Realized P&L (30d)
+$680
Unrealized P&L
+$34
Hit rate
90.6%
Resolved (30d)
35
Trades (30d)
631
2,858 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$46.8K
$1.18M lifetime
Avg / trade
$411
Open exposure
$1.29K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 11-05 23:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 101 days
Categories
Other
50% 88% +$529
Politics
23% 90% +$2,202
Crypto
20% 95% +$17,234
Sports
5% 100% +$60
Tech
2% 57% -$479
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$58
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +700 $682 98¢ $685 +$2 11-05 04:25
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +205 $157 66¢ $134 -$23 11-04 14:27
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +150 $134 86¢ $129 -$5 11-05 23:06
Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +164 $106 60¢ $99 -$7 11-05 15:08
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +205 $43 36¢ $73 +$30 11-04 14:27
Will there be no next Claude Opus model (5.6+) release by November 30, 2026? Yes +164 $52 43¢ $71 +$18 11-05 15:08
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +71 $58 72¢ $51 -$7 11-03 23:23
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by November 30, 2026? Yes +71 $12 38¢ $27 +$15 11-03 23:23
Will there be no GPT Astra 6.1+ release by November 30, 2026? Yes +150 $14 15¢ $23 +$9 11-05 18:27