Realized P&L (7d)
+$357
Unrealized P&L
+$183
Hit rate
88.9%
Resolved (7d)
6
Trades (7d)
223
2,750 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$25.5K
$1.17M lifetime
Avg / trade
$426
Open exposure
$13.2K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-30 19:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 97 days
Categories
Other
50% 90% -$178
Politics
23% 93% +$2,161
Crypto
20% 95% +$17,234
Sports
5% 100% +$60
Tech
2% 67% +$23
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +5,880 $5,826 100¢ $5.9K +$48 10-14 12:12
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +3,992 $3,398 99¢ $4.0K +$570 10-26 06:42
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? No +1,000 $978 100¢ $998 +$21 10-21 21:34
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 31 2026 No +861 $289 98¢ $845 +$556 10-26 18:49
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? No +500 $495 100¢ $499 +$4 10-01 11:16
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +640 $418 70¢ $451 +$33 10-30 11:43
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +271 $264 98¢ $266 +$2 10-30 19:57
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +640 $215 30¢ $189 -$26 10-30 11:43
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +69 $8 99¢ $68 +$60 10-04 08:59
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? No +862 $554 1¢ $10 -$543 10-26 18:49
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +3,994 $502 0¢ $10 -$492 10-26 06:42
will the next google gemini pro model be released by october 31 2026 Yes +69 $51 2¢ $1 -$50 10-04 10:29