Realized P&L
-$366
Unrealized P&L
-$1.80K
Hit rate
69.7%
Resolved
190
Trades
888
lifetime
Volume
$88.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$100
Open exposure
$1.12K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-23 16:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 80 days
Categories
Politics
65% 51% +$2,537
Other
28% 42% +$442
Crypto
6% 0% -$2,710
Pop-Culture
1% 50% -$435
Sports
0% 0% -$200
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +694 $500 56¢ $385 -$115 10-19 05:40
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +6,012 $1,462 3¢ $198 -$1,264 06-13 12:50
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +219 $100 81¢ $178 +$78 09-20 06:04
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +370 $100 29¢ $106 +$6 09-24 12:48
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +123 $80 68¢ $84 +$4 10-06 06:51
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +172 $100 42¢ $73 -$27 09-24 12:48
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? Yes +400 $90 10¢ $38 -$52 09-30 11:26
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +20 $10 100¢ $20 +$10 08-28 10:20
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +20 $11 81¢ $16 +$5 08-28 10:23
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,139 $354 1¢ $13 -$341 10-23 16:56
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +3 $1 89¢ $3 +$2 05-05 11:25
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? No +3 $1 98¢ $3 +$2 04-28 23:39
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 88¢ $2 +$1 04-29 00:03
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 04-28 23:35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +59 $20 2¢ $1 -$19 09-25 12:55
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? Yes +279 $66 0¢ $1 -$65 09-03 10:36
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +103 $28 0¢ $0 -$28 10-19 05:56