(anonymous) 0x54d6a4…adef35
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$295
Unrealized P&L
+$33
Hit rate
63.8%
Resolved
474
Trades
1,142
lifetime
Volume
$7.73K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$565
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-01
last 10-27 21:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Other
58% 52% -$23
Politics
29% 61% -$50
Crypto
7% 40% -$143
Sports
5% 38% -$77
Tech
2% 100% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +83 $50 48¢ $40 -$10 10-04 02:02
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +59 $38 68¢ $40 +$2 10-25 18:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +42 $29 94¢ $40 +$10 10-19 15:59
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? No +25 $25 100¢ $25 +$0 10-14 09:57
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +25 $21 94¢ $23 +$2 10-16 11:35
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +23 $13 98¢ $23 +$10 10-20 22:26
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +30 $24 72¢ $21 -$2 10-23 12:23
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October? No +25 $15 80¢ $20 +$5 10-18 21:04
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +25 $19 79¢ $20 +$1 10-15 11:53
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? No +21 $14 92¢ $19 +$5 10-18 06:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +20 $20 96¢ $19 -$1 10-26 16:37
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +25 $18 74¢ $19 +$0 10-15 10:58
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +25 $18 74¢ $19 +$0 10-15 17:45
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +22 $13 79¢ $17 +$5 10-18 09:15
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +24 $21 72¢ $17 -$4 10-18 13:09
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $14 73¢ $15 +$1 10-15 04:12
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +23 $16 66¢ $15 -$1 10-18 18:22
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +30 $22 50¢ $15 -$7 10-27 13:27
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +19 $14 79¢ $15 +$1 10-16 21:42
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +21 $14 68¢ $14 $0 10-21 02:27
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +16 $0 88¢ $14 +$14 10-20 18:09
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +24 $12 58¢ $14 +$2 10-15 22:29
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +15 $14 90¢ $14 +$0 10-19 17:34
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? No +17 $12 78¢ $13 +$2 10-18 19:42
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +20 $15 65¢ $13 -$2 10-17 02:53
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +17 $14 72¢ $12 -$1 10-08 17:37
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +17 $12 72¢ $12 +$0 10-14 17:44
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +17 $12 72¢ $12 +$0 10-16 18:14
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +15 $11 82¢ $12 +$2 10-14 04:54
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +15 $13 80¢ $12 -$1 10-14 16:14