Will Donald Trump publicly praise Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31, 2026?
Yes won
Total volume
$3,035
$577 in 24h
Trades
257
Unique wallets
65
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-31
First seen
2026-10-01
last 10-26 21:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+17.4¢
(top1%: 60% YES on $693
vs crowd: 43% YES on $2.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 18 | $696 | $614 | +$82 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 25 | $207 | $375 | $168 |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | $63 | $190 | $127 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $2 | $102 | $100 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 9 | $419 | $274 | +$145 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $191 | $53 | +$138 |
| Median | 1 | — | $64 | $64 |
| Below median | 10 | $34 | $50 | $16 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $31 | $45 | $14 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $41 | $228 | $187 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 22 | $251 | $567 | $316 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +385 | $101 | $101 | 16 | 10-26 06:18 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +314 | $115 | $115 | 10 | 10-26 21:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Yes | +295 | $290 | $290 | 1 | 10-26 19:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | No | +175 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 10-26 19:49 |
| Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw 0x816b…9ec7 | Yes | +125 | $125 | $125 | 2 | 10-26 21:40 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | Yes | +86 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 10-26 00:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x1cdf…0aba | No | +80 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 10-25 17:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c28…9844 | No | +75 | $43 | $43 | 4 | 10-26 19:43 |
| Grown-Flanker 0xc4c1…7324 | No | +73 | $57 | $57 | 2 | 10-24 11:27 |
| Fearless-Aggression 0x66c1…fa3f | Yes | +67 | $62 | $79 | 3 | 10-26 19:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xa89c…1410 | No | +60 | $39 | $39 | 3 | 10-26 19:36 |
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 10-26 21:48 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-26 21:48 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | +46 | $28 | $84 | 8 | 10-25 00:00 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +46 | $16 | $16 | 4 | 10-09 19:59 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | +42 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-26 19:49 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +41 | $10 | $11 | 2 | 10-24 18:26 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +41 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 10-24 11:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c28…9844 | Yes | +40 | $14 | $23 | 4 | 10-09 22:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xa89c…1410 | Yes | +40 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 10-17 02:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | +40 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 10-25 15:48 |
| Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | +40 | $13 | $100 | 4 | 10-09 22:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | +40 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 10-25 15:48 |
| Charming-Collar 0x90b8…8665 | No | +33 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 10-26 19:49 |
| Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | +30 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 10-03 14:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | +27 | $1 | $57 | 5 | 10-26 19:49 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | +26 | $11 | $54 | 11 | 10-25 22:57 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | +26 | $32 | $156 | 13 | 10-25 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +21 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-25 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +21 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 10-25 15:48 |
| Electric-Architect 0x72f7…92f7 | No | +21 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 10-25 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x3922…3aa4 | No | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-26 19:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-19 07:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-09 22:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +20 | $8 | $21 | 3 | 10-06 01:57 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-24 05:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-04 22:16 |
| Scary-Holder 0xdc53…cb5e | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-19 07:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-05 00:22 |
| Scary-Holder 0xdc53…cb5e | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-26 00:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +20 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 10-02 06:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x74d9…e680 | No | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-26 19:36 |
| Adored-Turning 0x3a5a…3427 | No | +20 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 10-16 16:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-09 22:06 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-24 05:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-19 15:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 10-03 14:14 |
| Trained-Notion 0x36da…907b | No | +20 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 10-09 22:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1b1…6a83 | Yes | +19 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 10-06 16:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1b1…6a83 | No | +19 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 10-08 21:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x90c5…45e6 | Yes | +19 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-25 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x90c5…45e6 | No | +19 | $15 | $17 | 3 | 10-25 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-03 14:14 |
| Steel-Digging 0x1073…d8ba | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-09 22:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 21:48:56 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x4180fd… |
| 10-26 21:48:56 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4180fd… |
| 10-26 21:40:48 | Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw 0x816b…9ec7 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x829c1f… |
| 10-26 21:40:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x829c1f… |
| 10-26 21:20:45 | Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw 0x816b…9ec7 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x1f381d… |
| 10-26 21:20:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1f381d… |
| 10-26 19:49:11 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | BUY | 27 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd26149… |
| 10-26 19:49:11 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Yes | BUY | 295 | 99¢ | $290 | 0xd26149… |
| 10-26 19:49:11 | Charming-Collar 0x90b8…8665 | No | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd26149… |
| 10-26 19:49:11 | (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | No | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd26149… |
| 10-26 19:49:11 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd26149… |
| 10-26 19:49:11 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 21 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xd26149… |
| 10-26 19:49:11 | (anonymous) 0x34da…c155 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0xd26149… |
| 10-26 19:49:11 | (anonymous) 0x3922…3aa4 | No | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd26149… |
| 10-26 19:43:03 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x4310ac… |
| 10-26 19:43:03 | Fearless-Aggression 0x66c1…fa3f | Yes | BUY | 67 | 94¢ | $63 | 0x4310ac… |
| 10-26 19:43:03 | Charming-Collar 0x90b8…8665 | No | BUY | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x4310ac… |
| 10-26 19:43:03 | (anonymous) 0x0c28…9844 | No | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x4310ac… |
| 10-26 19:43:03 | (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | No | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4310ac… |
| 10-26 19:36:50 | (anonymous) 0x74d9…e680 | No | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x2974f2… |
| 10-26 19:36:50 | (anonymous) 0x34da…c155 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 58¢ | $23 | 0x2974f2… |
| 10-26 19:36:50 | (anonymous) 0xa89c…1410 | No | BUY | 20 | 57¢ | $11 | 0x2974f2… |
| 10-26 06:30:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xfe1a70… |
| 10-26 06:30:26 | (anonymous) 0x0b4d…35bc | No | SELL | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xfe1a70… |
| 10-26 06:18:18 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x014a4e… |
| 10-26 06:18:18 | (anonymous) 0x0b4d…35bc | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x014a4e… |
| 10-26 00:32:32 | Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x14da1d… |
| 10-26 00:32:32 | Scary-Holder 0xdc53…cb5e | No | BUY | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x14da1d… |
| 10-26 00:11:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x685816… |
| 10-26 00:11:09 | (anonymous) 0x0b4d…35bc | No | SELL | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x685816… |
| 10-25 23:47:57 | Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x5d0c82… |
| 10-25 23:47:57 | (anonymous) 0x0b4d…35bc | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x5d0c82… |
| 10-25 22:57:36 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 21 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x7e76c3… |
| 10-25 22:57:36 | Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | Yes | BUY | 46 | 18¢ | $8 | 0x7e76c3… |
| 10-25 22:57:36 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 25 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x7e76c3… |
| 10-25 22:07:02 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 14 | 18¢ | $3 | 0xfff6ae… |
| 10-25 22:07:02 | Ignorant-Corporation 0xbd1a…0e59 | No | SELL | 14 | 82¢ | $11 | 0xfff6ae… |
| 10-25 17:08:03 | (anonymous) 0x1cdf…0aba | No | BUY | 80 | 80¢ | $64 | 0x9dc22e… |
| 10-25 17:08:03 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 39 | 20¢ | $8 | 0x9dc22e… |
| 10-25 17:08:03 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | SELL | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x9dc22e… |
| 10-25 17:08:03 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x9dc22e… |
| 10-25 15:48:26 | Electric-Architect 0x72f7…92f7 | No | BUY | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0xcae971… |
| 10-25 15:48:26 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | SELL | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0xcae971… |
| 10-25 15:48:21 | (anonymous) 0x90c5…45e6 | No | SELL | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x182b78… |
| 10-25 15:48:21 | Electric-Architect 0x72f7…92f7 | No | BUY | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x182b78… |
| 10-25 15:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x9cfc…3671 | No | SELL | 41 | 78¢ | $32 | 0x539032… |
| 10-25 15:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x90c5…45e6 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xfa1dec… |
| 10-25 15:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x539032… |
| 10-25 15:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 22¢ | $5 | 0xa1dac7… |
| 10-25 15:48:20 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 21 | 22¢ | $5 | 0x21b44e… |
| 10-25 15:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x21b44e… |
| 10-25 15:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x90c5…45e6 | No | BUY | 19 | 78¢ | $14 | 0xf75b9e… |
| 10-25 15:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 21 | 78¢ | $17 | 0x539032… |
| 10-25 15:48:20 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 21 | 78¢ | $17 | 0xa1dac7… |
| 10-25 15:48:20 | Electric-Architect 0x72f7…92f7 | No | BUY | 19 | 75¢ | $14 | 0xfa1dec… |
| 10-25 15:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0xf75b9e… |
| 10-25 15:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xf75b9e… |
| 10-25 15:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x90c5…45e6 | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x21b44e… |
| 10-25 00:22:38 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 17¢ | $9 | 0xcea470… |
| 10-25 00:22:38 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 35 | 17¢ | $6 | 0xcea470… |
| 10-25 00:22:38 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 15 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xcea470… |
| 10-25 00:11:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x9dca27… |
| 10-25 00:11:50 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x9dca27… |
| 10-25 00:11:50 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x9dca27… |
| 10-25 00:00:17 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | SELL | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0xfa541c… |
| 10-25 00:00:17 | Ignorant-Corporation 0xbd1a…0e59 | No | BUY | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0xfa541c… |
| 10-24 18:26:23 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | SELL | 9 | 91¢ | $8 | 0xb13876… |
| 10-24 18:26:23 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xb13876… |
| 10-24 11:27:42 | Grown-Flanker 0xc4c1…7324 | No | BUY | 58 | 79¢ | $46 | 0x8fa311… |
| 10-24 11:27:42 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x602356… |
| 10-24 11:27:42 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 41 | 80¢ | $33 | 0x602356… |
| 10-24 11:27:42 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x8fa311… |
| 10-24 11:27:42 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 21¢ | $10 | 0x8fa311… |
| 10-24 11:27:42 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x602356… |
| 10-24 11:27:39 | (anonymous) 0x11b7…4b0f | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x8af874… |
| 10-24 11:27:39 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x8af874… |
| 10-24 11:27:39 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 14 | 78¢ | $11 | 0x8604bf… |
| 10-24 11:27:39 | Grown-Flanker 0xc4c1…7324 | No | BUY | 14 | 78¢ | $11 | 0x8604bf… |
| 10-24 10:37:24 | Quarrelsome-Filth 0x38f5…6824 | No | SELL | 32 | 71¢ | $23 | 0xd7bd2c… |
| 10-24 10:37:24 | (anonymous) 0x0c28…9844 | No | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0xd7bd2c… |
| 10-24 10:37:24 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 12 | 71¢ | $9 | 0xd7bd2c… |
| 10-24 05:38:26 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0x78b93e… |
| 10-24 05:38:26 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x78b93e… |
| 10-24 05:38:24 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0xd9bf54… |
| 10-24 05:38:24 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0xd9bf54… |
| 10-23 19:06:17 | (anonymous) 0x0b4d…35bc | No | SELL | 8 | 63¢ | $5 | 0xecb10f… |
| 10-23 19:06:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 8 | 63¢ | $5 | 0xecb10f… |
| 10-23 16:00:26 | Ignorant-Corporation 0xbd1a…0e59 | No | BUY | 2 | 68¢ | $1 | 0x7a76d1… |
| 10-23 16:00:26 | (anonymous) 0x0b4d…35bc | No | SELL | 2 | 68¢ | $1 | 0x7a76d1… |
| 10-23 11:25:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x5e6480… |
| 10-23 11:25:32 | (anonymous) 0x0b4d…35bc | No | BUY | 10 | 72¢ | $7 | 0x5e6480… |
| 10-23 10:52:56 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | SELL | 35 | 76¢ | $27 | 0xb7e1f9… |
| 10-23 10:52:56 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 21 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xb7e1f9… |
| 10-23 10:52:56 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 14 | 75¢ | $11 | 0xb7e1f9… |
| 10-23 10:52:50 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | BUY | 35 | 77¢ | $27 | 0xa94db0… |
| 10-23 10:52:50 | Standard-Jackal 0x5f3e…5337 | No | SELL | 41 | 77¢ | $32 | 0xa94db0… |
| 10-23 10:52:50 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xa94db0… |
| 10-22 02:08:09 | (anonymous) 0x54d6…ef35 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xefa5ef… |
| 10-22 02:08:09 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xefa5ef… |
| 10-22 02:07:48 | Fearless-Aggression 0x66c1…fa3f | Yes | SELL | 41 | 20¢ | $8 | 0xe640d1… |