Relieved-Selection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.2%

Resolved

Trades

165

lifetime

Volume

$6.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 06-08 07:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

66% 42% -$6

Other

31% 58% -$41

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-08).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	29	$1.2K	1,152	1,152	+0	No	$0	05-13 07:29
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	15	$487	585	585	+0	No	+$1	05-10 20:32
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	7	$471	244	244	+0	No	$0	05-15 05:41
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	10	$471	278	278	+0	No	+$0	05-11 13:07
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	10	$450	242	242	+0	open	—	05-14 00:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	5	$343	178	178	+0	No	+$1	05-10 09:37
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	5	$310	158	158	+0	No	-$1	05-07 13:49
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	5	$189	375	375	+0	No	+$0	04-29 20:03
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	3	$176	92	92	+0	Yes	+$1	04-21 05:25
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$176	90	90	+0	No	+$0	04-22 16:27
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	5	$175	261	261	+0	No	-$1	04-30 22:00
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	4	$172	87	87	+0	No	+$1	04-28 02:20
Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	2	$170	86	86	+0	No	+$0	04-25 04:22
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$170	89	89	+0	No	+$1	04-26 15:57
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$167	93	93	+0	No	+$1	04-25 16:53
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	3	$162	85	85	+0	No	+$0	04-24 04:59
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$162	83	83	+0	No	+$1	04-22 22:36
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$161	82	82	+0	Yes	+$0	04-22 08:05
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$161	86	86	+0	No	+$0	04-21 19:35
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	2	$160	83	83	+0	Yes	-$1	04-21 10:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$156	81	81	+0	No	+$0	05-05 09:59
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	3	$156	80	80	+0	No	+$0	04-27 05:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	3	$156	81	81	+0	No	+$0	05-04 21:57
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	3	$80	84	0	+84	Yes	+$4	05-19 22:38
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	1	$77	79	0	+79	No	+$2	04-26 01:44
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	2	$48	51	0	+51	Yes	-$48	05-25 15:46
Will "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the top global Netflix show this week?	1	$26	27	0	+27	No	+$1	05-18 01:23
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 22?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	05-21 03:44
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$16	95	95	+0	No	-$5	04-24 15:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	5	$13	341	341	+0	No	+$0	05-14 16:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 07:52:18	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xc9834e…
05-25 15:46:50	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xcb25d8…
05-25 13:29:15	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	26	94¢	$25	0xc49777…
05-21 03:44:57	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 22?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xd2db0a…
05-19 22:38:24	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x0a7749…
05-19 01:06:13	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	17	95¢	$17	0x1825ee…
05-19 01:05:44	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0xb50813…
05-18 06:41:41	Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	Yes	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0x794914…
05-18 06:41:41	Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x565db1…
05-18 06:41:41	Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x1f30e8…
05-18 01:23:02	Will "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0xf7c77c…
05-15 05:41:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	81	97¢	$78	0x6d9638…
05-15 03:54:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	81	97¢	$78	0x6be331…
05-14 23:20:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x87a94e…
05-14 23:20:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0xda31f1…
05-14 22:09:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	82	96¢	$79	0x5dc234…
05-14 16:29:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	170	2¢	$3	0xd38a48…
05-14 13:26:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$1	0x6e7258…
05-14 13:26:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	2¢	$3	0x1922e9…
05-14 00:22:01	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	34	93¢	$32	0x9a3110…
05-14 00:22:01	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	93¢	$48	0x56692d…
05-13 22:32:43	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	85	94¢	$80	0x6138e3…
05-13 22:25:31	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	62	93¢	$58	0x133f05…
05-13 19:44:59	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	59	93¢	$55	0x1a7e6a…
05-13 19:44:57	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x4c6b05…
05-13 15:23:20	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xe8a89a…
05-13 15:22:36	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xd7c18c…
05-13 14:28:11	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	85	92¢	$79	0x24f37f…
05-13 11:16:10	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	85	92¢	$79	0x4b96a1…
05-13 10:58:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	171	2¢	$3	0x3f611f…
05-13 09:50:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	2¢	$3	0x559fad…
05-13 07:29:21	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	88	98¢	$86	0xd1999c…
05-13 07:27:44	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	88	98¢	$86	0xa42310…
05-13 06:05:05	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	80	98¢	$79	0xd18a1f…
05-13 04:25:53	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	80	98¢	$79	0xee792c…
05-13 04:19:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	81	97¢	$79	0x25e4ed…
05-13 00:48:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	81	97¢	$78	0xbffb9b…
05-11 13:07:19	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0xcba8dd…
05-11 13:07:19	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	57	94¢	$53	0x2e5583…
05-11 08:03:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	84	94¢	$79	0xaeb40d…
05-11 03:04:32	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0xe20b03…
05-11 00:07:38	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	29	6¢	$2	0x52d529…
05-10 20:32:08	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0xde0f24…
05-10 20:32:08	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0x2dad66…
05-10 17:40:41	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xcaed81…
05-10 17:40:39	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0x415b8a…
05-10 15:09:36	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	81	96¢	$78	0x8c866f…
05-10 10:40:08	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	81	96¢	$78	0xee0fea…
05-10 09:37:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	89	97¢	$86	0x130fa0…
05-10 07:30:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	89	96¢	$86	0x5eb347…
05-09 22:13:31	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	173	1¢	$2	0x4ad764…
05-09 19:50:42	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	173	2¢	$3	0x9d5cb9…
05-09 16:36:11	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	2¢	$1	0x8fb554…
05-09 16:36:11	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	2¢	$2	0x498288…
05-09 13:35:21	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xd78dba…
05-09 13:35:21	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	2¢	$1	0x9f816a…
05-09 13:35:21	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	2¢	$1	0x44f6ef…
05-09 11:23:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0xf54c1f…
05-09 11:23:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	73	96¢	$70	0x3d7f01…
05-09 09:13:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	89	96¢	$86	0x7f08a0…
05-09 03:18:07	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	87	98¢	$85	0x66c85d…
05-09 01:49:20	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	87	98¢	$85	0x04a71d…
05-08 11:03:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	257	2¢	$5	0x5af044…
05-08 08:08:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	257	2¢	$5	0x061b22…
05-08 02:58:31	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	29	92¢	$27	0x2bb2ca…
05-08 02:57:44	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	55	92¢	$51	0xa5eea6…
05-08 01:48:14	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	84	92¢	$78	0x14fe4d…
05-07 20:24:15	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	79	98¢	$78	0x95ccd4…
05-07 18:04:46	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	79	98¢	$77	0x3eb069…
05-07 13:49:44	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0xd1d1dd…
05-07 13:49:44	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$50	0x240834…
05-07 11:02:17	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	79	98¢	$78	0x4bd2fe…
05-07 08:06:53	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	79	98¢	$78	0x8292f8…
05-07 03:19:27	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	79	98¢	$78	0x65564f…
05-06 23:44:08	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	79	98¢	$78	0x5b4ccd…
05-06 20:02:39	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	79	98¢	$78	0x02a9eb…
05-06 13:58:56	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	194	1¢	$2	0xe99008…
05-06 12:56:06	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xefa465…
05-06 12:56:06	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	119	1¢	$1	0xeb9a79…
05-06 12:56:06	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0xe1ec79…
05-06 12:56:06	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xcd77bb…
05-05 21:03:06	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	174	2¢	$3	0xd21586…
05-05 19:50:18	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	2¢	$2	0xfb5624…
05-05 19:50:18	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xa582d0…
05-05 09:59:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	81	96¢	$78	0xb00c5a…
05-05 07:10:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	81	96¢	$78	0x4a7bfd…
05-05 06:24:30	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0xf1ac98…
05-05 06:24:30	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4a011a…
05-04 23:56:16	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	79	98¢	$77	0x69c965…
05-04 21:57:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0x1a7cef…
05-04 21:57:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0x35aaea…
05-04 17:46:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	81	96¢	$78	0x2dfbf2…
05-03 21:56:16	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	87	98¢	$85	0xed52ab…
05-03 19:49:30	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	87	98¢	$85	0x16c76b…
05-02 20:25:30	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	87	98¢	$85	0xbb982d…
05-02 20:24:32	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	87	98¢	$85	0x50a953…
05-02 09:23:44	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	173	4¢	$7	0xfaa4bd…
05-02 07:30:56	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0xbb3b10…
05-02 07:30:56	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	4¢	$3	0x98867a…
05-02 07:30:56	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	4¢	$2	0x8dcd9f…