Lopsided-Misunderstand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.37K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.1%

Resolved

250

Trades

3,261

lifetime

Volume

$59.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 10-28 00:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Other

100% 35% +$2,492

Sports

0% 25% -$120

Crypto

0% 40% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?	96	$4.7K	3,010	3,010	+0	Yes	+$1,315	06-04 00:24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	85	$2.8K	1,779	1,779	+0	Yes	+$732	05-13 22:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?	34	$2.0K	1,446	1,446	+0	Yes	+$897	06-15 22:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1?	72	$1.6K	1,307	1,307	+0	Yes	+$897	06-01 08:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 4?	31	$1.5K	912	912	+0	Yes	+$335	06-04 23:01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?	35	$1.4K	1,089	1,089	+0	Yes	+$739	05-17 01:42
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 31?	2	$1.4K	1,322	1,322	+0	Yes	+$1,254	05-31 22:53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?	33	$1.3K	882	882	+0	Yes	+$455	06-06 01:38
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?	34	$1.3K	1,027	1,027	+0	Yes	+$761	05-15 20:03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?	31	$1.3K	915	915	+0	Yes	+$568	05-12 17:12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 8?	2	$967	683	683	+0	Yes	+$398	08-09 03:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?	68	$904	1,826	100	+1,726	No	-$904	05-17 11:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 30?	19	$852	557	557	-0	Yes	+$259	05-30 23:38
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?	53	$850	2,144	10	+2,134	No	-$841	07-17 07:27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25?	5	$806	728	368	+360	Yes	+$289	09-28 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 22?	18	$704	502	500	+3	Yes	+$232	07-22 07:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 26?	20	$669	462	462	+0	Yes	+$253	05-26 22:28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27?	15	$657	413	413	+0	Yes	+$168	09-27 15:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 5?	31	$617	474	474	+0	Yes	+$296	07-06 02:24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 1?	34	$594	645	645	+0	No	+$17	06-01 05:01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 16?	19	$588	1,385	0	+1,385	Yes	+$797	07-16 01:56
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?	82	$562	2,175	0	+2,175	No	-$562	06-24 07:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 27?	69	$546	1,737	506	+1,231	No	-$541	05-27 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 8?	53	$539	1,582	0	+1,582	No	-$539	06-08 00:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	15	$538	1,046	262	+785	Yes	+$770	07-15 02:16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 11?	10	$535	1,296	0	+1,296	Yes	+$761	08-11 05:31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 20?	18	$532	1,083	354	+729	No	-$525	08-20 07:15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?	12	$487	382	382	+0	Yes	+$276	06-21 16:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?	6	$480	312	312	+0	Yes	+$145	05-14 16:51
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?	37	$449	1,261	0	+1,261	No	-$449	06-23 06:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 00:42:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	125	19¢	$24	0x44bd0f…
10-27 23:57:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	597	12¢	$71	0x124f5d…
10-27 04:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0xa0b605…
10-27 04:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	49	44¢	$22	0x2b131d…
10-27 04:02:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	36	41¢	$14	0xef4716…
10-27 02:43:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	19	28¢	$5	0xe0acd8…
10-27 02:43:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	119	28¢	$33	0x2e3d70…
10-26 23:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe1315e…
10-26 23:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	103	43¢	$44	0xb81a15…
10-26 23:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xb9a2d6…
10-26 23:50:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	208	43¢	$88	0xa5316b…
10-26 23:49:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x6b6c5d…
10-26 23:49:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	87	38¢	$33	0x1f03f3…
10-26 23:49:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	147	36¢	$53	0xc0c397…
10-26 05:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	153	15¢	$23	0xe887d3…
10-24 05:23:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	68	13¢	$9	0xc8a3b9…
10-24 04:18:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0xcf73c9…
10-24 04:18:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	106	14¢	$15	0xd74383…
10-24 04:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	111	14¢	$15	0xa8464d…
10-24 04:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x2ca674…
10-24 04:18:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x7a4774…
10-24 04:17:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x60e8cc…
10-24 04:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0xbd1086…
10-23 06:16:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x75cf6a…
10-23 06:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	113	33¢	$38	0x477345…
10-21 14:48:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	348	20¢	$68	0x9b98b6…
10-21 02:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x365683…
10-21 02:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	110	56¢	$61	0xdf7bba…
10-20 05:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	311	10¢	$31	0x333528…
10-20 05:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	108	10¢	$11	0x1f0b9b…
10-20 05:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	120	10¢	$11	0x24abd9…
10-20 04:54:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0xf8b7c8…
10-20 04:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0x7acd4c…
10-20 04:54:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x888dfc…
10-20 04:52:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0x5cfa13…
10-20 04:52:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	89	5¢	$4	0x51dd88…
10-19 23:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x8aa3dc…
10-19 23:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	148	36¢	$53	0xb634fc…
10-19 23:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	196	100¢	$196	0x93ae35…
10-19 00:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	31	57¢	$18	0x6a44ba…
10-19 00:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0xd00f95…
10-19 00:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	157	55¢	$86	0x93b529…
10-19 00:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0xe57f05…
10-18 02:41:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	23	58¢	$13	0x97b276…
10-18 02:40:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xbb3ff8…
10-18 02:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x97f996…
10-18 02:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x32cae7…
10-18 02:37:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb27d33…
10-18 02:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x6a34a6…
10-18 02:34:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x99260d…
10-18 02:33:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xea74d8…
10-18 02:31:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	48	57¢	$28	0xd8e0e3…
10-17 06:19:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$2	0x667e0c…
10-17 06:19:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	241	2¢	$4	0x39aab6…
10-17 04:34:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	87	35¢	$30	0x05889b…
10-17 02:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0xc17fbd…
10-17 02:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x13993e…
10-17 02:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x04e1ab…
10-17 02:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xaff74f…
10-17 02:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x996ec0…
10-17 02:28:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x7413f0…
10-16 02:58:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	81	43¢	$35	0x3c1a42…
10-16 02:58:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	47	37¢	$18	0x86d59c…
10-16 02:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	46	36¢	$17	0x4205c2…
10-16 02:57:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x9303ce…
10-16 02:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	110	35¢	$38	0x957355…
10-16 02:57:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0xe3d2bb…
10-16 02:33:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0xab3526…
10-15 01:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	186	30¢	$56	0x33ecf4…
10-13 23:57:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x282caf…
10-13 23:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcbe658…
10-13 23:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	55	49¢	$27	0xf9b045…
10-13 23:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x69c8bf…
10-13 23:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	34	49¢	$17	0xf79125…
10-13 23:57:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	57	49¢	$28	0x1f562a…
10-13 23:56:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x7e7bc7…
10-13 04:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0x16632a…
10-11 23:45:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	110	59¢	$65	0xa104e4…
10-11 23:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	104	60¢	$62	0x871223…
10-11 23:37:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0xda4f0c…
10-11 00:18:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x8608e4…
10-11 00:17:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x10dd87…
10-11 00:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xc35306…
10-10 23:46:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xd2a9c5…
10-09 04:32:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	23	19¢	$4	0xd83348…
10-09 04:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	210	26¢	$55	0xa1b610…
10-09 04:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0x2bd3ff…
10-09 04:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	235	20¢	$47	0x9c1cc9…
10-09 01:29:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x7abc59…
10-06 00:25:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x85a664…
10-06 00:25:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	43	25¢	$11	0xea4460…
10-06 00:25:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	258	24¢	$63	0x68cef7…
10-06 00:25:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	228	20¢	$46	0x0de233…
10-06 00:25:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	35	17¢	$6	0xac9d19…
10-06 00:22:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	308	13¢	$42	0x595ec1…
10-04 04:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xd3da02…
10-04 04:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	80	38¢	$30	0x68186e…
10-04 04:32:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xc444bb…
10-04 04:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	28	37¢	$10	0x15d4d1…
10-04 04:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	34	34¢	$12	0x98ffdb…