Optimistic-Publicity — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$272

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.1%

Resolved (90d)

253

Trades (90d)

701

3,222 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$3.59K

$16.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 10-30 23:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 134 days

Categories

Other

100% 36% -$88

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in hong kong on april 18 2026 27c	2	$161	84	84	+0	No	+$6	04-18 06:49
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 18 2026 26c	9	$144	112	110	+2	Yes	+$6	04-18 08:52
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 29?	10	$115	144	104	+40	Yes	+$21	07-28 16:31
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 9?	20	$112	175	99	+75	Yes	+$52	05-09 06:04
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner	4	$82	277	199	+78	T1	+$22	04-25 09:54
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 4?	15	$79	102	60	+42	Yes	+$21	06-04 04:02
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 29?	8	$74	54	53	+1	Yes	+$33	04-29 12:52
highest temperature in taipei on april 18 2026 27c	2	$45	31	30	+1	Yes	+$15	04-18 06:49
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 8?	12	$42	64	64	+0	No	-$18	05-08 14:11
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 4?	15	$41	103	54	+50	No	-$13	06-04 05:50
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 20?	10	$41	80	75	+5	No	-$20	06-20 08:20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 11?	12	$41	76	76	+0	No	-$19	05-11 13:17
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on April 25?	12	$38	97	0	+97	No	-$38	04-25 03:28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 15?	9	$38	80	9	+71	Yes	+$41	05-14 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 12?	6	$37	78	0	+78	Yes	+$41	05-12 06:31
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 13?	9	$37	44	34	+10	No	-$23	05-13 07:38
highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 28c	5	$37	27	27	+0	Yes	+$17	04-18 03:59
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 8?	11	$37	108	48	+60	No	-$33	05-08 12:07
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 8?	11	$37	66	66	+0	No	-$23	05-08 12:06
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 13?	11	$36	70	70	+0	Yes	-$24	05-13 12:28
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	2	$36	65	63	+2	No	-$3	04-19 22:49
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 13?	3	$36	90	90	+0	Yes	-$12	05-13 07:03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 13?	9	$36	76	76	+0	No	-$24	05-13 13:01
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 18 2026 25c	1	$35	97	0	+97	No	-$35	04-18 06:54
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 12?	7	$33	77	77	+0	No	-$14	05-11 13:12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 12?	1	$30	81	0	+81	Yes	+$51	05-11 03:50
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 14?	10	$30	69	0	+69	Yes	+$39	05-13 04:06
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 16?	3	$30	83	0	+83	No	-$30	05-15 00:22
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 16?	7	$30	61	0	+61	No	-$30	05-15 15:58
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 8?	5	$30	81	0	+81	No	-$30	05-07 00:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 23:39:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x1000c4…
10-30 23:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0xdb61fc…
10-30 23:37:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf12df5…
10-30 23:37:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x907bac…
10-30 23:37:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x47b3c8…
10-30 23:37:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x37bde8…
10-30 23:37:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xbf2de0…
10-30 23:35:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xeea45a…
10-30 23:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x40c994…
10-30 23:30:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7b3ee9…
10-30 23:30:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4ff97f…
10-30 11:12:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xcca6ca…
10-30 11:12:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xb510ad…
10-30 11:12:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7113e9…
10-30 11:12:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	82¢	$8	0x16e4ab…
10-30 10:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0xd7de0c…
10-30 10:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x3085ac…
10-30 10:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0xf96aa4…
10-30 10:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xaa2afb…
10-29 23:48:30	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	36	46¢	$17	0x0a2138…
10-29 23:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	33	39¢	$13	0x199d54…
10-29 23:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$3	0xb5562b…
10-29 23:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xa048a9…
10-29 23:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7652c8…
10-29 10:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xee549a…
10-29 10:22:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x70c918…
10-29 10:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x48071e…
10-29 10:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xfcc70e…
10-29 10:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa70e8e…
10-29 10:20:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xca64c1…
10-29 10:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x7d08dd…
10-29 10:18:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x31ee56…
10-29 10:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xa155e3…
10-29 10:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x43dd71…
10-29 10:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xef72e8…
10-29 10:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xa105a4…
10-28 23:37:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xc6e66c…
10-28 23:37:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x2e0a36…
10-28 23:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf8cf20…
10-28 23:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x72bb58…
10-28 23:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x23df0e…
10-28 23:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x12720c…
10-28 23:33:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xd589e2…
10-28 23:32:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x9f1220…
10-28 23:30:35	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x111e19…
10-28 09:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	31	34¢	$10	0x7f1df6…
10-28 09:25:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x5f3ab1…
10-28 09:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0x695134…
10-28 09:18:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xf71467…
10-28 09:18:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x92d0c8…
10-28 09:13:02	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x3a6269…
10-28 09:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xe0b21f…
10-26 01:21:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	31	53¢	$16	0xd746cd…
10-26 01:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x56bd97…
10-26 01:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0xba901e…
10-26 01:09:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x5f1636…
10-26 01:09:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x3a181a…
10-26 01:09:35	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	38¢	$1	0x6f8b50…
10-26 01:09:35	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x612576…
10-26 01:09:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6779d2…
10-26 01:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xaf604c…
10-26 01:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x8d2443…
10-26 01:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x503ef0…
10-26 01:09:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xf113aa…
10-25 10:27:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xc86d8e…
10-25 10:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x2032fc…
10-25 10:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x52e8b9…
10-25 10:18:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x68663e…
10-25 10:17:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xf5f666…
10-25 10:17:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x190b14…
10-25 10:17:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xf1579a…
10-25 10:17:11	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xe45ace…
10-25 10:14:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x7f1d90…
10-25 10:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x4df3f6…
10-25 10:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7ee025…
10-25 10:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x62a3a6…
10-25 10:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x234c99…
10-25 10:12:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xd8dc68…
10-25 10:12:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xcfeebf…
10-25 10:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4f2298…
10-25 09:28:38	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x529748…
10-25 09:27:35	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	38	42¢	$16	0x826e40…
10-25 09:24:26	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	27	32¢	$8	0x74700c…
10-25 09:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa91180…
10-25 09:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4a3149…
10-25 09:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf97089…
10-25 09:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x26b024…
10-25 09:11:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xebdd92…
10-24 12:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x816e1e…
10-24 11:55:32	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	24	44¢	$11	0x55b172…
10-24 11:53:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x8d43ea…
10-24 10:59:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x14ac54…
10-24 10:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xad4928…
10-24 10:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0xa6403b…
10-24 10:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x989b4e…
10-24 10:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x079924…
10-24 10:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0xf5e850…
10-24 10:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x36302f…
10-24 01:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	29	41¢	$12	0x019cd6…
10-24 01:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x504b20…