Realized P&L
-$121.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.69K
Hit rate
58.7%
Resolved
70
Trades
1,764
lifetime
Volume
$1.81M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.03K
Open exposure
$2.29K
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-28
last 07-19 17:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Politics
50%
36%
-$146,077
Other
22%
36%
-$27,763
Crypto
15%
55%
+$45,898
Sports
14%
67%
+$6,562
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | +2,446 | $1,223 | 66¢ | $1.6K | +$404 | 04-29 04:37 | |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | No | +200 | $178 | 97¢ | $195 | +$17 | 05-01 00:06 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | +200 | $186 | 85¢ | $171 | -$15 | 04-28 12:30 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | +3,045 | $3,558 | 4¢ | $123 | -$3,435 | 07-19 17:40 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | +2,452 | $392 | 4¢ | $99 | -$293 | 04-29 06:38 | |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | +3,990 | $100 | 2¢ | $72 | -$28 | 04-29 07:19 | |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +200 | $16 | 3¢ | $5 | -$11 | 04-28 12:30 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | +0 | -$516 | 82¢ | $0 | +$516 | 05-20 14:18 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | +0 | -$5,538 | 18¢ | $0 | +$5,538 | 05-24 12:39 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | 81 | $256.2K | 182,744 | 179,036 | +3,709 | No | +$15,876 | 05-07 20:09 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 299 | $197.5K | 289,780 | 289,780 | +0 | open | — | 05-24 12:39 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2 | $197.0K | 100,000 | 100,000 | +0 | No | +$0 | 04-28 14:26 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 172 | $163.1K | 347,136 | 205,954 | +141,182 | No | +$38,266 | 06-01 15:17 |
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 5 | $149.6K | 150,000 | 0 | +150,000 | No | +$400 | 04-30 23:51 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 2 | $134.7K | 70,000 | 70,000 | +0 | No | +$0 | 04-28 12:58 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | 8 | $89.0K | 226,624 | 0 | +226,624 | No | -$89,018 | 05-24 05:16 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | 38 | $77.8K | 50,226 | 50,226 | +0 | No | +$7,624 | 05-05 23:44 |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | 18 | $67.0K | 36,836 | 33,806 | +3,030 | Yes | +$1,771 | 04-29 01:43 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 74 | $64.8K | 273,056 | 10,074 | +262,981 | No | -$57,900 | 05-28 06:22 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 118 | $46.2K | 142,439 | 5,000 | +137,439 | No | -$40,022 | 05-08 01:00 |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | 45 | $39.4K | 63,916 | 3,000 | +60,917 | Yes | +$26,955 | 05-30 09:34 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | 25 | $31.2K | 40,069 | 4,708 | +35,360 | Yes | +$13,436 | 04-30 04:13 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733 | 18 | $27.0K | 45,484 | 0 | +45,484 | No | +$18,516 | 05-01 00:08 |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | 3 | $25.9K | 30,000 | 131 | +29,869 | Thunder | +$4,182 | 05-06 00:55 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 118 | $23.4K | 34,067 | 6,353 | +27,714 | No | -$15,727 | 05-07 07:13 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch? | 13 | $19.5K | 10,000 | 9,969 | +31 | Yes | +$1 | 04-28 15:29 |
| Spread: Thunder (-15.5) | 42 | $17.8K | 16,907 | 16,907 | +0 | Thunder | +$195 | 05-06 01:54 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681 | 26 | $17.0K | 52,551 | 15,030 | +37,521 | Yes | -$15,798 | 05-01 10:08 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | 2 | $13.6K | 114,025 | 0 | +114,025 | No | -$13,623 | 05-10 18:53 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | 1 | $13.6K | 18,827 | 0 | +18,827 | Yes | +$5,272 | 05-31 22:05 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April? | 11 | $9.6K | 5,000 | 5,000 | +0 | No | -$4 | 04-28 13:13 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | 3 | $9.5K | 39,811 | 39,811 | +0 | No | +$100 | 04-28 13:36 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | 3 | $8.5K | 10,000 | 6,955 | +3,045 | open | — | 07-19 17:40 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | 2 | $8.5K | 11,131 | 0 | +11,131 | Yes | +$2,660 | 05-31 11:22 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | 9 | $8.4K | 112,940 | 13,303 | +99,637 | No | -$3,855 | 05-07 20:02 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 129 | $7.8K | 70,643 | 0 | +70,643 | No | -$7,771 | 05-31 12:28 |
| Chirayu Rana sued? | 4 | $7.6K | 30,621 | 0 | +30,621 | Yes | -$7,610 | 05-11 19:38 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | 1 | $7.5K | 44,242 | 0 | +44,242 | No | -$7,521 | 05-09 05:09 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | 5 | $7.5K | 4,757 | 4,757 | +0 | $80k | +$0 | 04-28 13:11 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||