Pessimistic-Omega 0x343fdd…e36df2 Create alert
whale hot 26W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$19.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$46
Hit rate
97.1%
Resolved
215
Trades
2,912
lifetime
Volume
$1.18M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$404
Open exposure
$1.98K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 11-10 08:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 102 days
Categories
Other
50% 87% +$532
Politics
23% 90% +$2,202
Crypto
20% 95% +$17,234
Sports
5% 100% +$60
Tech
2% 57% -$479
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$58
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +800 $780 98¢ $785 +$5 11-07 23:59
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +355 $266 88¢ $312 +$46 11-10 09:02
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +150 $134 94¢ $141 +$7 11-05 23:06
Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +264 $160 53¢ $140 -$20 11-10 08:17
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +130 $105 95¢ $123 +$18 11-09 19:59
Will there be no next Claude Opus model (5.6+) release by November 30, 2026? Yes +264 $94 46¢ $121 +$27 11-09 20:06
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by November 30, 2026? Yes +121 $89 68¢ $83 -$6 11-10 08:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +355 $81 15¢ $51 -$29 11-10 09:02
Will the Bank of Russia announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting? No +50 $50 99¢ $50 +$0 11-08 14:10
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? Yes +50 $48 97¢ $49 +$1 11-09 09:30
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +121 $30 38¢ $46 +$16 11-08 19:33
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +60 $37 63¢ $38 +$1 11-09 22:42
Will there be no next Grok model (4.8+) release by November 30, 2026? Yes +61 $21 36¢ $22 +$0 11-09 22:42
Will there be no GPT Astra 6.1+ release by November 30, 2026? Yes +150 $14 6¢ $9 -$4 11-05 18:27
Will Anthropic not IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +130 $22 6¢ $7 -$15 11-09 19:59