Tricky-Breakthrough-Offering — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.1%

Resolved

Trades

724

lifetime

Volume

$7.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 06-09 17:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

75% 96% +$0

Sports

19% 100% +$0

Crypto

5% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:38:24	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36e2d5…
06-09 14:20:34	kbo ssg lg 2026 06 09	LG Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7a6b4d…
06-08 23:26:33	cs2 xi clutch 2026 06 08	XI Esport	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8acee2…
06-08 21:37:07	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc69994…
06-08 20:19:42	aapl close above 305 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x646388…
06-08 12:03:40	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa199ad…
06-07 22:05:31	mlb wsh ari 2026 06 07	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1e88f1…
06-07 22:01:58	mlb wsh ari 2026 06 07 spread home 1pt5	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8013f4…
06-07 21:58:15	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e2b7d…
06-07 19:26:45	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 map handicap away 1pt5	Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c2e87…
06-07 18:51:37	Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb81be8…
06-07 17:39:00	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe63b8b…
06-07 16:59:28	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8930fd…
06-07 13:09:45	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6aadf8…
06-07 11:42:54	r6siege edg oc1 2026 06 07 game handicap away 1pt5	EDward Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2d1b3…
06-06 23:09:43	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e6186…
06-06 14:19:25	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x09a3c5…
06-06 14:19:24	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x055ac7…
06-06 12:59:25	cs2 9z fly 2026 06 06	9z	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb42b7…
06-06 12:05:55	wttmen gauzy jha 2026 06 06	Jha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x79f4ea…
06-06 11:32:33	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x68c5ec…
06-06 11:32:28	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5079a5…
06-05 17:03:39	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x45eb43…
06-05 01:10:57	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf68288…
06-03 21:32:37	DR Congo vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfae41a…
06-03 16:33:54	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands	Scotland	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x992b03…
06-03 16:04:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe9ff5c…
06-03 04:48:46	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8edf2b…
06-02 22:56:08	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd05dd0…
06-02 15:24:44	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa16421…
06-02 14:02:04	Will Pepe be included in Portugal's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x075cbd…
06-01 08:37:38	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa8c56f…
06-01 02:05:36	Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7851c2…
05-31 23:49:04	Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)	San Francisco Giants	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82cc92…
05-31 22:51:07	Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)	San Francisco Giants	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x04f0d2…
05-31 21:10:56	The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy	John	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2c4af3…
05-31 20:05:52	Blaublitz Akita vs. Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8fa183…
05-31 18:59:01	Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Busta (+2.5)	Busta	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xed8cb3…
05-31 18:43:09	Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner	INOX Division	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1b4305…
05-31 18:08:24	Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd6edf…
05-31 13:09:32	Centurion: Giles Hussey vs Edward Winter	Giles Hussey	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a58cc…
05-31 12:12:33	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f05cf…
05-31 09:15:41	KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa962a3…
05-31 09:14:34	KBO: SSG Landers vs. Hanwha Eagles	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c70e7…
05-30 22:09:39	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b960e…
05-30 19:05:42	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd80983…
05-30 18:04:17	Set Handicap: Tabilo (-2.5) vs Kouame (+2.5)	Kouame	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb44477…
05-30 14:25:14	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1a058b…
05-30 14:02:33	Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe58723…
05-30 11:17:29	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jose Henrique	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b9b12…
05-30 04:48:31	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x826fd9…
05-30 02:48:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdf9bb6…
05-29 21:58:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf95fcf…
05-29 21:06:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x146ce0…
05-29 21:01:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd76039…
05-29 20:22:39	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1e4bf5…
05-29 19:20:06	Fonseca vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x28df18…
05-29 17:27:48	Spread: Gambia (-1.5)	IR Iran	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x738171…
05-29 13:57:04	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6eaf16…
05-28 16:52:23	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8501ba…
05-28 12:33:03	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0e5a64…
05-28 02:32:34	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8867de…
05-27 16:11:25	Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs 25 cents (+1.5)	BESTIA	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9c2a5f…
05-26 21:29:19	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf4aebb…
05-26 20:00:22	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x123a6d…
05-26 13:17:56	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x45eeeb…
05-26 06:28:01	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd6ecc2…
05-26 01:08:49	Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xda9af3…
05-25 18:11:53	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9f0d55…
05-25 08:09:09	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x536760…
05-25 04:48:20	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc0d723…
05-25 01:24:35	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf62396…
05-24 22:57:07	Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd67c22…
05-24 22:23:15	New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1af655…
05-24 19:55:51	Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddy	Nishesh Basavareddy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x58c19c…
05-24 19:24:10	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf612e5…
05-24 17:22:43	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeb90fb…
05-24 17:20:25	Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3dd334…
05-24 15:57:40	Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Machac vs Zizou Bergs	Tomas Machac	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x29de96…
05-24 15:30:03	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa0b6c0…
05-24 08:02:48	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Supah Hot	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb33107…
05-24 00:32:06	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xabbb2b…
05-23 23:59:19	New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x82de4e…
05-23 22:30:09	New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x511097…
05-23 16:16:07	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x86310b…
05-23 12:56:33	Nedic vs. Sanchis: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9bcd78…
05-23 01:56:48	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd7fced…
05-23 01:24:49	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x18dea6…
05-21 20:07:52	Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95d99d…
05-21 14:25:01	Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Joint/Perez vs Eikeri/Gleason	Eikeri/Gleason	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf594d4…
05-21 04:00:49	Spread: Cusco FC (-1.5)	Independiente Medellín	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c928c…
05-21 02:31:57	SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfba63c…
05-20 21:53:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3a2a95…
05-20 21:22:33	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc35611…
05-20 21:17:30	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x30aeb7…
05-20 19:14:16	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anhelina Kalinina	Anhelina Kalinina	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe3bc65…
05-20 19:13:55	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xede57c…
05-20 18:22:27	Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Fokina (+1.5)	Fokina	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x022d28…
05-20 18:07:04	Set Handicap: Semenistaja (-1.5) vs Zavatska (+1.5)	Zavatska	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7c59e9…
05-20 11:43:41	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Ugo Blanchet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x22bcb7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Tall-Earrings 0x4662…03e9	566	$14.3K	587	06-08 23:21
Impressionable-Pipeline-Papaya 0x86b8…fd4b	561	$5.69K	575	06-09 17:38
Constant-Coat 0xa330…0246	560	$2.83K	571	06-09 17:38
Gaseous-Lift 0x6dcd…ddef	553	$2.80K	564	06-09 17:38
Respectful-Medium 0x6f2e…a93d	551	$5.58K	563	06-08 21:36
Neat-Venom 0xb3f3…1738	549	$5.57K	565	06-09 17:38
Safe-Screw 0xd512…fe9b	535	$2.71K	543	06-09 17:38
International-Consonant 0x0494…59ae	534	$27.1K	566	06-09 17:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-25 18:11
Levanga Hokkaido vs. Alvark Tokyo	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-03 07:28
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:11
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 16:26
SK Poltava vs. FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih: O/U 1.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-01 13:54
Bitcoin above 76,400 on April 30, 9AM ET?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-30 13:07
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 Week of April 20 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-20 14:16
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 14:38
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 19:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-29 21:01
ufc den2 mar91 2026 04 18	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-19 00:30
atp machac rublev 2026 04 17	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-17 14:01
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 21 2026 13c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-21 17:00
por spo ben 2026 04 19 total 3pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-19 19:34
highest temperature in nyc on april 21 2026 50 51f	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-21 18:59
Wingbits FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-23 23:08
Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	04-25 20:21
Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Joint/Perez vs Eikeri/Gleason	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-21 14:25
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 4.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Under	+$0	05-13 12:01
USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-22 21:31
Madrid Open, Qualification: Arthur Gea vs Vilius Gaubas	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-20 10:49
mlb wsh ari 2026 06 07	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-07 22:05
lol gx shft 2026 04 13 game1 first blood	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-13 19:25
Set Handicap: Ruiz (-1.5) vs Vukic (+1.5)	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-20 13:24