15:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x59acfd…
06-28 00:13:52	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x0e8abd…
06-28 00:12:49	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:10 UTC	Down	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x5b9974…
06-28 00:12:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x1b9cf4…
06-28 00:12:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x8ee1b8…
06-28 00:10:44	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x481893…
06-28 00:08:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	126	4¢	$5	0x1d0588…
06-28 00:06:58	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x790c01…
06-28 00:05:40	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x598759…
06-28 00:02:59	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x837935…
06-28 00:02:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xd61233…
06-28 00:01:26	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xe24b0b…
06-28 00:01:07	XRP Up or Down - June 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5,020	0¢	$5	0xbd3bee…
06-28 00:00:22	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x191a95…
06-27 23:55:52	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x73d6c8…
06-27 23:55:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x20ab0e…
06-27 23:54:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6ba26a…
06-27 23:54:19	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 23:50 UTC	Up	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x142f2a…
06-27 23:53:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 23:50 UTC	Down	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0x7a2fc7…
06-27 23:51:46	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6363a5…
06-27 23:50:56	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x492f8a…
06-27 23:50:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xbe7e53…
06-27 23:48:10	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x5f45dd…
06-27 23:48:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 23:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x29157f…
06-27 23:47:14	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x915541…
06-27 23:46:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x9eed40…
06-27 23:45:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9a9148…
06-27 23:43:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x3d547e…