High-Level-Effacement — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$2.14K

Unrealized P&L

+$224

Hit rate

22.7%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

108

480 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$9.08K

$115.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$241

Open exposure

$226

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-26 22:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Sports

58% 32% +$10,990

Other

29% 22% -$5,190

Crypto

13% 42% -$1,458

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes		+150,708	$3	0¢	$226	+$224	09-28 17:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$23.3K	46,760	41,087	+5,673	Yes	+$11,053	07-19 02:46
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	21	$10.7K	14,663	9,655	+5,009	Yes	+$3,246	06-11 05:17
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	50	$9.9K	27,555	16,061	+11,494	No	-$1,668	10-26 22:28
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	4	$6.9K	6,501	4,772	+1,729	Argentina	+$2,205	07-15 20:57
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	13	$5.8K	49,069	54,996	-5,927	No	-$1,048	07-03 00:19
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	2	$3.6K	5,016	5,016	+0	No	+$220	07-21 20:36
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$3.5K	125,949	75,941	+50,009	No	-$333	07-05 23:46
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$2.6K	69,079	28,867	+40,212	No	-$1,237	07-05 05:13
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	13	$2.5K	92,299	42,299	+50,000	No	-$2,091	05-25 01:39
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$2.1K	1,030,542	1,030,542	+0	No	-$38	06-25 04:01
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$2.0K	72,983	72,983	+0	No	-$256	06-30 21:59
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	6	$1.8K	11,457	11,457	+0	No	-$1,562	07-24 15:31
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$1.8K	4,821	4,821	+0	No	+$5	07-14 21:44
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	5	$1.7K	2,738	2,738	+0	76ers	+$847	05-03 01:24
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$1.6K	40,419	0	+40,419	No	-$1,617	07-06 00:07
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$1.5K	35,700	35,700	+0	No	+$36	05-02 23:23
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$1.4K	4,162	0	+4,162	Spain	-$1,436	07-14 20:05
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$1.4K	1,756	1,756	+0	No	+$686	06-11 02:11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	2	$1.4K	1,782	0	+1,782	Yes	-$1,354	10-25 01:54
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	1	$1.2K	1,993	0	+1,993	Portugal	-$1,156	07-03 00:22
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	3	$1.1K	876	876	+0	Justin Gaethje	+$696	06-15 05:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 15:05 UTC	3	$907	1,039	587	+452	Down	+$567	07-24 15:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 15:15 UTC	3	$824	632	632	+0	Down	+$230	07-24 15:18
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$815	456	456	+0	No	+$95	10-26 22:52
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	2	$812	767	767	+0	Knicks	+$720	06-11 03:46
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$747	7,099	7,099	+0	No	-$35	06-20 20:36
Will France win on 2026-09-28?	2	$742	1,325	0	+1,325	Yes	-$742	09-28 18:27
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	2	$695	700	700	+0	Yes	+$369	06-25 21:41
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	2	$574	385	385	+0	Ciryl Gane	+$189	06-15 04:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 21:05 UTC	3	$546	930	509	+421	Up	-$36	07-21 21:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:52:27	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	456	100¢	$455	0xd2ae46…
10-26 22:35:03	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	456	79¢	$360	0x20a66f…
10-26 22:28:05	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	130	4¢	$6	0xd76936…
10-26 22:28:00	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xebc86a…
10-26 22:28:00	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x14d436…
10-26 22:27:59	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xe20a84…
10-26 22:27:59	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	80	4¢	$4	0x8f3f02…
10-26 22:27:57	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xa4286a…
10-26 22:27:57	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0x9655b4…
10-26 22:27:57	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x8707b2…
10-26 22:27:57	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x73ca13…
10-26 22:27:57	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x40382a…
10-26 22:27:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$2	0xf8f9e0…
10-26 22:27:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	29	5¢	$1	0xe85df2…
10-26 22:27:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0xe30390…
10-26 22:27:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xd88699…
10-26 22:27:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0xa1ab70…
10-26 22:27:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0x8bfb09…
10-26 22:27:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x83216a…
10-26 22:27:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x808998…
10-26 22:27:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x7faa55…
10-26 22:27:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x70db03…
10-26 22:27:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	32	5¢	$1	0x675797…
10-26 22:27:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x61f356…
10-26 22:27:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0x5a9331…
10-26 22:27:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0x4a70ac…
10-26 22:27:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0x432c0e…
10-26 22:27:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0x41e886…
10-26 22:27:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x394acb…
10-26 22:27:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0x2639b8…
10-26 22:27:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0x086a98…
10-26 22:27:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x0277b1…
10-26 22:27:54	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xb3427a…
10-26 22:27:54	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xb2ed5d…
10-26 22:27:48	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xf031e5…
10-26 22:27:47	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x7e8d3a…
10-26 22:27:47	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,579	4¢	$68	0x36f25f…
10-26 22:27:47	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	540	4¢	$24	0x1352ba…
10-25 22:50:57	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	48	12¢	$6	0x5ede42…
10-25 22:50:41	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8,365	11¢	$939	0x3f722c…
10-25 01:54:09	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x1a58c9…
10-25 01:53:51	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	1,778	76¢	$1,352	0x1166d6…
10-21 00:43:44	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	625	32¢	$200	0x7c67a2…
09-29 18:50:08	Will Spain win on 2026-09-29?	No	BUY	106	9¢	$10	0x305a36…
09-29 18:37:03	Will Spain win on 2026-09-29?	No	BUY	811	20¢	$162	0x14d3c2…
09-28 18:27:26	Will France win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x253fb1…
09-28 18:27:00	Will France win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	1,319	56¢	$739	0x948706…
09-28 17:47:03	Will Armenia vs. Montenegro end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	483	9¢	$43	0xde709b…
09-28 17:46:47	Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	11,344	0¢	$47	0xdc6d65…
09-18 17:40:07	Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	40,000	0¢	$120	0x1b3967…
09-05 20:38:54	Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	32,892	0¢	$66	0x0aeabe…
08-29 13:17:00	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0x6b7c01…
08-29 13:16:07	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	2,123	20¢	$425	0xe08b36…
08-23 20:51:33	Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	1,614	0¢	$2	0xe9cf31…
08-23 20:51:12	Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	21,622	0¢	$22	0xf08463…
08-23 20:51:12	Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	12,386	0¢	$12	0x9f2088…
08-23 20:51:12	Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	199,322	0¢	$199	0x6cfaf0…
08-18 03:15:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	203	49¢	$100	0xb3b2d2…
08-18 03:14:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 03:10 UTC	Down	SELL	206	99¢	$204	0xc5f5cd…
08-18 03:09:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	206	51¢	$105	0xf6ddd4…
08-18 03:04:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	212	52¢	$110	0x678b73…
08-18 02:59:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	207	49¢	$102	0x59269b…
08-18 02:55:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	252	42¢	$105	0xd9cac6…
08-18 02:49:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	209	49¢	$102	0x48f7f1…
08-18 02:48:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 02:45 UTC	Down	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x95f98b…
08-18 02:47:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8ecd56…
08-18 02:47:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xcc35ab…
08-18 02:47:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe81e74…
08-18 02:47:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdba5c5…
08-18 02:43:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 02:40 UTC	Down	SELL	211	99¢	$209	0x69679b…
08-18 02:39:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	211	50¢	$105	0x62b031…
08-18 02:34:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	211	49¢	$104	0x63d5fe…
08-17 04:09:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x33e746…
08-17 04:09:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 04:05 UTC	Up	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x37ee29…
08-17 04:04:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	103	49¢	$51	0xbe5511…
08-17 03:59:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	104	51¢	$53	0xc6aa02…
08-17 03:58:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 03:55 UTC	Down	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0x836a9b…
08-17 03:54:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	107	49¢	$53	0x44b7b2…
08-17 03:52:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 03:50 UTC	Up	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x4801f7…
08-17 03:49:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	103	52¢	$53	0xf043b3…
08-17 03:44:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	103	52¢	$54	0xcf8c47…
08-17 03:39:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	106	52¢	$55	0x6fc72f…
08-17 03:35:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	99	56¢	$55	0x0f7bb6…
08-17 03:34:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 03:30 UTC	Down	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0xff2d5f…
08-17 03:29:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	104	53¢	$55	0x369f44…
08-17 03:25:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 03:20 UTC	Up	SELL	105	99¢	$104	0x61a664…
08-17 03:24:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	103	53¢	$54	0x70b6ca…
08-17 03:19:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	105	50¢	$52	0xd7301e…
08-17 03:16:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	101	50¢	$50	0xfd6bdd…
08-15 04:39:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	104	53¢	$55	0x45d499…
08-15 04:34:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	105	50¢	$53	0x3b765f…
08-15 04:29:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	104	51¢	$53	0x5ff7d3…
08-15 04:29:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 04:25 UTC	Up	SELL	104	98¢	$102	0x271765…
08-15 04:24:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 04:20 UTC	Up	SELL	103	98¢	$101	0x2a88d5…
08-15 04:24:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	104	51¢	$53	0x10253e…
08-15 04:19:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	103	56¢	$58	0xb64d8f…
08-15 04:18:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 04:15 UTC	Up	SELL	104	98¢	$102	0xb96aaf…
08-15 04:14:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	104	51¢	$53	0x2d52f4…
08-15 04:13:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 04:10 UTC	Up	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0x533724…
08-15 04:09:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	104	53¢	$55	0x40fb44…