Realized P&L
+$417
Unrealized P&L
+$279
Hit rate
62.9%
Resolved
50
Trades
1,237
lifetime
Volume
$138.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$112
Open exposure
$1.08K
6 positions
First seen
2026-02-01
last 07-20 08:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
55% 22% +$243
Politics
32% 67% +$143
Sports
13% 56% +$33
Crypto
1% 50% $-2
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +3,953 $205 12¢ $480 +$275 07-20 08:05
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +1,901 $275 19¢ $361 +$86 07-19 22:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -196 $-120 99¢ $-194 $-74 06-03 12:13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes -167 $-32 24¢ $-40 $-8 06-03 10:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +2 $1 50¢ $1 +$0 07-17 10:46
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $1 $1 $-0 07-17 10:42