True-Bone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$134

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

43.4%

Resolved

379

Trades

2,243

lifetime

Volume

$11.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 10-31 06:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 38% +$84

Other

45% 36% -$227

Politics

1% 67% +$4

Sports

0% 50% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 198 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	72¢	$0	$0	06-07 08:49
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	12¢	$0	$0	06-07 01:52
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	12¢	$0	$0	06-07 06:28
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Yes	+0	$2	22¢	$0	-$2	10-22 09:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xauusd up or down on september 16 2026	43	$627	779	660	+120	Down	+$148	09-16 18:33
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026?	116	$564	621	621	+0	Yes	-$97	09-16 13:14
xagusd up or down on september 16 2026	31	$322	315	315	+0	Down	-$15	09-15 21:52
will bitcoin dip to 82pt5k in september 2026	64	$310	320	320	+0	No	-$5	09-30 13:31
bitcoin above 76k on september 15 2026	7	$284	630	630	+0	Yes	+$210	09-15 14:35
will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	49	$260	296	296	+0	No	-$11	09-30 15:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 17?	27	$220	921	158	+763	Yes	-$81	09-17 14:12
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	26	$218	118	118	+0	No	-$1	09-26 23:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	28	$180	229	219	+10	No	+$69	10-02 15:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?	11	$167	178	178	+0	No	+$101	10-08 15:51
will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	35	$164	270	270	+0	No	+$5	09-30 14:18
will bitcoin dip to 81k on september 28 2026	27	$154	460	460	+0	No	-$1	09-28 15:18
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?	21	$154	246	246	+0	No	+$19	09-29 14:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on September 23?	8	$141	433	433	+0	Yes	+$77	09-23 15:02
will wti reach 105 in september 2026 from september 16	38	$130	1,160	911	+250	No	-$22	09-28 14:42
dota2 lgd xtreme 2026 09 29 game2	16	$130	93	93	+0	Xtreme Gaming	+$55	09-29 15:54
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.21% in September?	18	$129	625	625	+0	No	-$39	09-20 16:41
will xagusd dip to 65 by september 14 2026	3	$118	82	82	+0	No	+$0	09-17 19:55
will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 23	21	$117	144	102	+42	Yes	+$22	09-28 16:35
will bitcoin dip to 82k september 21 27 2026	13	$111	82	82	+0	No	-$7	09-27 22:30
will ethereum reach 2900 in september 2026	16	$106	139	139	+0	No	-$6	09-30 17:24
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner	14	$105	65	65	+0	Team Liquid	+$25	09-27 21:06
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in September?	26	$100	547	547	+0	No	$0	09-29 20:45
cs2 is btf 2026 09 26	14	$97	98	98	+0	Iberian Soul	-$19	09-26 15:25
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	13	$90	83	83	+0	open	—	10-26 05:14
will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	20	$86	311	311	+0	No	+$5	09-29 11:04
will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	10	$81	73	73	+0	No	+$2	09-29 15:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	13	$81	98	98	+0	No	-$7	09-30 13:30
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner	7	$80	61	61	+0	Shopify Rebellion	+$41	09-25 22:05
will ethereum dip to 2600 september 21 27 2026	66	$80	672	671	+0	No	-$4	09-26 05:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 06:25:46	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xbf1590…
10-31 06:19:34	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x2c6179…
10-31 01:34:46	Will Zcash dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x93ea65…
10-30 13:14:01	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4218cc…
10-30 13:14:00	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xeb127c…
10-29 17:48:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0xb32542…
10-29 17:47:22	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0xb69456…
10-29 17:44:59	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $51 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	38¢	$3	0x80fa51…
10-29 17:44:40	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	39¢	$4	0x12a902…
10-29 17:44:38	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	39¢	$4	0xffb873…
10-29 17:36:23	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0xf2c6dc…
10-28 18:05:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	35	15¢	$5	0x389d89…
10-28 18:05:11	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$1	0xd9b936…
10-28 17:51:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf803b0…
10-28 17:51:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x82ccf6…
10-28 17:49:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xca528e…
10-28 17:49:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x97e867…
10-28 17:49:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe11540…
10-28 17:49:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4c7811…
10-28 17:48:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0x3e90ec…
10-28 17:38:23	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	48	22¢	$10	0xe6e433…
10-28 17:37:44	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa468cb…
10-28 17:37:01	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	63	22¢	$14	0x3c4d6f…
10-28 07:42:34	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x9345f8…
10-28 07:42:34	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x17e2b9…
10-28 07:42:32	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x80a01f…
10-28 01:41:30	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	42	22¢	$9	0xb7e542…
10-28 01:41:30	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xb3edf3…
10-28 01:41:27	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	24¢	$2	0x890f63…
10-28 01:41:27	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	24¢	$2	0x0e7038…
10-27 01:02:48	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1d656d…
10-26 23:25:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7db8b9…
10-26 23:25:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0x1bda51…
10-26 23:25:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x37d615…
10-26 23:22:45	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	43	3¢	$1	0xee0aeb…
10-26 23:22:29	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x49de32…
10-26 23:22:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	32	11¢	$4	0x0a7197…
10-26 14:47:03	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x08a133…
10-26 14:47:00	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0xa8ab92…
10-26 14:47:00	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x8ce7c9…
10-26 14:47:00	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x387977…
10-26 14:47:00	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0x2d1de5…
10-26 14:46:59	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xc19a00…
10-26 14:46:59	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x64512a…
10-26 14:37:54	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0xc8e6a5…
10-26 05:36:21	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $51 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xfbb569…
10-26 05:27:18	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $51 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xe074bd…
10-26 05:14:41	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	SELL	18	66¢	$12	0x1e0ab5…
10-26 05:14:41	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	SELL	16	65¢	$10	0x06f489…
10-26 05:14:39	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0xc9ba22…
10-26 05:14:39	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	SELL	13	66¢	$8	0x9ca5fb…
10-26 05:06:26	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $51 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x9a493e…
10-25 23:20:18	Will Cap reach $0.15 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x097cc8…
10-25 20:14:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x13a991…
10-25 20:04:02	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc792f0…
10-25 20:04:02	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6146f3…
10-25 20:04:00	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	28	8¢	$2	0x9256dc…
10-25 20:04:00	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x23438b…
10-25 20:03:59	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x792e01…
10-25 20:03:59	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x716fc1…
10-25 20:02:35	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa79de2…
10-25 20:01:53	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x479611…
10-25 20:01:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	52	9¢	$5	0x129564…
10-25 19:59:27	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe25ee7…
10-25 19:57:24	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x72317f…
10-25 11:38:20	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x065bc9…
10-25 10:38:11	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x37cbfa…
10-24 15:37:47	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1b3f19…
10-24 14:24:36	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $56 in October?	Yes	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0x6b8124…
10-24 14:23:23	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x075bb1…
10-24 12:49:21	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x0718ea…
10-24 01:40:35	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x96bc5f…
10-24 01:38:14	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe669f6…
10-24 01:21:42	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x3679a9…
10-24 01:20:00	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xca86f9…
10-24 00:24:30	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x8d25a6…
10-23 23:46:29	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xdf525f…
10-23 22:00:38	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xf91b5b…
10-23 19:56:33	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd2cea2…
10-23 17:55:18	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xa9c952…
10-23 11:03:05	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	45¢	$7	0x003266…
10-22 21:29:15	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0x8d337c…
10-22 21:29:00	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xf3653e…
10-22 21:07:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x4df493…
10-22 18:55:45	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x081924…
10-22 17:56:29	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x704b52…
10-22 17:56:29	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x6cdc59…
10-22 17:04:36	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xc4dc4e…
10-22 14:10:30	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x87b4c2…
10-22 13:00:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 22?	No	SELL	30	71¢	$21	0xe840d4…
10-22 11:38:45	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0xf0bd80…
10-22 11:11:42	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0xd13da5…
10-22 09:18:24	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	36	35¢	$13	0xf68f89…
10-22 09:18:24	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0xd8ff7d…
10-22 08:03:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 22?	No	SELL	25	45¢	$11	0x752f33…
10-22 04:18:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	49	31¢	$15	0x5dde99…
10-22 04:06:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x3f65cf…
10-21 21:01:57	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0xabd406…
10-21 15:46:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 21?	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x00cc35…
10-21 13:47:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 21?	No	SELL	16	39¢	$6	0xbd5196…