Innocent-Ambulance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$59

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 06-13 18:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

33% 0% $-1

Politics

32% 100% +$1

Other

23% — —

Crypto

10% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US recession by end of 2026?	Yes		-16	$-3	11¢	$-2	+$1	06-13 18:29
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?	Yes		+9	$1	8¢	$1	$-0	06-09 21:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	1	$9	0	34	-34	open	—	05-28 12:59
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	05-14 08:14
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$4	7	7	+0	open	—	05-14 08:14
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 08:14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	05-22 19:20
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$3	20	20	+0	open	—	04-15 20:40
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-13 01:43
US recession by end of 2026?	1	$3	0	16	-16	open	—	06-13 18:29
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	10	10	+0	open	—	05-18 18:55
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	04-15 20:47
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-13 01:51
spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	2	$2	1,014	0	+1,014	open	—	04-21 13:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	06-09 21:19
fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	06-11 17:48
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	01-18 11:04
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	40	0	+40	open	—	04-13 01:39
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	04-13 01:42
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	04-13 01:39
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$1	83	0	+83	open	—	04-24 18:00
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	17	0	+17	open	—	04-13 01:42
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$1	9	0	+9	open	—	04-13 01:50
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$1	9	0	+9	open	—	04-13 01:50
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$1	9	0	+9	No	$-1	04-16 18:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	01-18 11:08
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?	1	$1	9	0	+9	open	—	06-09 21:26
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	04-24 18:00
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$0	0	6	-6	open	—	01-18 11:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 18:29:25	US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	17¢	$3	0x344f1b…
06-11 17:48:28	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0xfe6bd7…
06-09 21:26:55	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x17b4c5…
06-09 21:19:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x8bfc9f…
05-28 12:59:06	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	34	25¢	$9	0x66063f…
05-22 19:20:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x016f23…
05-18 18:55:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x9c7c6b…
05-16 11:55:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4ab8af…
05-16 11:54:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x317036…
05-14 08:14:55	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x1fb63c…
05-14 08:14:46	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0xaae289…
05-14 08:14:36	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x915197…
05-13 16:42:47	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfa9f8e…
05-13 16:42:24	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x74cdde…
05-13 16:42:10	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6cb120…
04-24 18:00:56	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xbcc7cd…
04-24 18:00:44	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x3d4f8d…
04-21 13:30:50	spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x12df10…
04-21 13:11:06	spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x97ce57…
04-16 18:47:30	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x68cbf3…
04-15 20:47:34	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x82b5b1…
04-15 20:40:12	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x94491b…
04-13 01:53:09	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfc8b32…
04-13 01:52:55	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdda0cc…
04-13 01:51:23	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x443dea…
04-13 01:50:49	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa82677…
04-13 01:50:33	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x108552…
04-13 01:43:31	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x0131b5…
04-13 01:42:19	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb9208b…
04-13 01:42:07	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3e8a9f…
04-13 01:39:57	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x61b7c2…
04-13 01:39:35	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xcdb808…
01-18 11:08:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0a2a0d…
01-18 11:04:40	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7e0cd3…
01-18 11:01:52	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x262bbd…