Frivolous-Eyeliner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

61.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$112

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-26

last 10-30 08:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

60% 48% -$4

Politics

28% 22% -$1

Sports

11% 57% +$1

Crypto

1% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
us announces end of iranian blockade by november 30 2026	Yes		+2	$1	30¢	$1	$0	10-01 07:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$16	12	12	+0	Yes	+$6	06-15 08:37
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	07-09 18:10
Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?	3	$7	9	9	+0	Yes	+$5	07-23 13:37
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	08-24 14:43
Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	10-30 08:51
Will Bessent say "President" 30+ times during Press Briefing?	2	$4	5	0	+5	No	-$4	05-28 18:35
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	3	$4	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	06-11 20:01
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	06-15 08:37
Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the September meeting?	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	08-04 10:20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$2	5	4	+1	No	+$0	07-13 11:37
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$2	10	7	+2	No	+$0	07-13 11:37
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$2	3	3	+0	No	+$0	07-20 06:51
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	2	$2	8	8	+0	No	+$0	07-06 06:24
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	2	$2	3	3	+0	No	+$0	06-17 20:52
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$2	8	6	+2	Yes	+$2	07-13 11:37
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	06-17 20:52
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 14?	2	$2	20	10	+10	No	+$0	07-14 07:10
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	-$2	06-17 12:00
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	1	$2	10	0	+10	No	-$2	06-10 13:55
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	1	$2	6	0	+6	Yes	+$4	05-28 15:32
fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	1	$2	3	0	+3	Mexico	-$2	06-10 13:55
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	-$2	06-25 19:25
Will Bessent say "Tariff" during Press Briefing?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	-$2	05-28 18:13
Will Bessent say "Iran" 5+ times during Press Briefing?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	-$2	05-28 18:12
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$2	5	4	+1	No	$0	07-13 11:37
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 14?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	07-14 10:21
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	1	$1	7	0	+7	No	-$1	05-28 15:32
Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	2	$1	4	4	+0	open	—	07-01 20:04
Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	10-28 11:42
us announces end of iranian blockade by november 30 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	10-01 07:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 08:51:30	Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3be8d9…
10-28 11:48:34	Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x130284…
10-28 11:42:17	Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd4cffa…
10-01 07:28:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by november 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x66a9aa…
08-24 14:43:01	Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Yes	SELL	4	61¢	$3	0xfe4072…
08-21 13:43:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644 414 831	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe3e128…
08-05 06:59:48	Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xedb12a…
08-04 10:20:59	Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the September meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x232128…
07-23 13:37:03	Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb8b28c…
07-23 05:51:34	Will South African inflation be between 3.5% and 3.8% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5937b8…
07-20 06:51:49	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x2a6a7f…
07-16 20:43:17	Will South African inflation be between 3.2% and 3.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x7a8afd…
07-16 11:53:10	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x025da8…
07-14 14:10:23	Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4af95b…
07-14 10:21:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	2	22¢	$1	0x010c49…
07-14 08:03:11	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x414967…
07-14 07:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xfa0805…
07-13 17:23:53	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa487e9…
07-13 17:21:53	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1f803e…
07-13 17:16:07	Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd42248…
07-13 11:39:19	Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0xa1837a…
07-13 11:37:50	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x0b7f6a…
07-13 11:37:38	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x0675e0…
07-13 11:37:31	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	22¢	$1	0x354fa4…
07-13 11:37:20	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	39¢	$1	0x5a5706…
07-09 18:59:55	Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc44550…
07-09 18:10:46	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x401275…
07-09 18:10:35	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0xb5f8d3…
07-09 18:10:25	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x88dc22…
07-09 18:10:14	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x9767cd…
07-09 18:10:01	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x33fcd3…
07-06 06:26:20	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xf46d0e…
07-06 06:24:10	Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x79a92f…
07-01 20:15:32	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xb0aa42…
07-01 20:12:20	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x7e3296…
07-01 20:04:55	Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x49ec5a…
06-25 19:39:08	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	France	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf09428…
06-25 19:34:40	Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x3f82ad…
06-25 19:25:43	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xa96d54…
06-23 08:55:10	Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x196bce…
06-18 10:11:17	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe2bccd…
06-17 20:52:47	Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xbbefbb…
06-17 20:52:43	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x7a1da4…
06-17 20:50:10	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x185eab…
06-17 20:36:41	Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x75d64d…
06-17 13:54:43	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6ad722…
06-17 13:54:13	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf0ae7e…
06-17 13:54:01	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x12cda2…
06-17 12:00:20	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x477ae5…
06-17 11:55:41	makerfield by election restore britain receives 10 20260609002937160	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5fd12b…
06-17 10:49:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa8bcff…
06-15 08:37:42	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xd86673…
06-15 08:37:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xbb4199…
06-15 08:37:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x164e80…
06-11 20:02:33	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 btts	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe05a6d…
06-11 20:01:19	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0xdbb806…
06-11 18:06:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe2c662…
06-10 13:56:52	Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf5d154…
06-10 13:55:33	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	South Africa	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x64d325…
06-10 13:55:12	Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x55be56…
05-29 13:02:46	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x08e6f1…
05-28 18:35:38	Will Bessent say "President" 30+ times during Press Briefing?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xc811aa…
05-28 18:14:11	Will Bessent say "President" 30+ times during Press Briefing?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x29f8af…
05-28 18:13:54	Will Bessent say "Stock Market" during Press Briefing?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb785ee…
05-28 18:13:35	Will Bessent say "Tariff" during Press Briefing?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x3f18e8…
05-28 18:12:56	Will Bessent say "Iran" 5+ times during Press Briefing?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x964794…
05-28 18:02:58	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xf1beb6…
05-28 15:32:36	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb7c11b…
05-28 15:32:14	Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x836a11…
05-28 15:32:05	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0xe8b0b0…
05-28 08:40:41	Will Andy Burnham finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x39c0d7…
05-28 08:39:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x099b3a…
05-26 13:00:01	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf93598…