Realized P&L
-$38
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
48.6%
Resolved
243
Trades
552
lifetime
Volume
$988
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$12
5 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 10-06 09:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Sports
48% 47% -$18
Politics
44% 45% -$6
Other
8% 36% -$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -8 -$7 94¢ $-8 -$1 07-01 21:52
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -4 -$4 97¢ $-4 $0 10-05 23:59
will a 1 year enrichment moratorium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201635 Yes +6 $2 10¢ $1 -$1 07-25 20:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +14 $2 2¢ $0 -$1 10-06 01:03
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +6 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 07-25 20:21