Testy-Dining — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

-$44

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

324

lifetime

Volume

$14.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

$142

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 06-12 15:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

86% — —

Other

9% 100% +$21

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No		+140	$105	52¢	$74	$-32	06-11 20:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+115	$81	60¢	$68	$-13	06-11 20:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	16	$2.4K	1,681	1,681	+0	open	—	03-22 10:45
mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	1	$1000	5,340	0	+5,340	open	—	03-15 20:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	15	$993	640	640	+0	open	—	05-30 18:06
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	3	$722	400	400	+0	open	—	04-15 05:39
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	15	$697	800	700	+100	open	—	04-16 17:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	9	$466	500	300	+200	open	—	03-31 22:08
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	4	$417	250	250	+0	open	—	04-24 08:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$407	400	400	+0	open	—	05-27 05:25
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$288	400	150	+250	open	—	04-01 09:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	7	$276	265	263	+2	open	—	04-28 15:05
will trump say pilot or crew or staff 5 times during monday news conference	7	$270	150	150	+0	open	—	04-06 18:20
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	10	$256	452	452	+0	open	—	04-16 18:00
will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	3	$238	167	167	+0	open	—	03-30 19:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	9	$228	580	0	+580	open	—	04-19 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	4	$225	132	132	+0	open	—	05-26 19:05
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$220	141	141	+0	open	—	03-14 17:47
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	3	$219	230	30	+200	open	—	06-12 15:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	2	$205	100	140	-40	open	—	06-01 16:53
israel closes its airspace by june 8	5	$195	120	120	+0	open	—	06-08 17:01
israel closes its airspace by june 9	5	$194	120	120	+0	open	—	06-08 17:01
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	6	$186	361	361	+0	open	—	04-16 18:00
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	4	$172	190	50	+140	open	—	06-11 20:00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	4	$171	450	450	+0	open	—	05-28 15:20
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$164	100	100	+0	open	—	06-03 11:26
will trump say make a deal during monday news conference	2	$159	100	100	+0	open	—	04-06 18:21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	3	$157	116	116	+0	open	—	05-31 15:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	3	$154	100	100	+0	open	—	04-24 08:04
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$135	100	100	+0	open	—	03-30 12:56
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	6	$132	100	100	+0	open	—	04-16 13:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	5	$128	145	30	+115	open	—	06-11 20:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 15:47:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x63cb47…
06-11 20:02:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x43e5a2…
06-11 20:01:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x06618e…
06-11 20:00:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0x605055…
06-09 17:42:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x2a090e…
06-08 20:10:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x6a0315…
06-08 17:02:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	31¢	$19	0x4c26a4…
06-08 17:01:57	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x80ba01…
06-08 17:01:27	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	120	99¢	$118	0xe7933a…
06-08 10:52:31	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	86	79¢	$68	0x4bccbd…
06-08 10:52:15	will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	No	BUY	60	56¢	$34	0xaeaf34…
06-08 10:50:01	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x281a8e…
06-08 08:33:31	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	49¢	$15	0x47ff35…
06-08 05:56:33	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x8e0154…
06-08 05:21:16	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x4f4c6d…
06-08 05:20:36	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x3d5ab2…
06-08 04:33:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xfb7dce…
06-08 04:29:18	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x5a4eef…
06-08 04:27:55	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x14d90d…
06-08 04:27:54	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xef2a6d…
06-08 04:27:54	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x419d1c…
06-07 18:38:33	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xf72604…
06-07 14:40:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x05070c…
06-07 13:46:12	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xec77e4…
06-06 19:09:51	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0xab2014…
06-06 19:09:07	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x422130…
06-06 19:08:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xc716f1…
06-05 10:03:30	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	No	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x1f3ecb…
06-03 22:08:54	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	SELL	3	93¢	$2	0xddb742…
06-03 20:57:19	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	SELL	97	93¢	$91	0x0d4f53…
06-03 14:37:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	77¢	$23	0x94c596…
06-03 11:26:52	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0x255ef8…
06-03 11:19:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	61¢	$18	0xaac6eb…
06-02 17:59:29	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0x570acb…
06-02 15:28:14	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	70	41¢	$29	0xaf6123…
06-02 15:28:05	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0xc053ea…
06-01 22:11:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x79b6a7…
06-01 16:55:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0x6708b4…
06-01 16:53:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	140	94¢	$132	0xfdd567…
06-01 11:21:56	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0x2dd4f9…
06-01 11:16:35	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0xcf5bc9…
06-01 11:16:34	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0xee3203…
06-01 11:12:09	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0xe6b2d6…
06-01 06:49:13	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x9ea998…
06-01 06:46:29	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	70	61¢	$43	0x14bc16…
05-31 20:15:17	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	Yes	BUY	32	7¢	$2	0x8d705f…
05-31 20:13:09	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0xc65075…
05-31 19:08:19	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	Yes	BUY	47	7¢	$3	0x05f981…
05-31 15:13:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xd72602…
05-31 15:12:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	No	SELL	116	67¢	$77	0x91aefc…
05-31 11:48:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	No	BUY	80	71¢	$57	0x00e371…
05-31 11:37:24	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0xcd861f…
05-31 08:41:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xa9332c…
05-30 19:04:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x3d62e0…
05-30 18:06:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	140	98¢	$137	0x1c3be3…
05-28 18:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x08598e…
05-28 17:52:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0xaa9c9d…
05-28 17:50:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xffdc6f…
05-28 17:47:09	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	No	BUY	36	65¢	$23	0xb1df5a…
05-28 17:26:35	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xef49e7…
05-28 17:20:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xc40b11…
05-28 17:20:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x29436f…
05-28 15:20:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	400	10¢	$40	0x79cea8…
05-28 15:12:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	300	13¢	$39	0x1e1b17…
05-28 15:10:25	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	400	11¢	$42	0x98e670…
05-28 15:05:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0xb48ada…
05-28 08:31:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x469fed…
05-28 08:30:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	23¢	$14	0x08a1b9…
05-28 08:30:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x876125…
05-28 08:30:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x3c9b82…
05-28 08:26:29	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xacb5a1…
05-27 05:25:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xb0308a…
05-26 19:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x6dbda5…
05-26 19:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	114	99¢	$113	0x29682e…
05-26 19:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x77ec64…
05-26 19:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	18	39¢	$7	0xe2df27…
05-26 19:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x04848d…
05-26 18:56:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x2e2df1…
05-26 11:50:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x8efc91…
05-26 11:50:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xd8ec3f…
05-26 07:37:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0xc12701…
05-26 07:35:43	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x2949dc…
05-20 04:19:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x02808e…
05-20 04:14:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	61	30¢	$18	0x3770de…
05-20 03:58:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0xbb88ee…
05-20 03:57:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xed835f…
05-19 18:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x9d39e6…
05-18 19:22:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x2c3d7e…
05-18 19:09:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xacb019…
05-18 19:07:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xb9ebe0…
05-18 19:03:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xa8ee61…
05-18 11:48:10	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0xeee115…
05-13 09:45:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	84¢	$168	0xde0406…
05-13 09:30:11	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xe1699d…
05-13 09:16:13	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	No	SELL	90	10¢	$9	0xf2e352…
05-13 07:08:21	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	No	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x027641…
05-12 13:32:45	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x5a7718…
05-11 18:45:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	160	80¢	$128	0xae26b6…
05-11 18:43:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x2dc8a5…
05-11 18:40:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x40986b…