Intrepid-Secretariat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$53

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

52.1%

Resolved

155

Trades

268

lifetime

Volume

$341

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-17

last 05-25 11:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

79% 44% -$32

Politics

10% 44% -$4

Crypto

6% 31% -$6

Sports

3% 20% -$7

Tech

1% 67% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-25).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?	Yes		-3	-$1	7¢	$-0	+$0	05-11 16:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump say iran or oil 13 times during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	2	$19	23	22	+1	No	-$1	04-21 06:28
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$16	8	15	-7	No	-$2	04-30 00:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	9	$11	28	28	+0	No	+$1	04-30 21:43
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$11	852	0	+852	No	-$11	04-24 04:21
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 24?	2	$10	22	22	+0	No	+$0	05-24 04:27
nba tor cle 2026 04 18	2	$6	25	0	+25	Cavaliers	-$6	04-17 17:04
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 13?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	05-13 12:33
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 26?	2	$5	131	131	+0	No	-$5	05-25 11:47
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on April 29?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	04-29 11:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?	4	$5	8	8	+0	Yes	+$1	04-30 12:19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 2?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	05-02 06:28
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	4	$4	5	4	+0	No	+$0	04-22 14:49
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 3?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	05-03 12:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 14:05 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	04-17 14:10
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 29?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	04-29 12:07
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 1?	3	$3	8	5	+3	No	-$1	04-30 17:18
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$3	4	4	+0	Yes	+$1	05-12 23:47
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on May 3?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	05-03 12:26
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 11?	2	$3	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	05-11 11:11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 1?	2	$3	6	6	+0	No	+$1	04-30 11:21
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on May 1?	2	$3	20	20	+0	No	+$1	04-30 11:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	2	$3	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	05-04 16:27
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or below on May 2?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	05-02 13:46
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 3?	2	$3	4	4	+0	Yes	+$1	05-03 12:38
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 21?	2	$3	8	8	+0	No	+$1	05-21 02:59
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$3	3	3	+0	No	+$1	04-19 14:34
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$3	16	16	+0	Yes	+$1	04-30 01:06
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 22?	2	$3	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	05-21 17:49
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on April 30?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	04-30 12:19
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$3	5	5	+0	No	+$1	04-28 21:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 11:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 26?	Yes	SELL	131	0¢	$0	0x914572…
05-24 12:18:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	131	4¢	$5	0x709183…
05-24 04:27:14	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 24?	Yes	SELL	22	25¢	$5	0x3544b9…
05-23 01:50:27	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xa093c6…
05-22 16:57:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 66°F or higher on May 22?	No	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xb400ae…
05-21 17:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 22?	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x45f5fb…
05-21 16:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 66°F or higher on May 22?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa8d588…
05-21 11:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf556ea…
05-21 11:37:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xbb6db8…
05-21 11:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf04f14…
05-21 11:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6d4d94…
05-21 11:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on May 21?	Yes	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x03a4d1…
05-21 03:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 21?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x5f9d2c…
05-21 02:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 21?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x0c68dd…
05-21 02:59:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 21?	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xe0e53f…
05-19 23:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 21?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xbcbdb8…
05-19 23:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 21?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x759e87…
05-19 23:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x369401…
05-19 23:19:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd0b7bf…
05-15 12:37:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x766e01…
05-15 12:30:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x450ac5…
05-15 03:19:29	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x75c899…
05-15 03:19:23	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x009c3c…
05-15 03:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C or below on May 16?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0f6acf…
05-15 03:09:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	52	2¢	$1	0x003d27…
05-15 02:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xa2c372…
05-14 20:56:08	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd32918…
05-14 20:48:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xf5798b…
05-14 20:47:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x678616…
05-14 20:46:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3f9a47…
05-14 18:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x4a7aa9…
05-14 12:17:26	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8ee720…
05-14 12:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x89551f…
05-14 12:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x554608…
05-14 12:13:35	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0x1d2f3b…
05-14 12:13:23	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xfac4be…
05-14 00:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x05c572…
05-13 20:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xcbecb4…
05-13 20:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x89991e…
05-13 20:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or below on May 14?	Yes	BUY	267	0¢	$1	0x16a9db…
05-13 18:59:06	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	121	1¢	$1	0xf60b3f…
05-13 18:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x6d2420…
05-13 12:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4d29ee…
05-13 12:33:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x135a49…
05-13 12:33:33	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xf41bb6…
05-13 00:28:35	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$1	0xa0e89c…
05-13 00:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa5dcc3…
05-13 00:24:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9f9479…
05-13 00:23:25	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe1bb1f…
05-13 00:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc2160d…
05-12 23:47:26	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0xd69ebd…
05-11 20:32:33	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8b07ac…
05-11 16:23:25	Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	16¢	$1	0x73716b…
05-11 11:11:34	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 11?	Yes	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x88e5c3…
05-11 00:49:35	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0xb75d73…
05-10 22:14:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or higher on May 11?	Yes	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x3a82f0…
05-10 00:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	122	1¢	$1	0x178373…
05-10 00:25:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x0ef3fa…
05-10 00:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	116	1¢	$1	0xd9aace…
05-10 00:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf88467…
05-10 00:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x3a866a…
05-09 18:44:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7280c5…
05-09 18:35:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x879b1b…
05-09 18:34:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x8c1bcf…
05-09 18:20:53	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x75beb2…
05-09 17:19:56	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 11?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9fca86…
05-09 17:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xafd1cf…
05-09 17:14:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or higher on May 11?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x06516f…
05-09 17:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3cf770…
05-07 21:33:55	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2715d9…
05-06 18:53:52	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa59481…
05-06 03:48:48	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xb9cc0a…
05-06 03:48:44	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x3cb082…
05-06 03:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x90e719…
05-06 03:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xfc8b6e…
05-05 20:33:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x01edc1…
05-05 01:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x564a08…
05-05 01:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xa2f4a0…
05-05 01:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5ad3ca…
05-05 01:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xdb6057…
05-05 01:07:56	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd281ea…
05-05 01:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xeda393…
05-04 16:27:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x5b4705…
05-03 16:16:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xfa7344…
05-03 12:38:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 3?	Yes	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x24fd28…
05-03 12:38:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on May 3?	Yes	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x783f5b…
05-03 12:26:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on May 3?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x65773f…
05-03 12:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 3?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe7fcf2…
05-03 01:34:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on May 3?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x396175…
05-03 01:33:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 4?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xa640c4…
05-03 01:33:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x135ae9…
05-02 23:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on May 3?	Yes	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0xfe60fa…
05-02 23:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C or below on May 3?	Yes	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0x2bac5b…
05-02 23:35:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4286c5…
05-02 23:35:26	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 3?	Yes	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x2f20cc…
05-02 23:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 3?	Yes	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0xf4b95c…
05-02 23:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on May 3?	Yes	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0x66c588…
05-02 21:44:28	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5f9c18…
05-02 13:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or below on May 2?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd96383…
05-02 11:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6cb52d…