Sinful-Fir — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$118

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.3%

Resolved

Trades

148

lifetime

Volume

$16.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-04 16:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

88% 100% +$0

Politics

7% 0% $-121

Tech

4% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	16	$4.2K	4,705	0	+4,705	open	—	08-04 16:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$1.4K	697	697	+0	open	—	05-11 11:12
will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	4	$1.0K	536	536	+0	open	—	07-16 11:18
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$1.0K	1,062	0	+1,062	open	—	05-14 13:18
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?	1	$1.0K	1,044	0	+1,044	open	—	06-01 14:50
will xauusd reach 4300 in august 2026	2	$1000	1,193	0	+1,193	open	—	08-04 11:56
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	3	$956	1,002	0	+1,002	open	—	05-06 13:33
will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	3	$898	506	506	+0	open	—	07-16 23:15
will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	7	$800	894	0	+894	open	—	07-03 16:04
will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	3	$771	898	0	+898	open	—	07-17 08:43
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$668	716	0	+716	open	—	04-27 07:49
will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	1	$500	537	0	+537	open	—	08-03 12:03
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	11	$403	550	550	+0	open	—	04-16 02:31
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	2	$199	109	109	+0	open	—	08-01 16:10
will gold gc hit high 5000 by end of december 2026	1	$195	250	0	+250	open	—	08-01 16:11
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	5	$129	414	14	+400	open	—	04-16 01:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$121	1,128	0	+1,128	Yes	$-121	05-09 13:48
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	2	$102	53	53	+0	open	—	04-15 07:26
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?	1	$93	0	101	-101	open	—	07-16 11:16
peoples bank of china rate cut by march 31	2	$79	93	0	+93	open	—	03-02 13:42
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	7	$68	47	59	-13	open	—	02-22 12:31
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	1	$60	64	0	+64	open	—	06-01 14:53
will paris saint germain advance to the round of 16	4	$47	53	0	+53	open	—	02-14 00:01
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$42	47	0	+47	open	—	01-06 13:14
will borussia dortmund advance to the round of 16	1	$32	37	0	+37	open	—	02-22 12:33
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	1	$21	0	24	-24	open	—	07-16 11:17
will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	04-07 15:04
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	3	$19	19	25	-6	open	—	01-11 22:58
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	3	$18	11	11	+0	Yes	+$3	04-15 14:26
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	2	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	05-09 14:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 16:43:02	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	No	BUY	23	90¢	$20	0x5a1b32…
08-04 16:32:30	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	No	BUY	76	90¢	$68	0xccbd14…
08-04 15:52:51	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	No	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x8fca5b…
08-04 13:49:51	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	No	BUY	34	90¢	$30	0x1a2a7c…
08-04 13:49:17	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	No	BUY	86	90¢	$78	0x462f8b…
08-04 13:40:53	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	No	BUY	134	90¢	$120	0x5b2a9e…
08-04 12:40:53	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	No	BUY	46	90¢	$41	0x6ba51b…
08-04 12:40:20	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xc2d84f…
08-04 12:39:08	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	No	BUY	35	90¢	$32	0x8374e0…
08-04 12:38:08	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xa5c86d…
08-04 11:56:26	will xauusd reach 4300 in august 2026	No	BUY	1,063	85¢	$900	0xa5515c…
08-04 11:55:54	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	No	BUY	431	93¢	$400	0xa608d9…
08-04 11:55:03	will xauusd reach 4300 in august 2026	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x74a511…
08-04 11:54:23	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xd172a6…
08-03 12:04:09	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	No	BUY	562	89¢	$500	0x3e287d…
08-03 12:03:35	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	No	BUY	537	93¢	$500	0x602ca9…
08-01 16:19:53	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	No	BUY	1,943	90¢	$1,749	0x4b7a49…
08-01 16:11:39	will gold gc hit high 5000 by end of december 2026	No	BUY	250	78¢	$195	0xc4902e…
08-01 16:10:56	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	109	91¢	$99	0x2483f0…
08-01 16:10:18	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	No	BUY	1,124	89¢	$1,000	0x010e23…
08-01 15:44:59	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	No	BUY	34	89¢	$31	0x01bb6d…
07-17 08:43:09	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	No	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0x6ca2f2…
07-17 08:22:27	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	No	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0xb9d280…
07-16 23:15:52	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	No	SELL	506	98¢	$498	0x4619b9…
07-16 11:20:58	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	No	BUY	808	85¢	$687	0xc78b93…
07-16 11:18:31	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	SELL	536	99¢	$531	0xaebb88…
07-16 11:17:55	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$11	0x5588fb…
07-16 11:17:23	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0xb672ba…
07-16 11:17:10	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	24	88¢	$21	0xc5dc8a…
07-16 11:16:28	Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?	No	SELL	101	93¢	$93	0x8c8c19…
07-03 16:04:46	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x46c362…
07-03 16:04:13	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x98a6ee…
07-03 16:04:08	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x065844…
07-03 16:03:10	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0xbc6252…
07-01 15:02:55	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xecccb8…
07-01 14:55:02	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	No	BUY	252	79¢	$200	0x428372…
07-01 14:53:44	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	No	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0xdce9e9…
07-01 14:51:56	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0xf103be…
07-01 14:51:49	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xb9e652…
07-01 14:51:38	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x5e86f2…
07-01 14:51:31	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xc22fa5…
07-01 14:51:23	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x305733…
07-01 14:51:14	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xe86f26…
06-01 14:53:56	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0x8199a6…
06-01 14:50:46	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?	No	BUY	1,044	96¢	$1,000	0xb3b636…
05-14 13:18:20	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	426	94¢	$400	0x536f85…
05-12 11:46:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xb568d9…
05-11 11:16:31	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	632	95¢	$600	0x66a4b1…
05-11 11:12:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	697	98¢	$684	0x2a73ac…
05-10 08:20:13	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0xa76147…
05-09 14:04:45	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0xd60f7b…
05-09 13:57:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	391	98¢	$384	0x5829ae…
05-09 13:50:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0xfa01f6…
05-09 13:48:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xad9c4c…
05-06 13:33:14	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	416	96¢	$399	0x90c231…
05-06 11:27:24	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x31039b…
05-06 11:25:24	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xdea65a…
05-06 11:17:34	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0x8f2877…
05-03 14:52:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xc6f6f4…
05-03 13:39:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x15ded4…
04-27 07:49:30	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	716	93¢	$668	0xb41e28…
04-16 13:00:46	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x13b5f4…
04-16 02:31:04	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	Yes	SELL	417	0¢	$0	0x15defe…
04-16 01:50:04	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	Yes	SELL	74	2¢	$1	0xf367e4…
04-16 01:48:44	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	Yes	SELL	41	16¢	$7	0xcb274f…
04-16 01:43:12	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	149	30¢	$45	0xe8df46…
04-16 00:27:28	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	251	29¢	$72	0x161ff4…
04-15 15:00:34	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	Yes	BUY	272	73¢	$200	0xfb00d3…
04-15 14:56:00	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	Yes	BUY	124	72¢	$90	0x4aa8c3…
04-15 14:31:38	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	Yes	BUY	48	73¢	$35	0xff995b…
04-15 14:28:36	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc2b81b…
04-15 14:28:12	Will Matthew Schaefer win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x14af01…
04-15 14:27:54	Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x86207a…
04-15 14:27:32	Will Atletico Madrid finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xb1c382…
04-15 14:26:54	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x080393…
04-15 07:27:32	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	Yes	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xe1bc62…
04-15 07:26:22	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	Yes	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0x1e95c0…
04-14 23:04:02	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x35d088…
04-14 23:03:30	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	SELL	14	29¢	$4	0x64c2a3…
04-14 23:00:48	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x9f32d4…
04-12 13:29:47	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$3	0xb56115…
04-07 23:12:17	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be less than 55	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x57a9e1…
04-07 23:11:35	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 55 and 60	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x62f4a1…
04-07 15:04:57	will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x513bf3…
04-07 14:54:31	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	Yes	SELL	19	18¢	$3	0x4ec0b8…
04-03 12:57:33	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd15bfd…
04-03 12:56:49	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x445fd7…
04-03 12:51:53	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x8999ff…
04-03 12:49:13	Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x4c525e…
04-03 12:48:57	Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x59f8ab…
03-09 02:46:47	Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xa85928…
03-04 04:50:21	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 55 and 60	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0x451ce3…
03-03 22:52:41	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xb0fdce…
03-03 22:51:39	Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x93ddc7…
03-02 13:42:35	peoples bank of china rate cut by march 31	No	BUY	46	84¢	$39	0xa16a80…
03-02 07:39:51	peoples bank of china rate cut by march 31	No	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0x213183…
02-22 12:33:22	will borussia dortmund advance to the round of 16	Yes	BUY	37	86¢	$32	0xe154e5…
02-22 12:31:08	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	59	56¢	$33	0x72313f…
02-22 12:30:38	will real madrid advance to the round of 16	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x7e8361…
02-22 12:29:38	will inter milan advance to the round of 16	Yes	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0xa73e4f…