Realized P&L
+$19.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$42
Hit rate
97.1%
Resolved
213
Trades
2,892
lifetime
Volume
$1.18M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$407
Open exposure
$1.79K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 11-08 19:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 101 days
Categories
Other
50% 88% +$529
Politics
23% 90% +$2,202
Crypto
20% 95% +$17,234
Sports
5% 100% +$60
Tech
2% 57% -$479
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$58
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +800 $780 98¢ $784 +$4 11-07 23:59
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +335 $250 76¢ $253 +$3 11-06 13:44
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +150 $134 92¢ $137 +$3 11-05 23:06
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +148 $128 89¢ $132 +$4 11-08 15:03
Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +164 $106 62¢ $101 -$5 11-05 15:08
Will there be no next Claude Opus model (5.6+) release by November 30, 2026? Yes +164 $52 53¢ $87 +$35 11-05 15:08
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +335 $77 24¢ $79 +$1 11-06 13:44
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by November 30, 2026? Yes +129 $95 58¢ $76 -$19 11-08 19:33
Will the Bank of Russia announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting? No +50 $50 99¢ $49 $0 11-08 14:10
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +121 $30 38¢ $46 +$15 11-08 19:33
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by November 30, 2026? Yes +148 $18 12¢ $19 +$1 11-08 15:03
Will there be no GPT Astra 6.1+ release by November 30, 2026? Yes +150 $14 10¢ $14 +$1 11-05 18:27
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +10 $6 54¢ $6 -$1 11-06 15:32
Will there be no next Grok model (4.8+) release by November 30, 2026? Yes +11 $3 36¢ $4 +$0 11-06 15:32