Grubby-Clarinet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

233

lifetime

Volume

$47.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$206

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-12 16:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

70% 100% +$1

Politics

26% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Crypto

2% 100% +$2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	67	$29.9K	15,862	15,651	+211	open	—	03-23 02:39
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	21	$6.0K	7,043	7,043	+0	open	—	05-23 13:40
will iran strike israel on march 10	3	$3.1K	1,541	1,525	+16	open	—	03-16 05:39
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	1	$1.2K	1,188	0	+1,188	open	—	05-24 05:17
will chalamet be said 5 times at the oscars	3	$662	666	0	+666	open	—	03-16 06:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	4	$626	320	320	+0	open	—	05-14 01:02
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	4	$473	244	244	+0	open	—	04-19 10:21
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	7	$445	226	226	-0	open	—	04-17 04:07
will the state of the union be 180 minutes or longer	1	$419	424	0	+424	open	—	02-25 03:41
will the dhs shutdown end between february 20 23 2026	1	$418	418	0	+418	open	—	02-23 21:26
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	6	$338	172	172	+0	open	—	03-19 14:37
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?	2	$312	157	157	+0	open	—	05-09 01:37
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$307	312	312	+0	open	—	03-01 02:42
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$294	150	150	+0	No	+$1	03-20 18:27
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$233	121	112	+9	open	—	03-13 13:54
trump out as president by march 31	2	$221	112	112	+0	open	—	03-14 08:02
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	4	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	03-26 13:11
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 22 2026 30corhigher	1	$151	152	0	+152	open	—	03-22 14:23
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	04-07 11:46
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	3	$133	66	66	+0	open	—	01-10 17:03
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$132	66	66	+0	open	—	01-20 13:42
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	2	$132	66	66	+0	open	—	01-08 14:13
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	4	$121	100	24	+76	open	—	06-12 16:05
will trump say jesus this week march 8	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	03-10 12:56
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	3	$119	76	43	+33	open	—	01-04 12:05
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	1	$118	119	0	+119	open	—	02-28 12:11
will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	2	$117	118	0	+118	open	—	02-28 08:50
will white house be said at the oscars	1	$116	117	0	+117	open	—	03-16 04:22
will mrbeast hit 115 billion views by march 31	1	$111	111	0	+111	open	—	03-23 02:40
will iran strike israel on march 4	1	$103	103	0	+103	open	—	03-07 13:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 16:05:34	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xdfc9e6…
06-10 09:45:39	jd vance out as vp by june 30	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xa67227…
06-08 18:33:24	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0xbf0175…
06-08 18:30:39	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xa8e300…
06-06 09:10:00	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0xc5c5d6…
06-06 09:08:21	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x791cf9…
06-04 03:07:57	will ana luz acevedo cabrera advance from the ca 19 primary election 285	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x13d2ca…
06-03 21:24:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x17cffd…
06-03 13:10:15	Will Juan Rey advance from the CA-37 primary election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa5d555…
06-03 05:06:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x63d81c…
06-02 22:25:50	Will Ana Luz Acevedo-Cabrera advance from the CA-19 primary election?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbce6f3…
06-01 03:31:51	Will Ana Luz Acevedo-Cabrera advance from the CA-19 primary election?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe906eb…
06-01 03:31:04	Will Juan Rey advance from the CA-37 primary election?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x08414f…
06-01 03:30:18	Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x04961e…
05-28 13:52:22	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x20ff58…
05-28 13:51:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x02560c…
05-28 13:48:04	JD Vance out as VP by June 30?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0xcd3982…
05-26 05:03:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	197	3¢	$6	0x67b6b0…
05-26 05:03:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	303	3¢	$10	0x7bc086…
05-26 04:38:37	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1,000	2¢	$17	0x3e603a…
05-25 04:07:41	Will Bernie say "Restructure" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x649345…
05-25 03:39:53	Will Bernie say "Restructure" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x631488…
05-25 03:04:22	Will Bernie say "Coffee" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xc34ecb…
05-25 03:02:26	Will Bernie say "TSA" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x24ae9e…
05-25 03:01:18	Will Bernie say "Tariff" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xb3441e…
05-25 03:00:29	Will Bernie say "TSA" in Maine?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xd6041e…
05-25 02:56:12	Will Bernie say "Tariff" in Maine?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9949cd…
05-25 02:53:55	Will Bernie say "Restructure" in Maine?	Yes	SELL	39	0¢	$0	0xb81805…
05-25 02:53:55	Will Bernie say "Restructure" in Maine?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xb81805…
05-25 02:52:40	Will Bernie say "Tariff" in Maine?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x4c7cd8…
05-25 02:50:27	Will Bernie say "Tariff" in Maine?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x2e4752…
05-25 02:47:13	Will Bernie say "Nuclear" in Maine?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0xeb0ea3…
05-25 02:46:41	Will Bernie say "Nuclear" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x2283d1…
05-25 02:46:24	Will Bernie say "Tariff" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x076d3b…
05-25 02:34:44	Will Bernie say "Restructure" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x3c84ea…
05-25 02:31:38	Will Bernie say "Stakeholder" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x33330c…
05-25 02:31:15	Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xa25969…
05-25 02:30:02	Will Bernie say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x50e6d0…
05-25 01:30:27	Will Bernie say "Restructure" in Maine?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x56ae9b…
05-25 01:23:06	Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x99b4d3…
05-24 05:17:05	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	BUY	1,188	100¢	$1,186	0xe2e0cb…
05-23 13:40:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	SELL	1,000	100¢	$996	0x6043c4…
05-23 13:37:57	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	371	100¢	$369	0x8d2f01…
05-23 13:37:04	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	629	100¢	$627	0x910451…
05-23 12:19:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	SELL	988	100¢	$985	0xb8ba3b…
05-23 12:18:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfe161a…
05-23 12:16:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$10	0x02c357…
05-23 12:15:07	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0x84cde4…
05-23 12:14:40	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	SELL	1,000	100¢	$997	0xf2a6e4…
05-23 12:14:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0xab7ee4…
05-23 10:59:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	829	0¢	$2	0x8b2d3f…
05-23 10:59:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xa64baa…
05-23 10:58:22	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x358ef8…
05-23 10:57:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xe7f023…
05-23 10:56:46	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x867888…
05-23 10:55:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x7ef606…
05-23 10:55:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x161115…
05-23 10:55:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	113	0¢	$0	0x697606…
05-23 10:28:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	1,028	0¢	$3	0x2cdfec…
05-23 10:28:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x21f558…
05-23 08:55:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	3,000	0¢	$9	0xab5364…
05-23 08:51:37	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$9	0x70c019…
05-15 02:12:45	Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xabf4eb…
05-15 02:11:54	Will Melania Trump attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x02f7d5…
05-15 02:11:24	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0b4ed2…
05-15 02:08:38	Will James Comey leave the country by May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d90d2…
05-14 01:02:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	160	99¢	$158	0x2dc4c8…
05-12 06:45:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	160	98¢	$156	0x712b1c…
05-10 05:26:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	160	98¢	$157	0x0483bd…
05-09 02:32:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	160	97¢	$155	0x898133…
05-09 01:37:53	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?	No	SELL	157	100¢	$156	0x58b023…
05-06 03:06:24	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?	No	BUY	157	99¢	$156	0x56492f…
04-19 10:21:52	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	SELL	159	98¢	$155	0xa12a20…
04-19 03:38:18	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	BUY	159	97¢	$154	0x5dfa78…
04-17 04:07:42	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0x780b0a…
04-17 03:54:14	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x16db51…
04-17 00:41:56	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0xaedb2e…
04-15 03:51:34	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x2cae42…
04-14 11:35:43	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	BUY	84	97¢	$82	0x5c4075…
04-13 09:19:09	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	76	99¢	$75	0xa8b3f2…
04-13 04:52:55	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	76	99¢	$75	0xa51b14…
04-12 14:21:11	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	147	98¢	$145	0x3eecd4…
04-12 14:08:27	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x3e24a7…
04-11 05:26:31	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x7cc403…
04-10 13:22:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x3e6bc0…
04-08 08:27:05	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x58cd57…
04-07 11:46:11	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x91a205…
04-06 04:56:39	will trump say mine dropper this week april 5	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa2ea1d…
03-29 03:55:38	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x7c435a…
03-29 03:34:38	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x52d3c2…
03-28 13:11:09	maduro exiled to russia by march 31	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ccdf0…
03-28 13:10:45	hillary clinton charged by march 31	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc489d5…
03-28 13:09:29	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x89856c…
03-28 13:08:39	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc40516…
03-28 13:07:53	Will EdgeX launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x03f01c…
03-28 13:07:21	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfbcf71…
03-28 13:07:01	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe4b46a…
03-28 13:06:45	will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbe5103…
03-26 13:11:55	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	73	100¢	$72	0x667cea…
03-26 13:10:25	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8b84a2…