Insistent-Topsail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$171

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved

2,375

Trades

3,725

lifetime

Volume

$5.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 05-09 20:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 52% -$126

Other

18% 38% -$29

Sports

11% 64% -$11

Politics

2% 52% -$5

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-09).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	-2	-$1	56¢	$-1	$0	05-04 00:43
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-3	-$1	15¢	$-0	+$0	05-03 06:45
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	-12	-$1	2¢	$-0	+$0	05-03 06:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in atlanta on march 9 2026 76 77f	5	$32	34	34	+0	Yes	$0	03-09 21:18
highest temperature in miami on march 10 2026 84 85f	3	$23	19	19	+0	Yes	+$3	03-10 15:33
highest temperature in dallas on february 24 2026 70 71f	3	$21	18	18	+0	Yes	+$16	02-25 00:45
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 12:20 UTC	5	$20	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	03-09 12:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 15:15 UTC	2	$20	22	0	+22	Down	+$1	03-02 15:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 12:55 UTC	2	$20	22	0	+22	Down	+$2	03-02 12:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 20:00 UTC	3	$20	22	0	+22	Down	+$2	03-01 20:04
highest temperature in seoul on march 9 2026 7c	2	$19	15	15	+0	Yes	+$9	03-09 08:12
highest temperature in atlanta on march 9 2026 78 79f	4	$19	27	17	+10	No	-$5	03-09 21:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 18:25 UTC	2	$18	22	0	+22	Up	+$4	03-02 18:29
highest temperature in miami on march 11 2026 84 85f	2	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	+$4	03-12 03:49
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 12:20 UTC	6	$15	21	21	+0	Down	-$5	03-09 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 01:45 UTC	1	$15	16	0	+16	Up	-$15	03-03 01:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 01:40 UTC	1	$15	16	0	+16	Up	+$1	03-03 01:44
highest temperature in paris on march 10 2026 16c	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	03-11 00:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 21:25 UTC	9	$15	19	14	+5	Down	+$4	02-14 21:28
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 27?	3	$15	21	21	+1	No	+$1	04-27 13:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 21:20 UTC	9	$15	15	14	+1	Down	$0	02-14 21:23
highest temperature in paris on march 9 2026 18c	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	03-09 20:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 22:55 UTC	3	$14	15	0	+15	Down	+$1	02-28 22:59
highest temperature in miami on march 9 2026 84 85f	2	$14	9	9	+0	Yes	+$4	03-10 00:10
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	10	$13	198	198	+0	Yes	-$1	02-15 04:23
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	10	$12	529	529	+0	No	-$4	02-24 02:27
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 4?	2	$12	28	0	+28	No	-$12	05-04 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 14:35 UTC	8	$12	13	13	+0	Down	+$2	02-23 14:38
will gta 6 cost 100	10	$12	888	888	+0	No	-$2	02-16 16:27
xrp above 1pt4 on march 10	4	$12	10	8	+2	Yes	$0	03-10 14:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 07:00 UTC	4	$11	151	40	+111	Down	-$3	03-07 07:15
highest temperature in nyc on march 3 2026 34 35f	2	$11	10	10	+0	Yes	+$9	03-04 06:27
highest temperature in miami on march 3 2026 82 83f	2	$11	10	10	+0	Yes	+$9	03-04 06:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 20:04:38	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 9?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x0ea6c0…
05-09 08:22:41	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 9?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x6e7564…
05-09 03:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 9?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x20d37e…
05-09 00:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 9?	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0xa15a1d…
05-09 00:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 8?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xf51e20…
05-08 19:13:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 8?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x5616a7…
05-08 19:02:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 9?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x3cf8e7…
05-08 08:34:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 10?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x362de8…
05-08 07:22:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 10?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xc85d11…
05-08 07:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 9?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0xf0eeda…
05-08 04:00:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 9?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x01793e…
05-08 03:29:44	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 9?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x7fe913…
05-08 00:19:13	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 7?	Yes	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0x0024e2…
05-08 00:18:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 8?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf90362…
05-07 22:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 9?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xd8a44f…
05-07 15:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 7?	Yes	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x9a8153…
05-07 13:46:35	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 8?	Yes	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x66bf27…
05-07 13:42:11	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 8?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xdff766…
05-07 13:39:30	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 7?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x7329d5…
05-07 12:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 9?	Yes	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x4be149…
05-07 06:56:46	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x52f98c…
05-07 06:03:53	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 7?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x63c52a…
05-07 05:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 9?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xeedd49…
05-07 02:24:45	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 7?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xea6451…
05-07 01:23:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 8?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xd6d2e0…
05-07 01:23:09	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 7?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x856b55…
05-07 00:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x2dd2b9…
05-06 14:45:45	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xe87ecc…
05-06 14:45:41	Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x71ea5c…
05-06 14:45:34	Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xb239c1…
05-06 14:45:27	Will Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x16e11c…
05-06 14:45:22	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x36cc9b…
05-06 14:45:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x6db9e6…
05-06 14:45:06	Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x5cad9b…
05-06 14:44:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	29¢	$3	0x60926c…
05-06 14:23:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xfd7924…
05-04 00:44:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 4?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xe16e04…
05-04 00:44:34	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdbe5bb…
05-04 00:44:16	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xa95c7e…
05-04 00:44:04	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x0c5e8f…
05-04 00:43:54	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x89f617…
05-03 06:46:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0xe015d3…
05-03 06:45:54	Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0xb634f9…
05-03 06:45:48	Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0x1a6bd5…
05-03 06:45:28	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x89517f…
05-03 06:45:22	Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$0	0x6cc69d…
05-03 06:45:16	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x7562d9…
05-03 06:45:16	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	23¢	$1	0x6b4e11…
05-03 06:45:10	Will Donald Trump announce Ken Paxton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x7e22fa…
05-03 04:35:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 5?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xa2a076…
05-03 00:02:38	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x767bc3…
05-02 04:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 4?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x6dd102…
05-02 01:39:10	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0xa64683…
05-02 00:00:54	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf4dfa4…
05-02 00:00:54	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xdfaae8…
05-01 23:18:46	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xe4c3be…
05-01 23:18:46	Rockets vs. Lakers	Rockets	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3c0006…
05-01 23:18:44	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xf98de0…
05-01 21:40:06	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x1630f5…
05-01 21:19:50	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Over	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x46ae62…
05-01 21:14:44	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x5ddb36…
05-01 18:52:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xa63a12…
05-01 18:07:10	Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winner	Gentle Mates	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe9a7b9…
05-01 17:31:38	Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-01?	Yes	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x719d70…
05-01 17:26:34	Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-01?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x6a9e67…
05-01 16:56:02	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc37905…
05-01 16:20:32	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs South America Rejects - Game 3 Winner	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x1e3619…
05-01 15:50:06	Valorant: GIANTX vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner	GIANTX	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x12ed86…
05-01 15:34:52	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs South America Rejects (BO5) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x4328b9…
05-01 15:14:32	Spread: Celtics (-7.5)	Celtics	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x97e6ed…
05-01 15:09:28	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner	Nigma Galaxy	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x72e243…
05-01 15:09:26	Spread: Celtics (-7.5)	Celtics	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xfa3a4d…
05-01 15:04:24	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6dd626…
05-01 14:28:48	Will Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x43b6d4…
05-01 14:18:42	Modena FC 2018 vs. AC Reggiana 1919: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xae11e2…
05-01 13:43:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xdac73c…
05-01 13:38:06	Will Palermo FC vs. US Catanzaro 1929 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x6000ba…
05-01 13:27:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x65e800…
05-01 13:17:48	Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-01?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xff236c…
05-01 13:02:32	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x37b82a…
05-01 12:57:28	Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x734cd8…
05-01 12:57:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0x0ff9fd…
05-01 12:57:26	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x4f53c9…
05-01 12:57:26	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x0fa0fb…
04-28 14:34:02	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 28?	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0xe68934…
04-28 06:48:32	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe7c696…
04-28 02:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x351773…
04-28 02:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 28?	Yes	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0x505cf3…
04-28 02:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xfa8e8d…
04-28 02:09:32	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x7192c4…
04-28 00:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xef2ed3…
04-27 21:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x48b440…
04-27 15:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x2be041…
04-27 13:22:20	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 27?	Yes	SELL	21	37¢	$8	0xfaaccd…
04-27 13:21:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 28?	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0xd46861…
04-27 13:21:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x3cd9e5…
04-26 20:45:16	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x8125a0…
04-26 20:06:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xc6d310…
04-26 05:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 27?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0xb4ec7e…
04-26 05:14:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 26?	Yes	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0xd50631…