Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$82

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.4%

Resolved

Trades

396

lifetime

Volume

$52.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$133

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-08 17:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

66% 50% +$82

Other

26% — —

Tech

5% — —

Sports

3% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	22	$10.7K	5,889	7,763	-1,874	open	—	06-17 10:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	46	$8.4K	11,640	11,406	+234	open	—	06-16 20:59
Fed rate hike in 2026?	13	$7.6K	10,800	5,406	+5,393	open	—	08-07 17:21
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	72	$4.7K	5,419	5,419	+0	open	—	02-06 06:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	20	$3.5K	4,909	5,309	-400	Yes	$-940	04-29 17:21
us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	11	$2.5K	1,660	1,660	+0	open	—	06-16 11:31
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	7	$2.5K	1,609	1,609	+0	open	—	08-07 02:11
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	28	$2.4K	1,246	1,246	+0	open	—	06-30 03:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	24	$1.9K	1,285	1,285	+0	open	—	08-01 11:15
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	1	$1.0K	1,300	0	+1,300	open	—	02-07 02:55
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	6	$880	740	740	+0	open	—	07-25 20:50
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$851	2,200	1,031	+1,169	open	—	02-13 10:21
over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	1	$847	1,460	0	+1,460	open	—	01-07 01:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	7	$837	615	615	+0	open	—	06-17 10:36
lighter market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 332	1	$799	0	800	-800	open	—	01-01 10:53
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$679	700	0	+700	open	—	06-16 16:19
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	3	$564	1,600	1,400	+200	open	—	02-19 01:21
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$498	500	0	+500	open	—	06-16 19:33
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	8	$458	347	347	+0	open	—	08-03 17:54
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	92	$364	1,400	0	+1,400	open	—	02-14 13:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	3	$282	1,304	0	+1,304	Yes	+$1,022	02-24 16:13
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	2	$152	118	118	+0	open	—	08-05 21:24
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	4	$107	2,225	0	+2,225	open	—	03-01 03:19
will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	4	$73	835	0	+835	open	—	07-21 17:32
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	2	$72	100	100	+0	open	—	06-30 21:29
will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	2	$68	271	0	+271	open	—	08-08 17:37
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$58	240	240	+0	open	—	02-02 00:33
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	2	$55	70	0	+70	open	—	07-09 20:49
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	2	$14	18	18	+0	open	—	07-23 06:51
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$14	0	14	-14	open	—	06-17 10:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 17:37:43	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	154	25¢	$39	0xd3859d…
08-08 17:20:27	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	116	25¢	$29	0x31b490…
08-07 17:21:39	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xf9d9bd…
08-07 17:21:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	216	46¢	$100	0xe8d18c…
08-07 17:05:15	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	47¢	$940	0xc687d6…
08-07 16:42:43	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x93af65…
08-07 12:33:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	208	41¢	$85	0x4c8869…
08-07 12:33:18	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	723	41¢	$296	0x7e6eed…
08-07 02:11:34	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	1,009	86¢	$868	0x7de873…
08-06 12:40:11	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	320	84¢	$269	0x64e1b6…
08-06 08:38:29	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	230	84¢	$193	0x35216d…
08-05 21:24:02	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	118	65¢	$77	0x0e3bc1…
08-03 21:55:32	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	118	64¢	$75	0xa5c3a0…
08-03 17:54:08	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	SELL	85	65¢	$55	0x7a8be1…
08-03 13:19:00	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x83bc2b…
08-03 13:17:53	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x9cc1cc…
08-03 13:17:35	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xb1dbe9…
08-02 22:34:27	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x033c83…
08-02 21:20:05	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x34d45e…
08-01 15:16:42	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	795	68¢	$541	0x1b44c4…
08-01 11:15:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	315	76¢	$239	0xcef66c…
08-01 11:05:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	51	76¢	$38	0xe87a46…
08-01 11:05:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	67	76¢	$51	0x785190…
08-01 11:05:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	138	76¢	$105	0x5baeb3…
07-31 22:46:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	24	75¢	$18	0xf63c74…
07-31 22:46:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x10779a…
07-31 22:46:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xfa4d6d…
07-31 22:46:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x03457e…
07-31 22:46:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xddf030…
07-31 22:46:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x6286fa…
07-31 22:46:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x2328a8…
07-31 22:46:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x2ce5f6…
07-31 22:45:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	513	75¢	$385	0x0fd3fd…
07-31 13:58:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	145	76¢	$110	0x2772cd…
07-31 13:55:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xf578dc…
07-31 13:45:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	22	76¢	$17	0x335654…
07-31 13:41:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	66	76¢	$50	0x4e5b9f…
07-31 13:35:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3	76¢	$3	0x25e752…
07-31 13:17:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x36a56e…
07-31 13:11:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0xa89789…
07-31 13:11:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	17	76¢	$13	0x98fa83…
07-31 08:23:18	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	370	72¢	$267	0x3c757b…
07-29 23:07:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	360	75¢	$270	0x2868bb…
07-29 19:05:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	355	76¢	$270	0x4845c5…
07-29 15:58:17	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	90	73¢	$66	0x9b7d5f…
07-26 01:42:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	404	64¢	$259	0x28fd31…
07-25 20:50:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	354	59¢	$209	0x80282f…
07-24 17:20:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	355	72¢	$256	0x9dc6c4…
07-23 23:50:57	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	354	65¢	$230	0xa214f6…
07-23 06:51:15	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	SELL	18	39¢	$7	0xda1981…
07-23 06:38:45	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	399	32¢	$128	0x8b0f65…
07-22 20:29:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0xf985c3…
07-22 20:10:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x683a59…
07-22 20:05:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	15	60¢	$9	0x39d50c…
07-22 15:31:10	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	SELL	146	69¢	$101	0x6d53ad…
07-21 17:32:01	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	73	9¢	$6	0x6b4f72…
07-21 17:31:01	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	144	9¢	$13	0x656f78…
07-21 17:27:36	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	514	9¢	$45	0x096b28…
07-21 17:25:12	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	104	9¢	$9	0xc147ba…
07-20 11:50:36	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	SELL	98	66¢	$65	0x74954e…
07-19 14:27:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	740	57¢	$422	0xef4a5f…
07-18 13:24:40	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	BUY	286	65¢	$186	0xac45ea…
07-18 11:14:18	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	BUY	61	65¢	$40	0x67fc60…
07-17 13:56:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	475	49¢	$233	0x9109a0…
07-17 06:45:19	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x513e9a…
07-10 16:46:13	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	151	48¢	$73	0x754210…
07-09 20:49:46	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	6	78¢	$4	0x84265f…
07-09 20:49:44	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x41c72d…
07-02 13:19:11	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	3,649	50¢	$1,824	0xc68ec4…
07-02 12:33:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	4,000	47¢	$1,880	0xd4810a…
07-01 22:10:50	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	4,000	46¢	$1,840	0x7f9b83…
06-30 21:29:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0xb3f30a…
06-30 21:29:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xa9654e…
06-30 03:04:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	975	97¢	$943	0x84c8a8…
06-30 03:03:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x24218d…
06-30 03:02:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x9737b3…
06-30 03:00:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x4ee590…
06-30 03:00:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x7eac20…
06-30 02:59:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x2e7e72…
06-30 02:58:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x331a86…
06-30 02:56:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xf54ffd…
06-30 02:56:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xc23497…
06-30 02:54:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x2af31a…
06-30 02:52:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xe29030…
06-30 02:49:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x0a8ceb…
06-30 02:46:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xfb73c1…
06-30 02:46:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x8094eb…
06-30 02:44:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x103220…
06-30 02:32:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x9cfbd9…
06-30 02:31:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0x6e32d1…
06-30 02:31:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xaf2fc7…
06-30 02:30:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x75d6c7…
06-30 02:28:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x764886…
06-30 02:27:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x37c81f…
06-30 02:27:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x81e2f2…
06-30 02:26:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xcd2b8c…
06-30 02:22:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x1edade…
06-30 02:21:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x477dae…
06-25 23:22:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	BUY	1,080	97¢	$1,043	0x359e40…
06-24 17:31:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x51d344…