Private-Carport — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.83K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.43K

Hit rate

64.5%

Resolved

425

Trades

2,559

lifetime

Volume

$362.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$142

Open exposure

$4.22K

11 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-16 09:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 128 days

Categories

Other

55% 28% +$688

Politics

21% 33% +$49

Crypto

19% 35% +$9,384

Sports

5% 18% -$6,414

Tech

0% 50% -$116

Pop-Culture

0% 11% -$758

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-2,036	-$1,873	97¢	$-1978	-$105	08-29 02:24
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	-1,500	-$735	84¢	$-1252	-$518	08-21 03:48
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,939	$1,200	25¢	$493	-$707	09-18 04:02
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+9,000	$540	3¢	$283	-$256	08-29 02:26
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	+3,043	$274	3¢	$91	-$183	08-05 18:46
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+5,000	$45	1¢	$50	+$5	08-29 02:54
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	+500	$80	4¢	$22	-$58	05-05 07:49
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	-810	-$302	2¢	$-20	+$282	08-29 02:18
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	-1,200	-$201	1¢	$-13	+$188	08-29 02:18
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+5,000	$90	0¢	$12	-$78	06-07 22:01
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	OpenAI	+6	$1	8¢	$0	-$1	05-28 11:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	20	$31.1K	17,165	17,165	+0	Yes	+$553	02-07 18:30
over 80m committed to the ranger public sale 675 826 682 419	17	$30.0K	25,016	25,016	+0	Yes	+$19,041	01-10 15:57
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	34	$12.4K	98,638	9,839	+88,800	Yes	-$285	01-31 05:08
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	3	$10.1K	7,300	7,300	+0	open	—	09-11 14:10
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	7	$9.6K	6,710	6,710	+0	Yes	+$1,671	01-30 02:31
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	4	$9.1K	4,800	4,800	+0	Yes	+$210	01-09 22:00
us forces enter iran by march 7	25	$8.3K	5,800	5,000	+800	No	+$967	03-06 01:24
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	19	$7.8K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$2,180	03-28 17:19
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	33	$7.5K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$4	03-05 03:51
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	13	$6.7K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	-$797	03-24 20:32
ethereum above 1700 on july 3 2026	19	$6.0K	6,000	6,000	+0	Yes	+$5,305	07-03 14:33
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	16	$5.5K	5,528	5,528	+0	Yes	+$137	01-10 04:21
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	5	$5.5K	3,500	3,500	+0	No	+$1,332	02-28 06:21
will hyperliquid reach 40 in february	3	$5.3K	5,506	0	+5,506	No	+$187	02-27 17:24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$5.0K	9,000	0	+9,000	No	-$4,980	09-01 05:07
nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	23	$4.8K	2,603	2,603	+0	Yes	+$364	02-25 21:33
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	28	$4.8K	13,000	4,000	+9,000	open	—	08-29 02:26
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	9	$4.6K	4,681	4,681	+0	No	-$3,033	02-02 09:29
will bitcoin dip to 65k in february 2026 372 697	6	$4.6K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	+$0	02-05 05:21
maduro mugshot released by january 9	4	$4.5K	9,500	0	+9,500	No	-$4,500	01-05 05:07
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	11	$4.1K	5,470	3,470	+2,000	Yes	+$2,716	04-07 23:50
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	4	$4.0K	3,577	3,577	+0	No	+$2,649	04-30 18:02
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	13	$3.9K	8,462	2,500	+5,962	No	-$650	02-07 18:29
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	16	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$316	03-31 07:05
nba sas gsw 2026 02 11	2	$3.6K	3,000	2,500	+500	Spurs	+$40	02-12 04:26
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 8 million	2	$3.5K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$1,500	02-11 22:15
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	19	$3.4K	5,946	5,946	+0	Yes	-$797	02-27 21:03
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	4	$3.2K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$250	02-06 13:17
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	28	$3.2K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	-$715	04-27 00:25
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	3	$3.1K	2,367	2,367	+0	No	+$666	03-24 20:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 09:15:22	Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3,979	50¢	$2,000	0xce134c…
09-18 04:02:58	Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,939	62¢	$1,200	0x0a2350…
09-11 14:10:22	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7,300	83¢	$6,059	0xfb34ab…
09-04 08:08:13	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	SELL	2,584	40¢	$1,033	0x2628d8…
09-04 08:01:21	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x2b22f4…
09-04 05:04:30	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	SELL	906	40¢	$362	0x7a0c79…
09-01 05:07:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	43¢	$860	0xdf332d…
08-29 02:54:00	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5,000	1¢	$45	0x33408c…
08-29 02:27:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	54¢	$2,700	0xbfe449…
08-29 02:26:00	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,000	14¢	$840	0x7537a2…
08-29 02:24:51	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	93¢	$1,860	0x9fb21a…
08-29 02:24:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,036	92¢	$1,873	0xe98fbd…
08-29 02:18:16	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,200	17¢	$201	0xa82e9f…
08-29 02:18:04	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	810	37¢	$302	0x36c0ae…
08-29 02:17:40	Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	No	SELL	1,576	34¢	$536	0x9499ff…
08-26 10:43:45	Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	No	SELL	18	39¢	$7	0x6cddfe…
08-26 10:37:03	Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	No	SELL	30	39¢	$12	0x299f65…
08-26 09:53:12	Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	No	SELL	17	39¢	$7	0xee2854…
08-26 09:51:46	Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	No	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0xc0e868…
08-26 09:50:39	Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xfdbbf2…
08-26 09:50:37	Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	No	SELL	286	39¢	$112	0x9d6089…
08-24 05:30:39	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	722	95¢	$686	0x347483…
08-23 01:01:45	Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	No	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x466f32…
08-21 21:24:22	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	1,000	31¢	$310	0xbb5c43…
08-21 11:46:54	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	278	95¢	$264	0xf6618a…
08-21 04:00:27	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0xed86ae…
08-21 03:48:01	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,500	49¢	$735	0x93c666…
08-21 03:43:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	71¢	$1,420	0x64ce69…
08-21 03:41:28	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xa32be5…
08-21 03:41:27	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xeb3f90…
08-21 03:40:55	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	292	72¢	$209	0x96d161…
08-06 01:09:30	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	4,300	56¢	$2,408	0xe07d03…
08-06 00:37:11	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	3,000	56¢	$1,680	0xaba4a2…
08-05 18:46:23	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x16246e…
08-05 18:00:14	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	3,032	9¢	$273	0x1a25b2…
08-04 23:41:24	squid fdv above 75m one day after launch 994	No	BUY	1,888	7¢	$132	0x9c0247…
08-04 23:41:09	squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	No	BUY	343	35¢	$120	0x867d72…
08-04 05:56:14	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	2,500	23¢	$575	0x39744d…
08-03 16:58:57	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$9	0x42ff68…
08-03 05:38:15	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	5,000	2¢	$100	0x1a6239…
08-02 15:29:18	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	1,986	20¢	$397	0x9c6f3e…
08-02 14:43:30	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x6b2b74…
08-02 10:04:08	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,080	26¢	$1,061	0x11c151…
08-02 09:55:54	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x144ccc…
08-02 09:55:32	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	303	26¢	$79	0x5048d2…
08-02 03:53:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	272	9¢	$25	0xb47bc9…
08-02 03:15:48	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	400	38¢	$152	0x56b69f…
08-02 03:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0xfef785…
08-02 03:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	26	70¢	$18	0xb0b771…
08-02 03:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x753640…
08-02 03:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x413f1b…
08-02 03:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x9c76d5…
08-02 03:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	60	70¢	$42	0x60a8fc…
08-02 03:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x518fb3…
08-02 03:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	220	70¢	$154	0x2d33ca…
08-02 03:12:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0xda53fb…
08-02 03:09:42	will ethereum reach 1900 on august 1	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x744511…
08-02 02:47:51	will solana reach 75 on august 1	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x34f8a0…
08-02 02:43:41	will ethereum reach 1900 on august 1	Yes	BUY	2,000	6¢	$120	0x33744c…
08-02 02:41:12	will ethereum reach 1900 on august 1	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x39f490…
08-02 02:39:44	will ethereum reach 1900 on august 1	Yes	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0x2f3427…
08-02 02:37:18	will ethereum reach 1900 on august 1	Yes	BUY	2,000	6¢	$112	0x015b66…
08-02 02:30:45	will bitcoin reach 64k on august 1	Yes	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0x7caa04…
08-02 00:27:32	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	1,500	49¢	$735	0xe03f53…
08-01 23:43:54	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xb02626…
08-01 23:43:32	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0x138b0d…
08-01 23:43:12	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	15,000	0¢	$30	0xd04bb4…
08-01 13:08:59	Will Isaac Del Toro win the 2026 Donostia San Sebastian Klasikoa?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x5c928a…
08-01 13:08:05	Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2026 Donostia San Sebastian Klasikoa?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3cd923…
08-01 09:48:57	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0x5e08b2…
08-01 09:48:51	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xc91d39…
08-01 09:48:44	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	26¢	$18	0x82ce2b…
08-01 09:48:39	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xfd68a5…
08-01 09:48:39	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$0	0x18fa25…
08-01 09:42:30	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1a9e7d…
08-01 09:42:11	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	26¢	$7	0xb56dff…
08-01 09:42:08	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xc97a95…
08-01 09:39:08	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x1bdc5f…
08-01 09:23:51	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	26¢	$6	0xd087e0…
08-01 08:44:51	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x9870bd…
08-01 08:44:18	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x336807…
08-01 08:44:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x1a58a9…
08-01 08:44:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x14299a…
08-01 08:43:02	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0x19028e…
08-01 08:11:56	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xcdd43c…
08-01 08:04:33	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xfe98fa…
08-01 07:39:59	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xae09c4…
08-01 07:39:44	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x32311b…
08-01 07:34:29	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	26¢	$16	0x8e62aa…
08-01 07:15:35	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	315	26¢	$82	0x80d638…
08-01 05:04:06	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$20	0xe97013…
08-01 05:00:53	Will Jonathan Milan win the 2026 Donostia San Sebastian Klasikoa?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb90cb5…
08-01 05:00:23	Will Florian Lipowitz win the 2026 Donostia San Sebastian Klasikoa?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xeddc3a…
08-01 04:59:48	Will Mads Pedersen win the 2026 Donostia San Sebastian Klasikoa?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x5a1682…
08-01 04:59:18	Will Juan Ayuso win the 2026 Donostia San Sebastian Klasikoa?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x352150…
08-01 04:57:17	Will Florian Vermeersch win the 2026 Donostia San Sebastian Klasikoa?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x4f211e…
08-01 04:56:59	Will Tobias Lund Andresen win the 2026 Donostia San Sebastian Klasikoa?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x7abba4…
08-01 04:56:17	Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2026 Donostia San Sebastian Klasikoa?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xb4cb2e…
08-01 04:55:56	Will Wout van Aert win the 2026 Donostia San Sebastian Klasikoa?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xf0d32b…
08-01 04:55:35	Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Donostia San Sebastian Klasikoa?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbd9d83…