Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$723

Unrealized P&L

+$1.32K

Hit rate

91.5%

Resolved (30d)

203

Trades (30d)

563

697 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$64.3K

$73.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$105

Open exposure

$139

6 positions

First seen

2026-08-08

last 10-29 19:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Politics

55% 93% -$1,595

Other

41% 88% +$1,024

Tech

4% 56% +$1,160

Crypto

0% 100% +$2

Sports

0% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+6,820	$240	1¢	$89	-$152	10-29 16:11
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	No	-50	-$26	98¢	$-49	-$23	09-27 15:04
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	Yes	-50	-$58	2¢	$-1	+$57	09-28 14:19
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	+0	-$227	97¢	$0	+$227	10-08 16:53
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	+0	-$1,260	100¢	$0	+$1,260	10-28 20:10
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	+0	$45	1¢	$0	-$45	10-01 16:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	14	$15.8K	9,000	9,000	+0	open	—	10-28 20:10
us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	8	$3.0K	3,877	3,877	+0	No	-$2,337	09-28 23:00
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	14	$2.9K	3,052	0	+3,052	Yes	+$146	10-16 17:36
Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?	6	$2.0K	1,080	1,080	+0	Yes	+$11	10-04 18:55
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?	4	$1.4K	825	825	+0	Yes	+$83	10-01 03:02
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?	8	$1.2K	1,144	225	+919	Yes	+$44	10-13 11:57
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during October Press Conference?	1	$1.2K	1,196	0	+1,196	No	+$12	10-28 19:27
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?	7	$1.1K	1,465	1,465	+0	open	—	10-08 12:23
Will Trump say "Border" 22+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	1	$1.1K	1,127	0	+1,127	No	+$17	10-25 00:57
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 13?	5	$1.1K	1,153	0	+1,153	Yes	+$43	10-13 22:03
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 10?	3	$1.1K	1,165	0	+1,165	Yes	+$85	10-11 09:56
openai resumes training by october 31 2026	12	$1.1K	1,271	20	+1,251	Yes	+$228	10-23 19:43
Will Trump say "Canada" 4+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	1	$1.0K	1,020	0	+1,020	No	+$12	10-25 21:49
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	1	$990	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$10	10-29 00:43
Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	2	$985	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$145	10-16 22:45
Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	5	$883	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	+$317	10-29 03:40
Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	1	$870	879	0	+879	No	+$9	10-25 00:56
Will Trump say "Marxist" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	2	$852	860	0	+860	No	+$9	10-25 21:53
Trump renames AI by September 30?	5	$809	852	852	+0	Yes	+$97	09-22 15:13
Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	4	$792	800	0	+800	Yes	+$8	10-27 00:37
Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	8	$790	3,356	3,356	+0	Yes	+$79	10-19 16:08
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	2	$771	1,175	1,175	+0	No	-$325	09-29 02:47
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	5	$757	776	0	+776	Yes	+$19	10-21 01:08
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?	3	$734	472	472	+0	open	—	09-23 22:13
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	2	$718	428	428	+0	Yes	+$129	10-29 10:42
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?	7	$696	1,853	1,853	+0	open	—	09-30 23:32
Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?	4	$624	631	0	+631	Yes	+$7	10-12 18:42
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman by October 31?	3	$622	629	0	+629	Yes	+$8	10-13 16:15
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?	12	$615	1,122	0	+1,122	Yes	+$508	10-09 22:08
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31?	1	$614	626	0	+626	Yes	+$11	10-13 11:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 19:49:33	Will Trump say "Radical Left Lunatic" this week?	Yes	BUY	78	99¢	$78	0xec33d0…
10-29 19:49:27	Will Trump say "Radical Left Lunatic" this week?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xde1268…
10-29 17:56:19	Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x8ea03c…
10-29 17:55:50	Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?	Yes	SELL	145	20¢	$29	0x57e090…
10-29 17:54:32	Will there be at least 4900 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xab10e6…
10-29 17:54:23	Will there be at least 4900 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	72	90¢	$65	0xfb0d8a…
10-29 17:54:14	Will there be at least 4900 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	132	93¢	$123	0x0626c7…
10-29 17:53:47	Will Muse be available on Meta glasses by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	377	72¢	$271	0x3e646f…
10-29 17:21:22	Will Trump say "Radical Left Lunatic" this week?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x6a1de7…
10-29 16:11:56	Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	280	4¢	$10	0x37e418…
10-29 15:11:02	Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	794	3¢	$28	0x76b1f8…
10-29 14:35:22	Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	7,894	4¢	$278	0xb94919…
10-29 10:42:40	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	Yes	SELL	428	99¢	$424	0xc39eac…
10-29 10:40:25	Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2027? (copy)	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x27f941…
10-29 10:00:10	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	Yes	BUY	428	69¢	$295	0x8dc615…
10-29 03:40:38	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,155	50¢	$578	0x12bdbf…
10-29 03:40:32	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0xfe4ecf…
10-29 03:40:31	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0xf56ba8…
10-29 03:40:31	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0xddec3b…
10-29 03:40:23	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,200	24¢	$283	0x324927…
10-29 02:34:52	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x769475…
10-29 02:00:47	will any other company have the best ai model on livebench mathematics at the end of october 2026 20260811194842723	Yes	BUY	66	3¢	$2	0x2d7fb9…
10-29 01:51:05	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x90ca42…
10-29 01:38:56	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$28	0x74ef6e…
10-29 01:38:17	Will Trump say "Climate Change" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0x05f896…
10-29 01:37:59	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x6972e5…
10-29 01:24:14	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x54d85a…
10-29 01:20:35	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x44fe71…
10-29 01:20:29	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0332c0…
10-29 01:20:19	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xba2724…
10-29 00:43:19	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0x668168…
10-29 00:38:34	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0fc5e2…
10-29 00:30:37	Will Trump say "Cleveland" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4b661e…
10-29 00:29:05	Will Trump say "Cleveland" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9b8711…
10-29 00:28:04	Will Trump say "Cleveland" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x479490…
10-29 00:27:35	Will Trump say "Cleveland" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0xa2dd4d…
10-28 22:28:40	Will Microsoft say "Excel" during earnings call?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7680eb…
10-28 22:27:56	Will Microsoft say "GitHub" 15+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x39738c…
10-28 22:27:50	Will Microsoft say "Excel" during earnings call?	No	BUY	135	78¢	$106	0x2c1d1b…
10-28 22:03:05	Will Microsoft say "Azure" 15+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x7766bc…
10-28 21:59:40	Will Microsoft say "Azure" 15+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	154	94¢	$144	0x42f860…
10-28 21:48:56	Will Microsoft say "Gaming" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	208	99¢	$206	0x47c377…
10-28 21:43:05	Will Microsoft say "Agent" / "Agentic" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xd4762a…
10-28 21:24:16	Will Google say "TPU" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	92	99¢	$92	0x9c2b7e…
10-28 21:23:59	Will Google say "Debt" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	88	99¢	$88	0x85cf47…
10-28 21:23:34	Will Google say "Quantum" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe8b301…
10-28 21:22:56	Will Google say "Gemini" 30+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	94	99¢	$93	0x73b4ca…
10-28 20:53:16	Will Google say "TPU" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	144	97¢	$140	0x38839a…
10-28 20:39:23	Will Google say "Quantum" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	210	99¢	$208	0x345e9a…
10-28 20:10:47	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	SELL	7,589	95¢	$7,210	0x4e8875…
10-28 20:10:19	Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	61	93¢	$56	0xb6c1fc…
10-28 19:48:44	Will Warsh say "Pressure" or "Stagflation" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xbc2304…
10-28 19:40:20	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0xf05bcd…
10-28 19:28:10	Will Warsh say "Price" 30+ times during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	210	99¢	$208	0x28df3e…
10-28 19:27:58	Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	1,196	99¢	$1,184	0x6849a1…
10-28 19:24:02	Will Warsh say "Oversight" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x07aa46…
10-28 19:23:34	Will Warsh say "Oversight" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x0ecbe6…
10-28 19:23:26	Will Warsh say "Oversight" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0xe1a8d7…
10-28 19:22:34	Will Warsh say "Conflict" or "Middle East" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	59	99¢	$59	0x06926b…
10-28 17:02:17	Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xeb5f69…
10-28 17:00:47	Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xf32a4e…
10-28 15:07:53	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xb8877d…
10-28 15:03:02	Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2027? (copy)	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xaf6905…
10-28 15:02:53	Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2027? (copy)	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x493e52…
10-28 15:02:47	Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2027? (copy)	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x212428…
10-28 15:02:46	Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2027? (copy)	No	SELL	4	85¢	$4	0x040b2f…
10-28 14:56:10	Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2027? (copy)	No	BUY	295	80¢	$236	0xf77a5e…
10-28 14:09:37	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	SELL	90	95¢	$86	0x516b93…
10-28 13:28:26	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	SELL	1,268	95¢	$1,204	0x4c7cc7…
10-28 12:13:05	Will Andy Burnham say "Scotland" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	182	96¢	$176	0xf9820d…
10-28 12:02:26	Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	97	98¢	$94	0x13a8ca…
10-28 10:15:13	Will In-fa become a Super Typhoon?	Yes	BUY	455	99¢	$450	0x252891…
10-28 09:18:26	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x7660b4…
10-28 04:38:02	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	3,000	65¢	$1,950	0xff115d…
10-28 04:18:28	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	285	10¢	$30	0x537b81…
10-28 04:13:53	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	1,993	85¢	$1,694	0x7875e8…
10-28 04:10:41	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x45551a…
10-28 04:02:08	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	2,000	90¢	$1,800	0x7b5d0a…
10-28 03:57:26	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	1,812	92¢	$1,667	0xafef75…
10-28 03:52:26	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	38	92¢	$34	0x1b2616…
10-28 03:51:58	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	125	92¢	$115	0x577d3c…
10-28 03:51:28	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x13372a…
10-28 03:47:07	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbd72bf…
10-28 00:56:18	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4b657c…
10-28 00:31:38	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x94507e…
10-28 00:30:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	270	23¢	$63	0x6882f8…
10-27 22:48:38	Will Robinhood say "Weekend" during earnings call?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x22deba…
10-27 22:31:26	Will Robinhood say "Weekend" during earnings call?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x8256c9…
10-27 22:30:30	Will Robinhood say "Weekend" during earnings call?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x01c7a0…
10-27 22:30:26	Will Robinhood say "AI" / "Artificial Intelligence" 10+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x522891…
10-27 22:30:23	Will Robinhood say "Bitcoin" during earnings call?	No	BUY	128	99¢	$126	0x0ea177…
10-27 22:30:14	Will Robinhood say "Leverage" during earnings call?	No	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0x641b3c…
10-27 21:40:42	Will Robinhood say "Leverage" during earnings call?	No	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x5b69f9…
10-27 21:37:33	Will Robinhood say "Regulation" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	282	99¢	$279	0x940f60…
10-27 21:02:27	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x9e57f9…
10-27 20:50:00	Will Trump say "Athlete" or "Athletic" this week?	Yes	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x5b1765…
10-27 20:00:56	Will Trump say "Illness" in October?	Yes	BUY	196	91¢	$180	0xb8250d…
10-27 20:00:18	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x8480ee…
10-27 09:27:56	Anthropic announces a training pause by October 31?	Yes	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x8819bd…
10-27 09:27:56	Anthropic announces a training pause by October 31?	Yes	SELL	48	50¢	$24	0x26eff8…