Realized P&L
+$5.19K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.90K
Hit rate
81.7%
Resolved
45
Trades
645
lifetime
Volume
$202.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$315
Open exposure
$1.32K
3 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 06-12 19:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Politics
53%
59%
+$4,654
Other
43%
79%
+$5,767
Sports
3%
0%
-$5,340
Tech
1%
100%
+$106
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-12).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | -9,996 | -$2,799 | 8¢ | $-850 | +$1,949 | 06-07 19:32 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | -12,500 | -$1,750 | 3¢ | $-356 | +$1,394 | 06-04 16:15 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | -3,375 | -$675 | 4¢ | $-118 | +$557 | 06-07 04:45 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 37 | $23.5K | 17,500 | 8,500 | +9,000 | No | +$760 | 04-06 08:20 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 3 | $14.6K | 10,000 | 5,000 | +5,000 | No | +$395 | 05-25 03:12 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | 16 | $13.3K | 11,700 | 4,200 | +7,500 | No | +$1,806 | 04-08 11:27 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | 53 | $11.9K | 20,000 | 0 | +20,000 | Yes | +$8,050 | 03-23 11:24 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | 25 | $10.5K | 15,000 | 0 | +15,000 | Yes | +$4,450 | 04-02 11:13 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | 27 | $8.9K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | No | +$1,100 | 05-04 16:15 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 8 | $8.0K | 22,000 | 0 | +22,000 | Yes | -$8,000 | 04-02 02:14 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | 11 | $7.4K | 9,000 | 0 | +9,000 | No | +$1,595 | 04-12 12:53 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | 26 | $7.4K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | Yes | +$2,620 | 06-12 04:09 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 52 | $7.3K | 8,500 | 0 | +8,500 | No | +$1,175 | 05-06 09:21 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | 11 | $6.7K | 0 | 10,000 | -10,000 | Yes | -$3,300 | 06-04 12:10 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | 5 | $6.1K | 7,300 | 0 | +7,300 | No | +$1,168 | 05-05 22:58 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | 5 | $6.0K | 6,800 | 0 | +6,800 | No | +$787 | 05-04 13:14 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | 5 | $5.7K | 6,000 | 0 | +6,000 | No | +$270 | 06-04 20:21 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 4 | $4.3K | 40,000 | 0 | +40,000 | No | -$4,320 | 06-12 18:50 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | 10 | $3.6K | 4,500 | 0 | +4,500 | No | +$855 | 04-04 06:56 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 4 | $3.6K | 5,300 | 0 | +5,300 | No | +$1,702 | 03-18 13:27 |
| iran leadership change by march 31 | 1 | $3.4K | 4,000 | 0 | +4,000 | No | +$560 | 03-18 10:41 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | 1 | $3.0K | 3,500 | 0 | +3,500 | No | +$455 | 05-17 22:22 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | 8 | $3.0K | 3,500 | 0 | +3,500 | No | +$455 | 05-17 21:01 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May? | 18 | $3.0K | 3,200 | 0 | +3,200 | No | +$224 | 05-04 14:07 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | 14 | $2.8K | 2,500 | 2,500 | +0 | Yes | -$375 | 06-11 19:34 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | 7 | $2.8K | 2,000 | 2,000 | +0 | No | +$720 | 06-04 11:45 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | 1 | $2.8K | 0 | 9,996 | -9,996 | open | — | 06-07 19:32 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | 9 | $2.5K | 3,400 | 0 | +3,400 | No | +$884 | 04-08 04:34 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 4 | $2.3K | 2,945 | 0 | +2,945 | Yes | -$2,313 | 04-02 02:57 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 1 | $2.0K | 2,500 | 0 | +2,500 | No | +$475 | 05-04 00:42 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? | 7 | $2.0K | 2,300 | 0 | +2,300 | No | +$276 | 04-19 15:32 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 1 | $2.0K | 2,000 | 0 | +2,000 | Yes | -$1,966 | 04-03 05:10 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026? | 5 | $2.0K | 2,000 | 0 | +2,000 | No | +$38 | 04-22 03:34 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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