Realized P&L
-$38
Unrealized P&L
+$31
Hit rate
88.7%
Resolved
3,861
Trades
4,299
lifetime
Volume
$71.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$320
13 positions
First seen
2026-06-11
last 10-27 01:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 55 days
Categories
Crypto
61% 91% -$168
Other
34% 83% +$122
Sports
4% 85% +$122
Politics
1% 67% -$85
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$29
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 444 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +109 $91 94¢ $102 +$11 10-09 13:35
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +33 $28 96¢ $32 +$4 10-06 10:59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +32 $26 96¢ $31 +$5 10-07 16:12
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +31 $26 97¢ $30 +$4 10-16 23:13
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +28 $23 99¢ $27 +$4 10-02 07:46
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +19 $16 96¢ $18 +$3 10-07 14:45
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +20 $18 88¢ $17 -$1 10-04 07:04
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +19 $16 79¢ $15 -$1 10-05 22:27
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? No +19 $15 76¢ $14 -$1 10-16 12:27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +13 $11 94¢ $13 +$1 10-12 15:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +9 $8 92¢ $9 +$1 10-13 06:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +7 $6 94¢ $7 +$1 10-08 09:01
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +7 $5 70¢ $5 $0 10-24 21:19