Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$1.07K
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
19
907 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$2.86K
$91.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$101
Open exposure
$3.99K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-03 06:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 82 days
Categories
Politics
66% 50% +$2,011
Other
28% 41% +$356
Crypto
6% 0% -$2,710
Pop-Culture
1% 33% -$460
Sports
0% 0% -$200
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +712 $522 74¢ $531 +$9 11-03 05:49
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +694 $500 68¢ $469 -$31 10-19 05:40
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +6,012 $1,462 7¢ $445 -$1,017 06-13 12:50
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +329 $304 91¢ $300 -$4 11-03 05:50
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +402 $290 72¢ $287 -$3 11-03 05:50
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +335 $258 76¢ $256 -$2 11-03 05:51
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +314 $242 78¢ $244 +$2 11-03 05:51
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +219 $100 85¢ $185 +$85 09-20 06:04
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +256 $169 66¢ $170 +$1 11-03 05:52
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +164 $151 92¢ $150 -$1 11-03 05:52
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $148 72¢ $145 -$3 11-03 05:52
Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? Yes +204 $132 66¢ $136 +$4 11-03 05:53
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +225 $140 58¢ $132 -$8 11-03 05:53
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +236 $92 36¢ $86 -$6 11-03 05:53
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +127 $89 68¢ $86 -$3 11-03 05:54
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +172 $100 39¢ $67 -$33 09-24 12:48
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? Yes +79 $67 84¢ $67 $0 11-03 05:54
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? Yes +98 $55 57¢ $56 +$1 11-03 05:54
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +74 $53 70¢ $52 -$1 11-03 05:55
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +61 $51 84¢ $51 +$0 11-03 05:55
Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat? No +71 $29 40¢ $29 $0 11-03 05:55
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? Yes +400 $90 6¢ $24 -$66 09-30 11:26
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +20 $11 84¢ $17 +$6 08-28 10:23
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +3 $1 92¢ $3 +$2 05-05 11:25
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? No +3 $1 98¢ $3 +$2 04-28 23:39
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 92¢ $2 +$1 04-29 00:03
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 71¢ $1 +$0 04-28 23:35