Realized P&L (90d)
-$144
Unrealized P&L
-$1.75K
Hit rate
72.7%
Resolved (90d)
13
Trades (90d)
54
878 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$2.52K
$88.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$100
Open exposure
$1.18K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-23 16:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 80 days
Categories
Politics
65% 51% +$2,537
Other
28% 42% +$442
Crypto
6% 0% -$2,710
Pop-Culture
1% 50% -$435
Sports
0% 0% -$200
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +694 $500 59¢ $410 -$90 10-19 05:40
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +6,012 $1,462 4¢ $216 -$1,246 06-13 12:50
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +219 $100 84¢ $184 +$84 09-20 06:04
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +370 $100 32¢ $117 +$17 09-24 12:48
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +123 $80 72¢ $88 +$8 10-06 06:51
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +172 $100 41¢ $70 -$30 09-24 12:48
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? Yes +400 $90 8¢ $34 -$56 09-30 11:26
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +20 $10 100¢ $20 +$10 08-28 10:20
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +20 $11 82¢ $16 +$6 08-28 10:23
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,139 $354 1¢ $9 -$345 10-23 16:56
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +3 $1 90¢ $3 +$2 05-05 11:25
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? No +3 $1 98¢ $3 +$2 04-28 23:39
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? Yes +279 $66 1¢ $2 -$64 09-03 10:36
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 90¢ $2 +$1 04-29 00:03
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 04-28 23:35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +59 $20 2¢ $1 -$19 09-25 12:55
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +103 $28 0¢ $0 -$28 10-19 05:56