Realized P&L
-$1.56K
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
88.0%
Resolved
504
Trades
1,597
lifetime
Volume
$196.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$123
Open exposure
$113
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-11 07:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 186 days
Categories
Crypto
66% 93% +$277
Politics
18% 73% -$1,797
Other
16% 87% -$50
Tech
0% 100% +$7
Sports
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 98 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +25 $24 98¢ $24 +$0 11-02 23:54
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +24 $24 98¢ $23 $0 09-27 04:27
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +16 $15 99¢ $15 +$0 10-12 04:58
will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in november 2026 No +14 $13 99¢ $13 +$1 11-10 05:26
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +12 $11 98¢ $12 +$1 10-10 14:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +12 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 10-12 04:57
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $2 90¢ $5 +$3 10-30 14:31
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 11-04 13:36
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and a Democrat win the 2028 presidential election? Yes +4 $3 61¢ $3 $0 11-04 13:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -16 -$3 6¢ $-1 +$2 10-12 15:04
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 11-05 06:49