Pessimistic-Omega 0x343fdd…e36df2 Create alert
whale hot 26W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$19.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
97.1%
Resolved
213
Trades
2,907
lifetime
Volume
$1.18M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$405
Open exposure
$1.97K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 11-09 19:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 101 days
Categories
Other
50% 88% +$529
Politics
23% 90% +$2,202
Crypto
20% 95% +$17,234
Sports
5% 100% +$60
Tech
2% 57% -$479
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$58
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +800 $780 98¢ $785 +$5 11-07 23:59
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +335 $250 80¢ $270 +$20 11-06 13:44
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +168 $145 99¢ $167 +$22 11-09 04:38
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +150 $134 93¢ $140 +$6 11-05 23:06
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +130 $105 88¢ $114 +$9 11-09 19:59
Will there be no next Claude Opus model (5.6+) release by November 30, 2026? Yes +264 $94 36¢ $96 +$2 11-09 20:06
Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +164 $106 50¢ $82 -$24 11-05 15:08
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by November 30, 2026? Yes +129 $95 55¢ $70 -$24 11-08 19:33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +335 $77 20¢ $65 -$12 11-06 13:44
Will the Bank of Russia announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting? No +50 $50 99¢ $50 +$0 11-08 14:10
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? Yes +50 $48 97¢ $49 +$1 11-09 09:30
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +121 $30 36¢ $44 +$14 11-08 19:33
Will Anthropic not IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +130 $22 11¢ $14 -$8 11-09 19:59
Will there be no GPT Astra 6.1+ release by November 30, 2026? Yes +150 $14 6¢ $10 -$4 11-05 18:27
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +10 $6 64¢ $6 +$0 11-06 15:32
Will there be no next Grok model (4.8+) release by November 30, 2026? Yes +11 $3 36¢ $4 +$0 11-06 15:32
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by November 30, 2026? Yes +168 $20 0¢ $0 -$20 11-09 04:38