Organic-Pronoun — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$411

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

34.3%

Resolved

Trades

345

lifetime

Volume

$16.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

$125

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 06-10 15:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

56% 0% $-15

Politics

35% 0% $-0

Sports

5% 100% +$426

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	Yes		+1,000	$120	12¢	$125	+$5	06-07 03:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	21	$4.9K	6,055	955	+5,100	open	—	04-24 19:02
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	10	$2.8K	2,492	2,492	+0	open	—	05-15 22:51
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	6	$2.0K	1,894	1,894	+0	open	—	04-24 20:59
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	2	$996	2,400	0	+2,400	open	—	06-10 15:51
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$813	1,034	517	+517	open	—	04-27 19:54
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	4	$497	1,094	288	+806	open	—	04-25 11:59
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	9	$326	317	232	+85	open	—	04-27 19:13
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	1	$310	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	06-08 12:45
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	2	$304	200	200	+0	open	—	05-22 18:53
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	2	$232	423	0	+423	open	—	05-16 18:25
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	5	$165	1,055	1,055	+0	open	—	05-04 09:52
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	1	$160	356	0	+356	open	—	05-15 16:20
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	4	$120	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	06-07 03:57
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	9	$112	117	117	+0	Team Falcons	$-15	05-13 12:47
us forces seize another oil tanker by january 25 2026	2	$106	57	57	+0	open	—	01-25 03:50
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?	3	$101	72	72	+0	open	—	01-23 15:18
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$100	526	0	+526	Sean Strickland	+$426	05-08 17:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$92	400	400	+0	open	—	05-18 19:04
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	2	$91	117	117	+0	open	—	04-25 16:45
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	4	$80	102	102	+0	Yes	$-0	02-15 13:14
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	3	$78	126	33	+93	open	—	01-17 16:20
btc updown 5m 1781029500	9	$77	55	55	+0	open	—	06-09 18:26
bitcoin above 88k on january 25	3	$62	65	65	+0	open	—	01-25 16:16
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	4	$60	68	68	+0	open	—	02-15 13:07
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by february 6 2026 681	1	$60	73	0	+73	open	—	01-29 18:52
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	4	$56	99	0	+99	open	—	02-09 00:30
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	2	$53	47	47	+0	open	—	01-26 05:41
will matt goodwin reform win the gorton and denton by election	2	$49	60	60	+0	open	—	01-28 22:51
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	2	$47	29	29	+0	open	—	02-11 09:49
wta kalinin udvardy 2026 04 08	4	$37	36	14	+23	open	—	04-08 14:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 15:51:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,200	41¢	$492	0xcaabc8…
06-09 18:26:46	btc updown 5m 1781029500	Down	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x4e1bbf…
06-09 18:26:18	btc updown 5m 1781029500	Down	SELL	34	85¢	$29	0xc24613…
06-09 18:26:18	btc updown 5m 1781029500	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x959499…
06-09 18:26:18	btc updown 5m 1781029500	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x6facc3…
06-09 18:26:18	btc updown 5m 1781029500	Down	SELL	4	85¢	$4	0x5eb5dd…
06-09 18:26:18	btc updown 5m 1781029500	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x512972…
06-09 18:26:18	btc updown 5m 1781029500	Down	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x275a0c…
06-09 18:24:54	btc updown 5m 1781029500	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x962523…
06-09 18:21:54	btc updown 5m 1781029500	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xc35ed9…
06-08 13:05:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,200	42¢	$504	0xfc0290…
06-08 12:45:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	1,000	31¢	$310	0x9a7dd2…
06-07 03:57:42	Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	332	12¢	$40	0x8fbdad…
06-06 23:04:36	Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	12¢	$18	0x50fae1…
06-06 04:11:06	Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	488	12¢	$59	0xa7dd20…
06-03 21:40:51	Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xc17bd0…
05-22 18:53:11	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0x0c3972…
05-22 13:23:38	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x72b8bc…
05-18 19:04:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	15¢	$60	0x44ef5c…
05-17 10:15:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	8¢	$32	0x8a8719…
05-16 18:25:12	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x4dc2eb…
05-16 18:09:40	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	BUY	323	62¢	$200	0x1cd23f…
05-15 22:51:24	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,430	72¢	$1,030	0x1cc5b5…
05-15 22:39:47	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	84	80¢	$67	0x36a235…
05-15 22:39:40	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xb668d7…
05-15 21:22:31	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,025	39¢	$400	0x2c22ca…
05-15 21:18:39	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	510	39¢	$200	0x1557b9…
05-15 21:17:50	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	697	59¢	$410	0x1dcd54…
05-15 16:20:16	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	356	45¢	$160	0x6278ea…
05-15 08:44:27	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	385	85¢	$327	0xbd7b1c…
05-15 08:38:13	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x4e262f…
05-13 12:47:03	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Falcons	SELL	117	41¢	$48	0x9ce960…
05-13 11:26:51	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x141c8b…
05-13 11:26:44	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	51	54¢	$27	0x3d8a90…
05-13 11:26:14	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x82582c…
05-13 11:26:11	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x371cd7…
05-13 11:26:05	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	29	54¢	$16	0x44ff58…
05-13 11:22:58	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x430d08…
05-13 11:22:09	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xffa920…
05-13 11:22:02	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xebef30…
05-12 22:33:16	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	260	73¢	$190	0xddede4…
05-08 17:58:32	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0x660655…
05-04 09:52:50	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	SELL	910	6¢	$56	0x2bcfc4…
05-04 09:10:28	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	SELL	80	6¢	$5	0x57fb0f…
05-04 09:06:54	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xa05211…
05-04 09:06:08	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	SELL	45	6¢	$3	0x792316…
04-29 19:02:58	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	536	28¢	$150	0x541971…
04-29 18:58:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1,055	9¢	$100	0x9f60ef…
04-29 18:53:12	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	5¢	$5	0xa6b6fd…
04-29 11:26:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	153	0¢	$1	0x9835fc…
04-27 19:54:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	517	90¢	$465	0x906010…
04-27 19:13:00	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	84	96¢	$81	0x5dbbf3…
04-25 16:45:40	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	117	35¢	$41	0xdea4fa…
04-25 13:12:54	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xe883ca…
04-25 12:49:10	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	35	35¢	$12	0x85031c…
04-25 12:41:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	300	33¢	$99	0x6426ef…
04-25 12:39:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	300	33¢	$99	0x329089…
04-25 12:39:10	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	76	35¢	$27	0x88877e…
04-25 12:38:52	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x68e737…
04-25 12:38:44	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0x69f4a2…
04-25 12:38:42	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0x1f2466…
04-25 12:00:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	434	35¢	$150	0x48672e…
04-25 11:59:24	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	536	37¢	$200	0xa3680a…
04-25 11:59:04	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	270	34¢	$91	0xc19c08…
04-25 08:47:56	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x786aab…
04-24 20:59:12	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	1,894	73¢	$1,391	0x2399ee…
04-24 19:25:10	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	117	43¢	$50	0xff9dfd…
04-24 19:02:32	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	200	99¢	$197	0xd219b1…
04-24 18:29:44	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	148	60¢	$89	0x778c3c…
04-24 18:26:40	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	148	65¢	$96	0xf98c5f…
04-24 18:26:12	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	288	33¢	$96	0x55b07f…
04-24 16:51:48	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	288	38¢	$110	0x48f81c…
04-24 08:38:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	153	5¢	$8	0xb46c85…
04-21 19:16:34	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	237	42¢	$100	0xfb8dea…
04-21 18:30:28	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xf94c14…
04-21 18:22:34	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	255	98¢	$251	0xd7f7ce…
04-20 08:16:42	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	345	28¢	$95	0xac5674…
04-19 21:19:44	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	493	41¢	$200	0xe27176…
04-19 21:18:46	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	300	98¢	$295	0x3bd82b…
04-19 19:28:28	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	719	27¢	$197	0xc5c0b3…
04-19 19:27:36	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	200	98¢	$197	0x464e7a…
04-13 12:08:39	sea udi par 2026 04 18 udi	Yes	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x76c68a…
04-12 12:12:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	Yes	SELL	1,429	0¢	$1	0x142b05…
04-10 12:41:07	nba det cha 2026 04 10	Hornets	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x31eaf9…
04-08 14:38:51	wta kalinin udvardy 2026 04 08	Anhelina Kalinina	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xba99ac…
04-08 14:38:49	wta kalinin udvardy 2026 04 08	Anhelina Kalinina	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xd7e65b…
04-08 14:38:45	wta kalinin udvardy 2026 04 08	Anhelina Kalinina	SELL	13	74¢	$10	0xfc6e3f…
04-08 14:10:55	wta kalinin udvardy 2026 04 08	Anhelina Kalinina	BUY	36	73¢	$26	0xbbfa85…
04-07 20:38:59	nhl edm utah 2026 04 07	Oilers	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x6e93b1…
04-05 15:11:19	nba mem mil 2026 04 05	Bucks	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x3c6a10…
04-04 09:44:23	cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	Michigan Wolverines	BUY	33	53¢	$17	0x6bcb37…
04-04 06:42:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	1,316	65¢	$855	0x7f6c42…
04-04 06:42:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	184	65¢	$120	0x4a82d6…
04-02 10:38:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	1,030	66¢	$680	0xc829e1…
04-01 19:10:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	769	65¢	$500	0x89ba21…
04-01 15:54:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	Yes	BUY	1,429	1¢	$10	0x9f757e…
04-01 15:51:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	1,455	69¢	$1,000	0x12d62a…
04-01 14:57:29	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	212	70¢	$148	0xea1389…
04-01 11:27:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0x249487…
03-26 13:39:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	422	64¢	$270	0x4951c9…