Bowed-Standpoint — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$836

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved

370

Trades

711

lifetime

Volume

$7.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 09-21 15:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 32% -$513

Other

10% 60% -$113

Politics

9% 53% +$11

Sports

6% 22% -$209

Tech

2% 56% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+44	$12	16¢	$7	-$5	05-02 07:33
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	+13	$5	11¢	$1	-$4	05-19 23:16
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	+8	$2	9¢	$1	-$1	05-16 09:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	13	$778	1,012	1,012	+0	open	—	09-21 15:59
solana up or down january 15 6pm et	4	$218	173	173	+0	Up	+$128	01-16 00:30
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	3	$138	98	98	+0	Yes	+$58	05-31 04:03
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 20:50 UTC	2	$115	106	106	+0	Up	+$95	03-13 20:55
lol lr g2 2026 02 01	2	$107	87	87	+0	Los Ratones	+$67	02-02 00:13
solana up or down january 16 3pm et	2	$101	101	101	+0	Up	+$61	01-16 20:40
solana up or down january 16 2pm et	2	$92	74	74	+0	Up	+$52	01-16 19:52
solana up or down january 31 2pm et	3	$92	72	72	+0	Down	+$52	01-31 20:01
solana up or down january 16 6pm et	7	$90	144	144	+0	Down	+$10	01-16 23:55
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:35 UTC	2	$76	60	60	+1	Up	+$37	03-14 19:39
solana up or down january 30 5pm et	2	$71	67	67	+0	Up	+$63	01-30 23:00
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	3	$66	231	0	+231	Down	-$66	06-01 01:14
solana up or down january 16 5pm et	4	$66	324	0	+324	Down	-$66	01-16 22:42
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 06:15 UTC	2	$65	56	56	+0	Up	+$43	02-25 06:19
solana up or down january 31 9pm et	2	$60	326	0	+326	Up	-$60	02-01 02:40
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 03:30 UTC	2	$60	41	40	+1	Up	+$20	03-14 03:34
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	3	$58	60	60	+0	No	+$18	05-07 01:39
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	1	$56	100	0	+100	No	-$56	02-15 11:55
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$54	334	0	+334	No	-$54	01-31 20:02
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	4	$52	45	45	+0	Down	+$30	06-01 00:54
solana up or down january 17 7pm et	8	$50	102	0	+102	Down	-$50	01-18 00:42
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 16:20 UTC	1	$50	71	0	+71	Down	-$50	03-13 16:23
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 04:15 UTC	2	$49	34	33	+1	Down	+$15	03-17 04:17
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 16:05 UTC	2	$49	40	40	+0	Up	+$30	03-13 16:08
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$49	40	40	+0	No	+$30	05-15 19:07
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 05:15 UTC	2	$46	30	30	+0	Down	+$15	06-05 05:19
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 20:00 UTC	2	$45	26	26	+0	Up	+$5	03-04 20:04
solana up or down january 16 1am et	2	$45	182	0	+182	Up	+$137	01-16 06:19
solana up or down january 18 3pm et	3	$44	36	36	+0	Up	+$24	01-18 20:48
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 16:25 UTC	2	$42	91	90	+1	Up	+$3	03-13 16:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 15:59:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	513	89¢	$456	0x66a089…
07-22 05:51:27	Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x0e19b2…
06-26 04:00:32	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	17	66¢	$11	0x2d6910…
06-26 04:00:07	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	SELL	6	91¢	$6	0xf7dafb…
06-26 03:59:49	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$11	0xce316f…
06-15 02:59:00	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xe465c9…
06-07 20:41:12	Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xecac1d…
06-06 07:17:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x7988d8…
06-06 03:35:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xf98c58…
06-06 03:29:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	82	20¢	$16	0xb8069e…
06-06 03:26:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	59	20¢	$12	0xa9b71c…
06-06 02:41:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0x61226e…
06-06 00:03:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	113	22¢	$25	0x1db20f…
06-05 23:48:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	172	22¢	$38	0x06ca95…
06-05 23:18:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	499	23¢	$116	0x417864…
06-05 19:08:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xf44cf4…
06-05 19:07:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0x9e5124…
06-05 19:05:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	287	20¢	$57	0xc93105…
06-05 19:05:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	179	19¢	$34	0x8b108d…
06-05 19:03:42	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x6e26f4…
06-05 05:38:19	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x4fa14c…
06-05 05:36:21	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	44	11¢	$5	0x326792…
06-05 05:36:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xbaa1b4…
06-05 05:35:25	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xeab50a…
06-05 05:19:57	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 05:15 UTC	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x311123…
06-05 05:14:39	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	30	51¢	$16	0xff03d8…
06-05 05:12:10	Solana Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	16¢	$5	0x038b3f…
06-05 05:11:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x2398a3…
06-05 04:53:25	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xa1c370…
06-05 04:53:13	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x06ef3b…
06-05 04:53:04	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x8eb5f5…
06-05 04:52:49	Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x9a8bd5…
06-01 01:14:48	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x392fed…
06-01 01:13:20	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x2be9e8…
06-01 01:12:10	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	157	32¢	$50	0x822fd3…
06-01 01:08:31	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x651d6d…
06-01 01:07:41	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	44	11¢	$5	0x055775…
06-01 01:07:00	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0x1461a7…
06-01 01:06:29	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x811e8f…
06-01 01:03:36	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc7c791…
06-01 01:03:27	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb3abec…
06-01 01:01:52	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0x38577b…
06-01 01:00:44	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xb49db0…
06-01 00:58:49	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x30afc2…
06-01 00:56:29	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xa0c210…
06-01 00:55:31	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x431c30…
06-01 00:54:52	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	14	92¢	$12	0xe9dd4a…
06-01 00:53:42	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2530c0…
06-01 00:53:16	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	31	92¢	$29	0xb5eb26…
06-01 00:50:39	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x91dafc…
06-01 00:47:54	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc7b940…
06-01 00:45:31	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xecbaba…
06-01 00:44:07	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x8538bd…
06-01 00:41:41	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x687484…
05-31 20:50:22	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xff8fe1…
05-31 04:03:16	Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0xa53d43…
05-31 02:50:25	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x8912be…
05-31 02:49:59	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0xec9092…
05-31 02:49:41	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x7bf998…
05-31 01:40:27	Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	SELL	23	2¢	$0	0x7f3f62…
05-31 01:40:13	Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0x1fe722…
05-31 01:37:25	Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xb4d46a…
05-30 17:41:23	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x4982e0…
05-29 20:30:51	Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x35a968…
05-29 20:30:23	Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	BUY	66	30¢	$20	0x999f49…
05-29 20:26:29	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xa78803…
05-29 16:30:05	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xd36edc…
05-29 16:28:30	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x5776db…
05-29 13:51:48	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x8874c6…
05-29 13:49:24	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0xb4971a…
05-29 13:47:41	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x54070d…
05-29 04:34:27	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0x6744d2…
05-29 04:32:02	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x5001a4…
05-29 04:30:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	77¢	$6	0x49eab3…
05-29 04:30:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8980a8…
05-29 04:30:08	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0xfc89c9…
05-29 04:30:01	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	8	72¢	$5	0xc2f788…
05-29 04:29:49	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x891f83…
05-29 04:29:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	59¢	$7	0x2630c8…
05-29 04:29:35	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x954072…
05-29 04:29:24	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0xb3d6e7…
05-29 04:28:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0x1a5392…
05-26 15:43:21	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0x4113c8…
05-26 02:43:47	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8ec3f1…
05-25 23:01:06	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x7a69d5…
05-25 22:46:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0xff1bd3…
05-25 20:13:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x2dcd9a…
05-25 11:17:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xbb59aa…
05-25 11:13:20	US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xca022b…
05-25 07:32:42	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0xd30b82…
05-23 19:05:05	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x049940…
05-23 19:02:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x1b8195…
05-23 18:40:50	Will Yuri Fulmer win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	BUY	190	2¢	$3	0x0f738f…
05-23 15:38:21	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xc72ae2…
05-23 14:46:22	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x273ac2…
05-23 12:51:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0x6ca753…
05-23 12:42:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xed138c…
05-22 23:44:01	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x72c7ea…
05-22 23:28:45	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x1328c3…
05-22 22:29:56	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x400370…