Juicy-Panic — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$883

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.1%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

2,370 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$1.30K

$7.73K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-26 22:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 159 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 36% -$394

Politics

15% 0% -$854

Other

1% 22% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 217 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	12	$1.2K	5,663	4,070	+1,592	No	-$854	10-25 23:50
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	11	$221	857	857	+0	open	—	06-16 05:12
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	6	$58	86	86	+0	open	—	06-16 00:17
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	3	$50	42	42	+0	open	—	07-01 16:29
will axiom be accused of insider trading	4	$45	42	27	+15	Yes	-$9	02-26 12:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 15:15 UTC	5	$44	26	26	+0	Up	+$4	08-12 15:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 14:20 UTC	3	$44	24	24	+0	Down	+$4	08-12 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	3	$39	59	59	+0	Up	+$35	05-08 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 20:35 UTC	3	$38	32	32	+0	Down	+$26	03-03 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	5	$36	34	34	+0	Up	+$28	06-03 15:50
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 02:05 UTC	4	$35	114	106	+8	Down	+$37	04-14 02:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:00 UTC	2	$35	21	20	+0	Down	+$5	03-08 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 02:55 UTC	4	$33	18	18	+0	Up	+$3	08-09 02:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 19:10 UTC	3	$32	17	17	+0	Down	+$2	08-12 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 15:45 UTC	3	$31	132	10	+122	Up	+$17	08-08 15:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 11:35 UTC	2	$31	17	17	+0	Down	+$1	03-05 11:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 22:45 UTC	2	$31	23	23	+0	Up	+$11	07-24 22:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 16:00 UTC	5	$29	28	28	+0	Down	+$19	03-22 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:10 UTC	2	$28	20	19	+0	Down	+$8	03-08 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:10 UTC	3	$27	21	12	+9	Up	-$3	08-12 16:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 16:50 UTC	6	$26	24	24	+0	Down	+$4	06-27 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 04:50 UTC	3	$25	20	12	+9	Down	-$3	03-09 04:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 15:55 UTC	3	$25	88	0	+88	Down	-$25	08-08 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 17:50 UTC	3	$25	24	23	+0	Down	+$5	03-08 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	6	$24	43	43	+0	Down	+$16	09-19 01:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:15 UTC	2	$24	16	16	+0	Down	+$4	03-08 18:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 00:00 UTC	2	$24	17	17	+0	Up	+$4	03-05 00:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 13:05 UTC	2	$24	54	54	+0	Down	+$14	03-02 13:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 11:30 UTC	7	$24	47	44	+3	Up	+$16	09-16 11:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:05 UTC	4	$24	14	14	+0	Down	+$4	08-12 16:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xbdd9e0…
10-26 22:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0xdbfa3e…
10-26 22:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x776775…
10-26 21:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x249ae9…
10-26 13:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x9999e8…
10-26 13:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x926716…
10-26 13:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x80171a…
10-26 13:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x201357…
10-25 23:50:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	312	2¢	$5	0x923959…
10-25 23:48:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	158	2¢	$3	0xfa91c4…
10-25 23:46:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3,366	2¢	$71	0x1c51dc…
10-25 23:26:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	163	6¢	$10	0x9b98da…
10-25 23:10:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	217	14¢	$29	0xda7897…
10-25 23:09:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	289	13¢	$37	0xd168b0…
10-25 23:02:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5,059	19¢	$966	0x10fa06…
10-25 22:55:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0xde1ce4…
10-25 22:36:18	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	36	35¢	$12	0xb4c286…
10-25 22:23:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe25401…
10-25 22:19:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x7ef21c…
10-25 22:18:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x1f2bf0…
10-19 22:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xa38887…
10-19 20:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x65eee6…
10-19 20:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x17cdbc…
10-19 12:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xefa9ac…
10-19 12:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xd9260f…
10-19 12:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x813eaa…
10-19 12:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x31519d…
10-19 12:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x184120…
10-19 12:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7cc9d5…
10-19 12:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x992927…
10-19 12:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x0e61d6…
10-19 12:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	29	19¢	$5	0x53d770…
10-19 12:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9b6245…
10-19 12:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5660b1…
10-19 12:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	19	7¢	$1	0x52b77d…
10-19 12:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x164df5…
10-19 04:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xef2e10…
10-19 03:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4e48d7…
10-16 01:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xdec366…
10-16 01:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x9e5a58…
10-15 23:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd16035…
10-14 04:25:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x64d177…
10-14 04:21:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1c3d40…
10-14 04:20:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x389134…
10-14 04:17:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xff8c5b…
10-14 04:16:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x68cb0b…
10-13 16:00:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x344d76…
10-13 15:58:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:55 UTC	Down	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0xfff783…
10-13 15:58:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x4cb5d7…
10-13 13:58:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x110961…
10-13 02:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x88e0ef…
10-12 15:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa147ac…
10-11 02:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xa3dc18…
10-11 02:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9fef59…
10-11 02:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0x5ae681…
10-11 02:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x512468…
10-11 00:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x20948d…
10-10 01:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x58c358…
10-10 01:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xdbd4bf…
10-09 21:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x02b9a3…
10-09 21:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xde89a4…
10-09 21:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x969ae0…
10-09 18:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x6989fc…
10-09 04:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x2b2fb9…
10-09 04:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd5376d…
10-07 01:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x62120c…
10-07 01:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	19	10¢	$2	0xd6836b…
10-07 01:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xc39e91…
10-06 21:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xcf94f6…
10-05 23:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xd0bafe…
10-05 23:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0xa39231…
10-05 23:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xcb8e24…
10-04 03:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x717552…
10-04 03:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x39e267…
10-04 03:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x10c575…
10-03 00:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	17	16¢	$3	0x3f5d4c…
10-03 00:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xcdb06c…
10-03 00:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x0551c2…
09-29 20:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xb20474…
09-29 20:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x0a2628…
09-29 20:46:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xbd2cb1…
09-29 20:42:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x14858e…
09-29 20:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc42dc9…
09-29 20:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x41fe3e…
09-29 17:23:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:20 UTC	Up	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x503fd0…
09-29 17:22:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4d93b0…
09-29 14:22:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8455c5…
09-28 21:13:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa7088d…
09-28 21:07:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x117ceb…
09-28 21:03:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	329	0¢	$1	0x41e5ff…
09-28 21:02:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xeeb4d2…
09-28 20:57:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x8eb647…
09-28 20:55:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x603162…
09-28 20:50:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xc37951…
09-28 18:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x04e357…
09-28 18:12:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x72fdef…
09-28 15:57:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x897977…
09-28 15:53:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x61468e…
09-28 03:17:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 03:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x158bb8…
09-28 03:16:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 03:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x918fff…