Realized P&L
-$165
Unrealized P&L
+$29
Hit rate
32.1%
Resolved
24
Trades
48
lifetime
Volume
$1.47K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$74
2 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-21 15:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Politics
56% 33% -$169
Other
44% 13% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +6,250 $25 1¢ $56 +$31 10-15 18:32
Macron out by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $20 3¢ $17 -$3 10-21 15:12