Realized P&L (24h)
-$19
Unrealized P&L
+$1.26K
Hit rate
23.6%
Resolved (24h)
7
Trades (24h)
18
931 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$1.90K
$131.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$141
Open exposure
$3.13K
14 positions
First seen
2026-08-08
last 11-09 22:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 50 days
Categories
Other
52% 88% +$2,751
Politics
46% 91% -$149
Tech
3% 67% +$1,173
Crypto
0% 100% +$2
Sports
0% 100% +$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by November 30? Yes +1,595 $1,409 99¢ $1.6K +$177 11-09 22:43
Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 15, 2026? No +981 $485 47¢ $465 -$20 11-05 18:28
Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 12, 2026? No +342 $276 86¢ $293 +$17 11-05 17:04
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on November 8, 2026? Yes +236 $232 100¢ $235 +$3 11-09 22:11
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes +1,648 $213 10¢ $162 -$51 11-02 14:19
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on November 9, 2026? Yes +110 $109 100¢ $109 +$1 11-09 22:05
Will there be at least 5800 measles cases in the U.S. by November 30, 2026? Yes +118 $79 70¢ $82 +$3 11-06 15:10
Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 30? Yes +78 $77 100¢ $78 +$1 11-09 21:17
Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 15? Yes +70 $69 100¢ $70 +$1 11-09 21:17
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31? Yes +214 $54 16¢ $35 -$19 10-19 15:27
Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026? Yes +34 $10 21¢ $7 -$3 09-03 16:01
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by October 31, 2026? Yes +100 $51 5¢ $5 -$46 10-16 19:32
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes +0 -$227 100¢ $0 +$227 10-08 16:53
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? Yes +0 -$970 2¢ $0 +$970 10-08 12:23