Realized P&L (7d)
-$21
Unrealized P&L
+$37
Hit rate
4.0%
Resolved (7d)
19,599
Trades (7d)
25,006
1,258,284 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$217
$56.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$39
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 04:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 302 days
Categories
Other
48% 0% +$6,784
Crypto
44% 0% -$4,243
Sports
3% 1% -$975
Politics
3% 4% +$1,986
Tech
0% 3% +$128
Pop-Culture
0% 3% +$135
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 6697 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +10 $0 91¢ $9 +$9 08-27 18:30
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +31 $0 28¢ $9 +$9 05-15 12:54
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +60 $0 4¢ $3 +$3 05-20 15:39
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +100 $0 2¢ $2 +$2 10-25 00:08
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +100 $0 2¢ $2 +$2 05-20 15:39
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +100 $0 2¢ $2 +$2 10-03 12:57
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $0 2¢ $2 +$2 07-10 15:30
Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat? Yes +100 $0 2¢ $2 +$2 08-04 13:37
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 10-01 23:48
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +100 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 10-07 01:53
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +100 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 07-31 03:26
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? Yes +100 $0 1¢ $1 +$0 08-02 22:08
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $0 1¢ $1 +$0 08-04 08:10
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +100 $0 1¢ $1 +$0 05-20 15:39
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 05-20 01:43
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-16 02:59
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 05-20 15:39
Will Zuby Ejiofor win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 06-28 23:45
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +10 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 10-14 12:51
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +10 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 09-12 17:45
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +65 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-04 00:33
Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +10 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 09-26 21:07
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-19 22:39
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-14 07:12
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 06-30 02:41
Will Allen Graves win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 06-28 23:45
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +10 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 10-15 06:34
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? Yes +10 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 10-01 15:08
Plague pandemic in 2026? Yes +10 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 10-18 05:40
Will Labaron Philon Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 07-14 01:37