Realized P&L
-$16.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.14K
Hit rate
37.7%
Resolved
147
Trades
947
lifetime
Volume
$73.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$77
Open exposure
$5.02K
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 06-14 00:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Other
48%
33%
-$10,994
Crypto
20%
45%
-$529
Sports
18%
43%
-$4,233
Politics
13%
50%
-$286
Tech
0%
0%
-$2
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | -2,000 | -$1,865 | 97¢ | $-1949 | -$84 | 05-06 23:34 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -1,500 | -$870 | 96¢ | $-1439 | -$569 | 06-13 22:12 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -1,500 | -$787 | 88¢ | $-1327 | -$540 | 05-19 13:31 | |
| Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? | No | -245 | -$201 | 83¢ | $-203 | -$2 | 06-13 21:14 | |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Yes | -5,176 | -$161 | 2¢ | $-101 | +$60 | 06-13 22:39 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nothing ever happens khamenei | 25 | $4.6K | 7,000 | 987 | +6,013 | No | -$3,020 | 02-25 00:06 |
| will carlos alcaraz win the 2026 australian open | 17 | $4.3K | 4,515 | 3,492 | +1,023 | Yes | +$2,346 | 02-01 10:23 |
| Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United? | 54 | $3.3K | 6,043 | 283 | +5,760 | Yes | -$2,940 | 02-10 19:15 |
| trump x greenland deal signed by march 31 | 21 | $2.2K | 2,785 | 1,258 | +1,526 | No | -$512 | 01-18 00:33 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | 1 | $1.9K | 0 | 2,000 | -2,000 | open | — | 05-06 23:34 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | 5 | $1.8K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | No | -$1,800 | 01-14 03:06 |
| will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election | 2 | $1.7K | 1,004 | 1,004 | +0 | Yes | +$235 | 01-25 16:13 |
| will russia join the board of peace | 9 | $1.6K | 1,000 | 968 | +32 | No | +$153 | 02-12 07:54 |
| nothing ever happens january 581 | 11 | $1.6K | 4,719 | 1,000 | +3,719 | No | -$511 | 01-29 20:54 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 12 | $1.5K | 1,000 | 1,000 | +0 | No | +$133 | 01-26 20:47 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | 2 | $1.5K | 2,000 | 2,000 | +0 | Yes | -$120 | 01-25 14:08 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | 28 | $1.4K | 5,500 | 0 | +5,500 | open | — | 05-24 20:52 |
| will carter bryant win the 2026 nba dunk contest | 1 | $1.2K | 3,092 | 0 | +3,092 | No | -$1,200 | 02-14 23:28 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | 3 | $1.2K | 1,000 | 1,000 | +0 | Yes | +$220 | 01-25 09:14 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 4 | $1.1K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | No | -$1,120 | 05-27 15:01 |
| Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? | 12 | $987 | 988 | 1,000 | -12 | Yes | -$147 | 02-07 15:54 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 7 | $981 | 3,700 | 0 | +3,700 | No | -$981 | 05-30 02:14 |
| si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453 | 3 | $965 | 1,000 | 1,000 | +0 | Yes | +$305 | 01-20 11:13 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | 43 | $910 | 3,729 | 2,797 | +932 | No | -$574 | 06-14 00:00 |
| epl not ars 2026 01 17 ars | 1 | $882 | 1,400 | 0 | +1,400 | No | -$882 | 01-17 15:01 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | 2 | $870 | 0 | 1,500 | -1,500 | open | — | 06-13 22:12 |
| Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals | 2 | $827 | 600 | 600 | +0 | Delhi Capitals | +$371 | 04-18 14:36 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | 2 | $787 | 0 | 1,500 | -1,500 | open | — | 05-19 13:31 |
| Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | 23 | $739 | 2,000 | 900 | +1,100 | No | +$163 | 04-22 23:21 |
| googl above 340 on january 30 2026 | 5 | $730 | 2,000 | 1,000 | +1,000 | No | -$230 | 01-30 18:55 |
| nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | 1 | $690 | 1,500 | 0 | +1,500 | Knicks | -$690 | 06-10 19:11 |
| will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026 | 3 | $675 | 1,500 | 500 | +1,000 | Yes | +$535 | 01-29 12:29 |
| will the charlotte hornets make the nba playoffs 311 | 9 | $662 | 1,034 | 1,034 | +0 | No | +$372 | 02-12 05:51 |
| will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on january 20 | 9 | $610 | 2,500 | 500 | +2,000 | No | -$290 | 01-19 01:12 |
| ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31 | 1 | $590 | 1,000 | 0 | +1,000 | Volkanovski | +$410 | 01-31 16:55 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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