Steep-Consulate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$303

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

30.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$15.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$294

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-08

last 09-17 04:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

71% 42% -$307

Politics

29% 40% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?	No		+3	$3	97¢	$3	+$0	09-17 04:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	2	$937	487	487	+0	No	-$1	05-13 04:23
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	2	$916	472	472	+0	No	-$3	05-11 09:17
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	2	$884	463	463	+0	No	+$0	05-19 08:16
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	2	$859	460	460	+0	open	—	08-14 09:06
ukraine coup attempt by december 31	2	$856	460	460	+0	open	—	08-15 03:06
will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in august 2026 20260731154202609	3	$856	460	460	+0	No	+$0	08-15 05:24
us iran final nuclear deal by october 31 2026	2	$850	450	450	+0	No	+$4	08-14 07:17
israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	3	$846	445	445	+0	No	+$0	07-16 07:56
will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	2	$837	465	465	+0	No	-$9	07-16 12:42
will russia capture borova by december 31 2026	3	$828	460	460	+0	open	—	07-17 02:28
moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260708134955089	2	$823	440	440	+0	Yes	-$4	07-10 02:07
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	2	$819	445	445	+0	open	—	07-10 05:35
will russia capture novodmytrivka by july 31 20260714215009495	3	$819	460	460	+0	No	-$9	07-17 03:13
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?	2	$756	420	420	+0	open	—	06-23 09:01
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	2	$754	400	400	+0	open	—	06-23 07:48
fif tjk ind 2026 06 09 spread away 1pt5	1	$489	515	0	+515	Tajikistan	+$26	06-09 05:06
Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-2.5)	1	$467	473	0	+473	FC Machida Zelvia	+$6	05-13 04:27
Spread: AFC Unirea Slobozia (-1.5)	1	$457	462	0	+462	FCSB	+$5	05-11 11:07
Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)	1	$440	468	0	+468	Dalian Yingbo FC	+$28	05-19 09:32
mex pum maz 2026 04 12 spread away 2pt5	1	$348	352	0	+352	Pumas de la UNAM	+$4	04-12 07:12
j2100 tsc van 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	1	$293	299	0	+299	Vanraure Hachinohe FC	-$293	04-08 07:11
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	9	$74	930	930	+0	No	+$0	05-17 05:07
Spread: CD Unión La Calera (-1.5)	2	$56	935	0	+935	CD Huachipato	-$56	05-17 05:10
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	09-17 04:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 04:16:21	Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x6bac41…
08-15 05:24:03	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in august 2026 20260731154202609	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xdc2a5e…
08-15 05:23:55	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in august 2026 20260731154202609	No	SELL	450	93¢	$418	0x38516c…
08-15 03:21:37	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in august 2026 20260731154202609	No	BUY	460	93¢	$428	0x528b42…
08-15 03:06:12	ukraine coup attempt by december 31	No	SELL	460	93¢	$428	0x0c80c9…
08-15 01:50:13	ukraine coup attempt by december 31	No	BUY	460	93¢	$428	0xf30d07…
08-14 09:06:27	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	460	93¢	$430	0x6db954…
08-14 07:29:07	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	460	93¢	$430	0x98d642…
08-14 07:17:43	us iran final nuclear deal by october 31 2026	No	SELL	450	95¢	$428	0x41ae49…
08-14 03:05:40	us iran final nuclear deal by october 31 2026	No	BUY	450	94¢	$423	0x1a3afe…
07-17 03:13:19	will russia capture novodmytrivka by july 31 20260714215009495	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x666f9b…
07-17 03:13:15	will russia capture novodmytrivka by july 31 20260714215009495	No	SELL	455	88¢	$400	0x694b9c…
07-17 02:31:39	will russia capture novodmytrivka by july 31 20260714215009495	No	BUY	460	90¢	$414	0xeb5a30…
07-17 02:28:34	will russia capture borova by december 31 2026	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x967033…
07-17 02:28:31	will russia capture borova by december 31 2026	No	SELL	455	90¢	$410	0xbabb71…
07-17 01:35:20	will russia capture borova by december 31 2026	No	BUY	460	90¢	$414	0x8b609c…
07-16 12:42:17	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	No	SELL	465	89¢	$414	0xe188a1…
07-16 08:01:17	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	465	91¢	$423	0x57d127…
07-16 07:56:55	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xd40081…
07-16 07:56:47	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	No	SELL	440	95¢	$418	0xef0b4c…
07-16 06:51:46	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	No	BUY	445	95¢	$423	0x72d49b…
07-10 05:35:53	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	445	92¢	$409	0x2cd7ca…
07-10 02:52:32	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	445	92¢	$409	0x759130…
07-10 02:07:26	moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260708134955089	Yes	SELL	440	93¢	$409	0x465335…
07-10 01:13:02	moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260708134955089	Yes	BUY	440	94¢	$414	0x799bc0…
06-23 09:01:04	Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?	No	SELL	420	90¢	$378	0x1ab2b1…
06-23 07:57:35	Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?	No	BUY	420	90¢	$378	0x1d28b2…
06-23 07:48:38	Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	No	SELL	400	94¢	$377	0xfdec53…
06-23 06:23:53	Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	No	BUY	400	94¢	$377	0x168371…
06-09 05:06:01	fif tjk ind 2026 06 09 spread away 1pt5	Tajikistan	BUY	515	95¢	$489	0x26d40d…
05-19 09:32:25	Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)	Dalian Yingbo FC	BUY	468	94¢	$440	0x541287…
05-19 08:16:47	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	SELL	463	96¢	$442	0xa5aeb4…
05-19 07:16:02	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	BUY	463	96¢	$442	0xbb20e9…
05-17 05:10:45	Spread: CD Unión La Calera (-1.5)	CD Unión La Calera	BUY	495	6¢	$30	0x38367f…
05-17 05:10:31	Spread: CD Unión La Calera (-1.5)	CD Unión La Calera	BUY	440	6¢	$26	0x173ec5…
05-17 05:07:47	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x9b846e…
05-17 05:03:35	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	135	4¢	$5	0xfe087e…
05-17 05:03:08	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xcd964c…
05-17 05:01:20	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0x44ab64…
05-17 05:01:04	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	185	4¢	$7	0x22c77f…
05-17 05:00:36	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0x72653b…
05-17 05:00:19	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xb67496…
05-17 03:26:32	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	450	4¢	$18	0xeedf25…
05-17 03:26:10	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	480	4¢	$19	0x0986f7…
05-13 04:27:14	Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-2.5)	FC Machida Zelvia	BUY	473	99¢	$467	0x36555b…
05-13 04:23:54	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	487	96¢	$468	0xf8510f…
05-13 03:22:11	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	487	96¢	$469	0xd47663…
05-11 11:07:41	Spread: AFC Unirea Slobozia (-1.5)	FCSB	BUY	462	99¢	$457	0x43ce5a…
05-11 09:17:01	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	No	SELL	472	97¢	$456	0x9bcba6…
05-11 06:06:11	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	No	BUY	472	97¢	$460	0xa81d12…
04-12 07:12:27	mex pum maz 2026 04 12 spread away 2pt5	Pumas de la UNAM	BUY	352	99¢	$348	0x72d424…
04-08 07:11:57	j2100 tsc van 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	Tochigi SC	BUY	299	98¢	$293	0xb1f9e6…