Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$84

Unrealized P&L

+$216

Hit rate

89.8%

Resolved (90d)

186

Trades (90d)

622

622 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$56.7K

$56.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$91

Open exposure

$50

4 positions

First seen

2026-08-08

last 10-28 04:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Politics

54% 93% -$1,609

Other

41% 86% +$476

Tech

5% 50% +$1,039

Crypto

0% 100% +$2

Sports

0% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	No	-50	-$26	96¢	$-48	-$22	09-27 15:04
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	Yes	-50	-$58	4¢	$-2	+$56	09-28 14:19
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	+0	-$227	98¢	$0	+$227	10-08 16:53
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	+0	$45	1¢	$0	-$45	10-01 16:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	9	$7.3K	9,000	0	+9,000	open	—	10-28 04:38
us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	8	$3.0K	3,877	3,877	+0	No	-$2,337	09-28 23:00
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	14	$2.9K	3,052	0	+3,052	Yes	+$146	10-16 17:36
Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?	6	$2.0K	1,080	1,080	+0	Yes	+$11	10-04 18:55
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?	4	$1.4K	825	825	+0	Yes	+$83	10-01 03:02
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?	8	$1.2K	1,144	225	+919	Yes	+$44	10-13 11:57
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?	7	$1.1K	1,465	1,465	+0	open	—	10-08 12:23
Will Trump say "Border" 22+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	1	$1.1K	1,127	0	+1,127	No	+$17	10-25 00:57
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 13?	5	$1.1K	1,153	0	+1,153	Yes	+$43	10-13 22:03
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 10?	3	$1.1K	1,165	0	+1,165	Yes	+$85	10-11 09:56
openai resumes training by october 31 2026	12	$1.1K	1,271	20	+1,251	Yes	+$228	10-23 19:43
Will Trump say "Canada" 4+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	1	$1.0K	1,020	0	+1,020	No	+$12	10-25 21:49
Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	2	$985	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$145	10-16 22:45
Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	1	$870	879	0	+879	No	+$9	10-25 00:56
Will Trump say "Marxist" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	2	$852	860	0	+860	No	+$9	10-25 21:53
Trump renames AI by September 30?	5	$809	852	852	+0	Yes	+$97	09-22 15:13
Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	4	$792	800	0	+800	Yes	+$8	10-27 00:37
Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	8	$790	3,356	3,356	+0	Yes	+$79	10-19 16:08
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	2	$771	1,175	1,175	+0	No	-$325	09-29 02:47
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	5	$757	776	0	+776	Yes	+$19	10-21 01:08
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?	3	$734	472	472	+0	open	—	09-23 22:13
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?	7	$696	1,853	1,853	+0	open	—	09-30 23:32
Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?	4	$624	631	0	+631	Yes	+$7	10-12 18:42
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman by October 31?	3	$622	629	0	+629	Yes	+$8	10-13 16:15
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?	12	$615	1,122	0	+1,122	Yes	+$508	10-09 22:08
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31?	1	$614	626	0	+626	Yes	+$11	10-13 11:56
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?	9	$550	996	0	+996	Yes	+$446	10-09 22:06
Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026?	1	$507	512	0	+512	Yes	+$5	10-12 18:42
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	2	$490	500	0	+500	Yes	+$10	10-20 00:30
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	9	$459	490	490	+0	open	—	10-08 16:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 04:38:02	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	3,000	65¢	$1,950	0xff115d…
10-28 04:18:28	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	285	10¢	$30	0x537b81…
10-28 04:13:53	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	1,993	85¢	$1,694	0x7875e8…
10-28 04:10:41	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x45551a…
10-28 04:02:08	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	2,000	90¢	$1,800	0x7b5d0a…
10-28 03:57:26	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	1,812	92¢	$1,667	0xafef75…
10-28 03:52:26	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	38	92¢	$34	0x1b2616…
10-28 03:51:58	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	125	92¢	$115	0x577d3c…
10-28 03:51:28	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x13372a…
10-28 03:47:07	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbd72bf…
10-28 00:56:18	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4b657c…
10-28 00:31:38	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x94507e…
10-28 00:30:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	270	23¢	$63	0x6882f8…
10-27 22:48:38	Will Robinhood say "Weekend" during earnings call?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x22deba…
10-27 22:31:26	Will Robinhood say "Weekend" during earnings call?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x8256c9…
10-27 22:30:30	Will Robinhood say "Weekend" during earnings call?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x01c7a0…
10-27 22:30:26	Will Robinhood say "AI" / "Artificial Intelligence" 10+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x522891…
10-27 22:30:23	Will Robinhood say "Bitcoin" during earnings call?	No	BUY	128	99¢	$126	0x0ea177…
10-27 22:30:14	Will Robinhood say "Leverage" during earnings call?	No	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0x641b3c…
10-27 21:40:42	Will Robinhood say "Leverage" during earnings call?	No	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x5b69f9…
10-27 21:37:33	Will Robinhood say "Regulation" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	282	99¢	$279	0x940f60…
10-27 21:02:27	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x9e57f9…
10-27 20:50:00	Will Trump say "Athlete" or "Athletic" this week?	Yes	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x5b1765…
10-27 20:00:56	Will Trump say "Illness" in October?	Yes	BUY	196	91¢	$180	0xb8250d…
10-27 20:00:18	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x8480ee…
10-27 09:27:56	Anthropic announces a training pause by October 31?	Yes	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x8819bd…
10-27 09:27:56	Anthropic announces a training pause by October 31?	Yes	SELL	48	50¢	$24	0x26eff8…
10-27 06:11:59	Anthropic announces a training pause by October 31?	Yes	SELL	240	50¢	$120	0x20f636…
10-27 00:58:11	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0x36ea33…
10-27 00:54:05	Will Trump say "Osama Bin Laden" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x700dc7…
10-27 00:45:44	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xdefbf3…
10-27 00:44:57	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5c8a13…
10-27 00:37:51	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	BUY	166	99¢	$164	0x50b98f…
10-27 00:34:39	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x347599…
10-27 00:33:48	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x940940…
10-27 00:33:05	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	BUY	550	99¢	$544	0x118d55…
10-27 00:26:29	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	BUY	445	98¢	$438	0x632278…
10-26 23:50:17	Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	BUY	166	99¢	$164	0x2c8aba…
10-26 23:43:59	Will Trump say "Moon" this week?	Yes	BUY	127	98¢	$125	0xaa3fb4…
10-26 23:40:21	Will Trump say "Good Looking" this week?	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x8efc53…
10-26 23:35:50	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	BUY	98	98¢	$96	0x781061…
10-26 19:49:11	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xd26149…
10-26 19:36:50	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x2974f2…
10-26 17:43:30	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?	Yes	SELL	159	99¢	$158	0x280f13…
10-26 14:39:05	Will Verizon say "Churn" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6c4b44…
10-26 13:33:47	Will Verizon say "5G" during earnings call?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$33	0x60896a…
10-26 13:17:59	Will Verizon say "AI" / "Artificial Intelligence" 15+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5f64cf…
10-26 13:17:39	Will Verizon say "AI" / "Artificial Intelligence" 15+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	80	97¢	$78	0x548566…
10-26 13:15:15	Anthropic announces a training pause by October 31?	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$29	0x32c117…
10-26 05:30:47	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x612b56…
10-26 05:27:41	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	173	99¢	$171	0x7dee53…
10-26 04:12:42	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x4abc3f…
10-26 04:05:44	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd314b8…
10-26 02:03:15	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd866c1…
10-26 02:03:12	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	75	99¢	$75	0x1bb275…
10-26 02:02:06	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?	Yes	BUY	159	83¢	$132	0x8624dd…
10-26 00:18:23	Will Trump say "Electric" or "Electricity" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0xde4594…
10-25 22:23:15	Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2d98c7…
10-25 22:05:47	Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0x8e3a6a…
10-25 22:02:24	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x824399…
10-25 21:55:23	Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa053b8…
10-25 21:55:23	Will Trump say "Osama Bin Laden" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1bd35e…
10-25 21:53:11	Will Trump say "Marxist" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0xe782de…
10-25 21:49:30	Will Trump say "Electric" or "Electricity" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	116	99¢	$115	0x904933…
10-25 21:49:17	Will Trump say "Marxist" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	754	99¢	$746	0x798849…
10-25 21:49:00	Will Trump say "Canada" 4+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	1,020	99¢	$1,009	0x953d5d…
10-25 21:48:17	Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x388213…
10-25 09:13:26	Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0xa7c9eb…
10-25 06:33:54	Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x16366c…
10-25 00:57:29	Will Trump say "Border" 22+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	1,127	99¢	$1,110	0xc1c487…
10-25 00:56:50	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2ac75c…
10-25 00:56:38	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	879	99¢	$870	0x4fdebf…
10-25 00:26:41	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	270	98¢	$265	0x93aae4…
10-25 00:25:20	Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x467772…
10-24 16:23:30	Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xef5d48…
10-24 16:01:33	Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x681064…
10-23 19:43:53	OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3993a5…
10-23 19:24:06	Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	44	98¢	$44	0x01d8a7…
10-23 19:23:08	OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	172	99¢	$170	0xca67bb…
10-23 19:20:53	OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	244	98¢	$240	0x837798…
10-23 19:17:39	OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	61¢	$17	0xb29aca…
10-23 19:17:26	OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	480	88¢	$424	0xfc2577…
10-23 19:15:47	OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	56¢	$24	0x25f25a…
10-23 19:13:03	OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	33¢	$16	0xe58cfe…
10-23 19:12:59	OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	26¢	$35	0xc9af50…
10-23 18:52:12	Will Trump say "Six Seven" in October?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xc2d043…
10-23 18:52:08	Will Trump say "Six Seven" in October?	Yes	BUY	366	99¢	$362	0x06d42c…
10-23 18:52:00	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	Yes	BUY	223	99¢	$221	0x4a7dfe…
10-23 17:49:09	Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xa21e56…
10-23 17:48:17	Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb286f2…
10-23 15:06:24	Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Uranium" this week?	Yes	BUY	288	93¢	$269	0x72e444…
10-23 15:02:53	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x384b6c…
10-23 14:06:18	Will there be at least 4900 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	206	52¢	$107	0x86fff2…
10-23 11:00:30	Will American Express (AXP) Q3 total revenue net of interest expense be above $20.25B?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0x8ae929…
10-23 11:00:26	Will American Express (AXP) Q3 total revenue net of interest expense be above $20.25B?	No	BUY	44	83¢	$36	0xaf5d7a…
10-23 01:24:30	Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xec5b16…
10-23 01:24:06	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$74	0x38670f…
10-23 01:23:44	Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x808409…
10-23 01:23:26	Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	120	98¢	$117	0xc23f09…
10-23 01:22:48	Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x23e962…