Fantastic-Chorus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,064

lifetime

Volume

$77.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 07-05 06:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

51% 80% +$33

Other

44% 67% $-5

Tech

2% — —

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	54	$3.1K	1,858	1,858	+0	open	—	03-08 04:27
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	19	$2.7K	1,578	1,578	+0	open	—	03-08 00:59
will the us invade iran by march 31	14	$2.1K	1,195	1,195	+0	open	—	03-29 07:27
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	26	$1.9K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	03-02 10:57
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	10	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-28 08:15
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	10	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-29 07:28
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	15	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-16 13:42
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	17	$1.5K	935	935	+0	open	—	03-27 09:42
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	6	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	02-28 23:22
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	8	$1.1K	640	640	+0	open	—	03-27 09:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	10	$1.1K	631	631	+0	open	—	05-10 11:16
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	6	$1.0K	600	600	+0	open	—	03-26 08:09
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	9	$1.0K	600	600	+0	open	—	05-24 01:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$1.0K	600	600	+0	open	—	05-20 19:17
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	13	$1.0K	600	600	+0	open	—	03-04 02:43
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	2	$912	500	500	+0	open	—	02-16 13:16
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	10	$851	476	476	+0	open	—	03-02 02:03
andrew tate of tweets march 3 march 10 2026 0 99	10	$777	463	463	+0	open	—	03-08 15:18
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	4	$742	400	400	+0	open	—	05-17 19:05
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	5	$721	400	400	+0	open	—	03-25 11:23
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	5	$720	400	400	+0	open	—	05-17 14:36
houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	9	$712	398	398	+0	open	—	03-06 05:43
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	6	$708	410	410	+0	open	—	03-10 04:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$671	400	400	+0	open	—	05-09 21:15
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	5	$654	400	400	+0	open	—	03-24 17:15
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	24	$650	400	400	+0	Yes	+$2	02-22 09:17
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	4	$644	400	400	+0	open	—	03-23 19:14
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	5	$642	400	400	+0	open	—	03-22 14:39
will bahrain strike iran by march 31	10	$633	380	380	+0	open	—	03-15 05:09
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	9	$607	353	353	+0	open	—	03-01 00:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 06:28:41	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x273e3c…
07-04 12:12:50	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x871010…
07-04 12:08:19	will openais valuation hit low 700b by december 31 939 865	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xf3cd50…
07-04 12:08:02	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x5891c5…
07-02 21:22:17	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x566dd6…
07-02 20:16:01	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x6d7825…
07-01 20:22:07	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xed63ee…
06-30 22:18:46	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x579b20…
06-29 20:55:58	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x44d7cc…
06-29 15:41:16	will openais valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 882 628	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x1517d6…
06-29 15:41:02	will openais valuation hit low 600b by december 31 187 246	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x4807a5…
06-29 15:40:56	will openais valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 937 533	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x256290…
06-29 15:40:49	will openais valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 538 161	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x6b0a5b…
06-29 15:40:41	will openais valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 688 311	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xa5e90d…
05-29 14:47:25	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xcf81ef…
05-28 18:26:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x2f867a…
05-28 07:09:25	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0xd7af52…
05-24 02:50:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x8e7361…
05-24 01:49:21	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	200	79¢	$157	0x00b2f5…
05-24 01:49:14	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0xf57404…
05-24 01:39:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x05cabc…
05-24 01:22:47	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0xde9b53…
05-24 01:22:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xd2bf46…
05-24 01:09:13	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xc291e8…
05-21 20:23:39	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0xe20941…
05-21 17:18:02	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x8b7559…
05-20 21:08:57	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x10138f…
05-20 19:17:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	79¢	$157	0xf79a5d…
05-20 14:14:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x204b68…
05-19 02:00:48	Will Number 7A by Pollock sell for $125M or more?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x5035ce…
05-18 23:15:11	Will Grey Target by Johns sell for $30M or more?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xc23f48…
05-18 22:49:36	Will Number 7A by Pollock sell for $125M or more?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x1b58b3…
05-18 19:34:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	86¢	$172	0xf7369d…
05-18 19:34:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0x716e12…
05-18 19:03:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x264705…
05-18 17:02:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x962097…
05-18 15:47:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x8e8216…
05-17 19:17:31	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0xc8be44…
05-17 19:05:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x8e2398…
05-17 18:05:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x5bd797…
05-17 14:36:26	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0xeb9ec5…
05-16 21:11:43	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x1adf6a…
05-16 19:51:11	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0xcf35a3…
05-16 16:06:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x732b4e…
05-15 06:45:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xac4cb5…
05-14 21:13:58	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x2cead6…
05-14 20:31:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0xad5326…
05-14 20:31:37	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0xa45ae6…
05-14 20:31:28	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0x21b9a2…
05-14 12:00:40	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xeaf419…
05-14 12:00:03	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	150	84¢	$126	0x605c0c…
05-14 11:34:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xab6150…
05-14 10:25:18	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0xb138b0…
05-11 12:28:21	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	74	89¢	$66	0x8f601b…
05-11 12:27:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0x3afdfc…
05-10 11:16:37	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0xd5be03…
05-10 11:16:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x25a6ed…
05-10 11:16:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0x7bdfb9…
05-10 11:15:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0x2f6619…
05-10 01:39:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x9dba91…
05-10 00:07:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xf27d75…
05-09 23:28:46	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x5dc516…
05-09 21:30:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xd781fc…
05-09 21:15:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	200	85¢	$169	0x14af4d…
05-09 21:14:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0xd09cce…
05-09 14:43:50	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x0669f3…
05-09 14:43:41	Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x05f473…
05-08 19:16:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	200	83¢	$166	0x5851d2…
05-07 14:43:59	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xde419a…
05-07 09:20:37	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	200	81¢	$162	0x5efcfc…
05-07 02:36:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x022ad2…
05-07 00:42:58	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x0e0be4…
05-06 20:43:37	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x7cc0fb…
05-06 20:42:57	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	74	84¢	$63	0x252699…
05-06 20:15:11	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	126	84¢	$105	0xa79b4d…
05-06 20:14:50	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0x272622…
05-06 20:06:35	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	63	84¢	$53	0xc74fe8…
05-06 20:05:21	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0xb8c3c0…
05-06 19:57:45	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x4c5203…
05-06 19:40:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	153	95¢	$145	0x70e3e5…
05-06 19:34:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	34	95¢	$33	0x9b5ce0…
05-06 19:34:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0xfbc864…
05-06 19:27:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0x24c43e…
05-06 19:27:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x399cc7…
05-06 08:41:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xeb8ea2…
05-06 08:41:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	81¢	$162	0x962ad0…
05-06 08:40:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	200	80¢	$161	0x91eef0…
05-06 08:40:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0xdb91bf…
05-05 23:20:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xe9436a…
05-05 22:53:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xacc9e4…
05-05 22:52:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x787158…
05-05 16:06:24	Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x4a6639…
05-05 14:19:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x8abc15…
04-30 10:39:44	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0xd45489…
04-29 15:34:20	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x08cd9b…
04-29 04:43:00	Pharos FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	200	87¢	$173	0xbafcb0…
04-28 14:01:56	Pharos FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x8089ee…
04-28 07:36:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	200	83¢	$166	0xc6fd53…
04-28 07:21:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x73c31d…
04-27 15:27:58	Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xf199af…