Medium-Attenuation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,324

lifetime

Volume

$6.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 06-09 17:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

79% 97% +$0

Sports

17% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23 set totals 2pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-19 05:02
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-09 07:09
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-25 18:11
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-31 04:01
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-15 20:54
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$10	5	5	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-23 13:58
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
highest temperature in miami on april 7 2026 76 77f	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-07 18:41
bun wol ein 2026 04 11 spread away 1pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-11 16:09
cricpsl que mul 2026 04 05	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-05 17:12
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-29 02:15
lol gx fnc 2026 03 28 game handicap away 1pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-28 17:21
highest temperature in chengdu on april 9 2026 30c	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-09 08:59
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 25 2026 27c	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-25 05:20
mls dal min 2026 04 22 total 3pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-23 02:54
arg bar cas 2026 04 02 total 2pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-02 20:53
Counter-Strike: Omega vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner	1	$5	5	0	+5	INOX Division	+$0	05-08 12:46
nba min den 2026 04 18	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-18 22:38
cs2 am ast 2026 03 19	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-19 21:31
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 8 2026 15corhigher	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-08 11:25
cs2 k271 100t 2026 04 03 game1	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-03 13:14
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	1	$5	5	0	+5	Texas Rangers	+$0	05-10 21:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:05:39	Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaff3c9…
06-09 12:20:12	itf khayndr aydemir 2026 06 09	Defne Aydemir	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe77922…
06-08 21:36:58	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4f03bf…
06-08 12:03:37	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc7587e…
06-07 23:59:19	lol lll vks 2026 06 07 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf72992…
06-07 22:56:37	mlb nym sd 2026 06 07 nrfi	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x420ba0…
06-07 21:58:15	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdb6890…
06-07 21:09:30	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf29c9a…
06-07 19:14:04	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07 set handicap away 1pt5	Cobolli	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe7b4f7…
06-07 18:53:57	Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd7af7c…
06-07 18:53:00	Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1b62f1…
06-07 17:38:57	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbef8b4…
06-07 16:59:30	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x65135c…
06-07 13:09:46	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x86cd25…
06-07 11:43:09	r6siege edg oc1 2026 06 07 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x78bbb0…
06-07 00:58:55	crint can2 usa3 2026 06 06	USA	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x101e87…
06-06 23:09:45	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3f078c…
06-06 19:27:27	mlb cin stl 2026 06 06 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcce972…
06-06 14:19:18	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd53028…
06-06 12:40:09	cs2 pain tyloo 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap pain 3pt5	TYLOO	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x543746…
06-06 12:06:01	wttmen gauzy jha 2026 06 06	Jha	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x041f29…
06-06 11:32:34	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa35b89…
06-06 11:32:30	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x30f494…
06-05 18:19:13	will meta dip to 590 by june 1 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x06ef66…
06-05 15:45:19	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3e4a80…
06-05 01:48:04	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd5a5cd…
06-04 14:24:33	itf spiteri pace 2026 06 04	Dalila Spiteri	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4b8115…
06-04 14:19:12	atp mcdonal hijikat 2026 06 03 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6054f6…
06-03 18:15:22	Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Guo/Mladenovic	Aoyama/Liang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa3dd76…
06-03 16:04:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6d3a32…
06-03 12:06:32	Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Granollers/Zeballos vs Nys/Roger-Vasselin	Granollers/Zeballos	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe4ef35…
06-03 11:31:47	T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Oman	Oman	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdfba12…
06-03 06:26:04	T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Malaysia vs Kuwait	Malaysia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb5ac15…
06-03 04:48:30	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2321eb…
06-03 00:47:04	Valorant: QoR vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner	QoR	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x317fc1…
06-02 22:56:07	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c682e…
06-02 15:24:31	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaa4fbf…
06-02 12:20:43	Svitolina vs. Kostyuk: Match O/U 21.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xef9000…
06-02 01:04:52	Frances Tiafoe vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 4.5	Over 4.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1907c8…
06-02 01:04:48	Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)	Arnaldi	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9529cc…
06-01 23:52:41	Tiafoe vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 40.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6bfda5…
06-01 14:41:36	will spy reach 750 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9a0b86…
06-01 07:19:26	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5b2971…
05-31 19:09:27	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb45d9d…
05-31 17:33:03	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands	Netherlands	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4ff092…
05-31 16:48:00	Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x063236…
05-31 14:19:37	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x79b0b2…
05-30 20:09:57	Cerundolo vs. Landaluce: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe40dfd…
05-30 20:08:14	Cerundolo vs. Landaluce: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x513113…
05-30 19:17:17	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf75d59…
05-30 17:58:00	Set Handicap: Tabilo (-2.5) vs Kouame (+2.5)	Kouame	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x07178a…
05-30 14:25:12	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x726928…
05-30 12:16:35	UFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Carlston Harris (Welterweight, Main Card)	Jake Matthews	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x47824a…
05-30 10:49:08	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jose Henrique	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6915a7…
05-30 04:48:17	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc0c151…
05-30 02:48:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x92cfcb…
05-29 21:58:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf4f714…
05-29 21:20:45	Set Handicap: Ruud (-2.5) vs Paul (+2.5)	Paul	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6b7de2…
05-29 21:06:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4bdb05…
05-29 21:01:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaaf94e…
05-29 19:47:52	Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb22532…
05-29 19:08:06	LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki - Game 1 Winner	Bubliki	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2b2986…
05-29 17:27:43	Spread: Gambia (-1.5)	IR Iran	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x431bf7…
05-29 13:57:03	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf6f3bf…
05-29 10:23:50	ITF Tsaghkadzor: Kristina Kroitor vs Sevil Yuldasheva	Kristina Kroitor	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd127b…
05-29 02:31:38	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)	Cruzeiro EC	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf1c0d4…
05-29 00:50:43	Centurion: Harold Mayot vs Millen Hurrion	Harold Mayot	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb0f560…
05-28 20:08:38	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x236865…
05-28 20:00:13	Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Collignon (+1.5)	Collignon	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x397835…
05-28 16:52:17	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8bb849…
05-28 13:17:39	KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Kiwoom Heroes	Kia Tigers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x48d6ac…
05-28 12:33:03	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x388ad8…
05-28 02:32:33	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcb667c…
05-28 01:57:19	Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 14.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3b6a9a…
05-27 02:14:30	Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0d6812…
05-27 00:15:58	CA Lanús vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe2f88e…
05-26 20:00:20	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x292018…
05-26 13:17:56	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x357de9…
05-26 06:28:01	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe527d7…
05-25 18:21:51	Ignacio Buse vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeb1bc0…
05-25 18:11:53	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5e0565…
05-25 08:09:09	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc7396d…
05-25 04:48:19	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb6ebc9…
05-25 01:24:35	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x443ba7…
05-24 22:57:07	Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x856fc3…
05-24 19:55:51	Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddy	Nishesh Basavareddy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x58c19c…
05-24 19:24:12	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x332fc8…
05-24 18:17:30	Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc87d4f…
05-24 17:35:54	T20 Blast: Durham vs Leicestershire	Durham	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7b5c98…
05-24 17:22:34	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x957b40…
05-24 17:22:33	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x80c33c…
05-24 15:29:58	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9cc6c8…
05-24 15:21:42	Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Machac vs Zizou Bergs	Tomas Machac	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x382d51…
05-24 13:19:18	Set Handicap: Fokina (-2.5) vs Dzumhur (+2.5)	Dzumhur	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4a874b…
05-24 08:02:47	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Supah Hot	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x26b9ed…
05-23 20:48:48	St. Louis City SC vs. Austin FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x30a623…
05-23 18:38:53	US Yacoub El Mansour vs. UnionTouargaSports: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x433d87…
05-23 16:16:07	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa96b08…
05-23 01:24:47	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa3101c…
05-22 20:37:19	Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)	ACF Fiorentina	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x546627…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Intent-Bone 0xd073…9309	811	$20.6K	850	06-08 22:11
Satisfied-Squash 0xfb3c…4248	771	$3.92K	788	06-08 21:37
Great-Speculation 0xd4b2…68af	765	$3.89K	780	06-08 21:37
Scrawny-Plane 0xad00…325d	755	$3.84K	777	06-08 21:37
Puny-Roommate 0xcd9c…11c7	753	$3.83K	770	06-08 21:37
Loathsome-Barometer 0x55db…02cc	749	$3.81K	768	06-08 21:37
Defenseless-Bed 0xf0ad…0aff	743	$7.55K	762	06-08 21:37
Snappy-Embossing 0x8cc4…39b8	743	$3.86K	780	06-08 21:37