Realized P&L
+$1.20K
Unrealized P&L
-$22
Hit rate
56.4%
Resolved
2,625
Trades
26,115
lifetime
Volume
$37.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$9
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 16:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 103 days
Categories
Other
42% 30% -$262
Politics
32% 39% +$1,462
Sports
13% 34% +$202
Crypto
13% 30% -$206
Tech
0% 47% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +904 $4 0¢ $3 $0 10-23 21:52
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +533 $6 0¢ $2 -$3 10-23 21:52
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes -3 $2 88¢ $-2 -$4 08-17 13:46
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +3 $1 17¢ $1 -$1 10-25 17:52
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? Yes -3 $0 8¢ $-0 $0 08-11 08:13
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +16 $4 1¢ $0 -$4 10-26 15:14
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -2 -$1 6¢ $-0 +$1 09-05 21:53
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1 $0 13¢ $0 +$0 08-22 14:49
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +4 -$1 2¢ $0 +$1 09-14 18:44
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -2 $0 4¢ $-0 -$1 09-04 10:49
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$1 08-20 03:52
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$1 09-27 22:36
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 09-10 14:30
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 10-19 22:12
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +0 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 10-05 16:20
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -0 $0 3¢ $-0 $0 08-23 16:54
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -0 $4 2¢ $-0 -$4 10-04 09:40
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-26 21:06
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -0 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 10-01 23:18
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -0 $3 1¢ $-0 -$3 10-27 03:10
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -0 $2 0¢ $-0 -$2 09-11 00:24
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -0 -$2 0¢ $-0 +$2 10-08 20:40
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-14 18:08