Capital-Poem — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

83.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$275

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 21:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 69% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up		+5	$3	4¢	$0	$-3	05-05 21:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	3	$26	30	+30	Down	+$3	05-04 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	3	$20	23	+23	open	—	05-05 15:29
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$16	17	+17	open	—	05-05 17:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$16	19	+19	Up	+$3	05-05 01:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$13	16	+16	Down	+$3	05-04 22:34
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	3	$12	22	+22	open	—	05-05 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	1	$10	12	+12	open	—	05-05 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$9	10	+10	open	—	05-05 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$8	10	+10	Up	+$2	05-04 20:49
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$8	10	+10	open	—	05-05 11:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$8	10	+10	Down	+$2	05-04 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	1	$8	10	+10	Down	$-8	05-05 04:40
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$8	10	+10	open	—	05-05 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	1	$7	10	+10	Down	+$3	05-05 05:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	1	$7	9	+9	Down	$-7	05-05 04:40
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	05-05 19:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$7	15	+15	open	—	05-05 20:29
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	05-05 18:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-05 09:56
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$4	10	+10	open	—	05-05 20:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	1	$4	10	+10	open	—	05-05 11:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-05 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$4	4	+4	Down	+$0	05-04 20:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-05 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$4	10	+10	open	—	05-05 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$4	11	+11	open	—	05-05 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	1	$3	10	+10	open	—	05-05 07:10
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	05-05 09:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 21:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x4e253e…
05-05 20:55:10	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xedc213…
05-05 20:44:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xedd573…
05-05 20:29:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd8b087…
05-05 20:19:50	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x6cdc62…
05-05 20:19:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xd748d9…
05-05 20:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x046429…
05-05 20:08:38	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x2f24f6…
05-05 19:43:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xb523ae…
05-05 19:41:22	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x2e247a…
05-05 19:13:10	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xb01cd0…
05-05 19:13:02	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xb76286…
05-05 19:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xd37b3c…
05-05 19:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xe55d09…
05-05 19:04:50	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xebb859…
05-05 18:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x02e040…
05-05 18:43:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc9ca90…
05-05 18:04:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x9e99f6…
05-05 17:59:54	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x8f47f8…
05-05 17:14:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x552016…
05-05 17:14:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x4e104c…
05-05 17:04:42	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x633b62…
05-05 15:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x7f3dde…
05-05 15:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xd688ed…
05-05 15:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x7a63c3…
05-05 14:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x077371…
05-05 12:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xae506d…
05-05 11:16:54	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x490201…
05-05 11:16:48	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xb4bfb3…
05-05 11:06:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x1cec92…
05-05 09:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$5	0x091869…
05-05 09:40:22	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x7907ba…
05-05 09:21:04	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x2344a8…
05-05 09:01:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x8929ea…
05-05 07:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x2a481a…
05-05 07:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x5e1454…
05-05 07:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x5ab79d…
05-05 06:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x527aca…
05-05 06:40:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x752a26…
05-05 05:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x9ac374…
05-05 04:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x7f7acb…
05-05 04:40:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x203853…
05-05 01:59:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0xbb0cbb…
05-05 01:59:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x59bbba…
05-05 00:20:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x58b3dc…
05-05 00:09:52	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x78d7ce…
05-04 23:04:20	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xdf1079…
05-04 22:34:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe32961…
05-04 22:34:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x387245…
05-04 22:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x4e89d5…
05-04 21:59:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x2b4580…
05-04 21:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x096145…
05-04 21:59:48	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x4b9d0b…
05-04 21:59:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$7	0x9b58ee…
05-04 20:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xdfb2fd…
05-04 20:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x966178…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	31	$3.33K	161	05-05 20:45
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	29	$854	107	05-05 21:10
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	29	$595	115	05-05 21:10
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	27	$3.90K	249	05-05 21:09
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	26	$2.64K	110	05-05 20:24
Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705	19	$689	136	05-05 20:50
Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68	13	$1.34K	96	05-05 19:08
Youthful-Movement 0x8da4…f3d1	13	$527	62	05-05 21:14