Realized P&L (7d)
+$7
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
38
Trades (7d)
36
702 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$181
$3.47K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$111
22 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 11-02 05:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 139 days
Categories
Other
41% 96% +$18
Politics
27% 90% -$13
Crypto
19% 95% +$9
Sports
10% 94% -$2
Tech
2% 92% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-26 05:15
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-23 05:15
Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-19 05:15
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-03 05:15
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-27 05:15
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 11-01 05:15
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-30 05:15
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 11-02 05:30
Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 11-02 05:30
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-22 05:15
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-13 05:15
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 11-02 05:30
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-31 05:15
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 $0 10-31 05:15
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $0 11-02 05:15
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 11-02 05:15
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $5 95¢ $5 $0 11-02 05:15
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 $0 11-01 05:30
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $5 97¢ $5 $0 11-01 05:30
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $0 11-01 05:15
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $5 94¢ $5 $0 11-02 05:15
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $0 10-20 05:15